Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

4 – 2

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sat 23 May 2026 · 05:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima 26,884 HT 45' · FT 45'

Sota Nakamura 33' 1–0

1–1 45+3' Yuya Yamagishi

Hayao Kawabe 45+4' 2–1

Shuto Nakano 47' 3–1

Akito Suzuki 56' 4–1

4–2 67' Tsukasa Morishima

Hayao Kawabe 42' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Yuzo Sutani

11 games this season 🟨 0.9/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–2 Nagoya Grampus 2026-03-18 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2025-06-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Nagoya Grampus 2025-04-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 May	Nagoya Grampus	H	4–2	W
17 May	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	4–0	W
10 May	Gamba Osaka	A	1–0	W
06 May	Vissel Kobe	H	5–6	L
02 May	Fagiano Okayama FC	A	0–1	L
29 Apr	Avispa Fukuoka	A	2–2	D

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	2–4	L
17 May	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–6	L
10 May	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	3–0	W
06 May	Gamba Osaka	H	2–1	W
03 May	V-Varen Nagasaki	A	2–1	W
29 Apr	Fagiano Okayama FC	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Nagoya Grampus
#4	Position	#3
30	Points	31
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
41	Scored	46
33	Conceded	44
+8	GD	+2
1.67	PPG	1.72
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

3/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/1

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus has kicked off!
5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is showing some good football. However, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Takuya Uchida, as he is very good at scoring at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
25' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
30' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
33' What a strike from Sota Nakamura! The score is 1-0.
38' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
42' Sanfrecce Hiroshima receives a card for a hard tackle on 42.
43' The referee calls foul for Hayao Kawabe. He receives a card.
47' What an equalizer from Yuya Yamagishi!
48' What a strike from Yuya Yamagishi! The score is 1-2.
49' GOAL! Hayao Kawabe scores on 45. Assisted by Shuto Nakano
50' Sensational shot from Hayao Kawabe. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is back in the lead.
55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
56' Goal! Akito Suzuki scores his 25 goal in 418 matches.
61' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
66' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
67' Goal! Tsukasa Morishima scores his 26 goal in 335 matches.
72' Shuhei Tokumoto has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
77' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
82' It’s high time Mihailo Petrović made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
87' Haruya Fujii needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
Another three points for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bartosch Gaul

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mihailo Petrović

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kasper Junker	4
Mateus	4
Naoki Maeda	3
Gakuto Notsuda	2
Shuto Nakano	2
Mitch Langerak	1
Yuya Yamagishi	1
Douglas Vieira	1

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2026-05-23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2026-05-17 Kyoto Sanga FC 0–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2026-05-10 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2026-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5–6 Vissel Kobe L 2026-05-02 Fagiano Okayama FC 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2026-04-29 Avispa Fukuoka 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D

Nagoya Grampus Form

2026-05-23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2026-05-17 Cerezo Osaka FC 6–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2026-05-10 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2026-05-06 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Gamba Osaka W 2026-05-03 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2026-04-29 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

3.18 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.22 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 89% + Both teams to score 84%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima55% Draw19% Nagoya Grampus26%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes84% 0% No16%

Avg goals/match: 5.4

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	97%	3%
± 2.5	89%	11%
± 3.5	77%	23%
± 4.5	61%	39%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

74%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

45%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus

81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima45% Draw31% Nagoya Grampus24%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

3 – 2

5.8%

2 – 2

5.6%

3 – 1

5.3%

2 – 1

5.2%

4 – 2

Actual

3 – 3

4.2%

4 – 1

4.2%

2 – 3

4.1%

1 – 1

3.8%

1 – 2

3.7%

4 – 3

3.4%

5 – 2

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	23%	—	77%
-2	23%	15%	61%
-1.5	39%	—	61%
-1	39%	17%	44%
-0.5	56%	—	44%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	12%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	8%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.