Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Yuzo Sutani
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 4–2 | W |
| 17 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 10 May | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 5–6 | L |
| 02 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 2–4 | L |
| 17 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–6 | L |
| 10 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 06 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #3 |
| 30 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 44 |
| +8 | GD | +2 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
52%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are looking to make home advantage count against Nagoya Grampus.
- 5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Sebastien Haller scoring 1 goals.
- 10' Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 444 goals from 342 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' Sanfrecce Hiroshima currently sit 8 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 25' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 30' Hayao Kawabe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
- 33' Sota Nakamura adds to his 0 season tally! Sanfrecce Hiroshima lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 38' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Naoto Arai suffering a number of foals already.
- 42' It’s gonna be a card for Hayao Kawabe.
- 43' That looks like a foul for a card for Hayao Kawabe.
- 47' A goal from the Japan international Yuya Yamagishi! He fires home on 45 to make it 1-1!
- 48' Against the run of play, Yuya Yamagishi has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 49' Hayao Kawabe adds to his 1 season tally! Sanfrecce Hiroshima lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
- 50' Hayao Kawabe adds to his 1 season tally! Sanfrecce Hiroshima lead 3-2 — and this changes everything.
- 55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 56' Akito Suzuki makes no mistake. The score reads 4-2 and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in front.
- 61' Yudai Kimura has been relatively quiet despite scoring 19 goals in his last 169 appearances.
- 66' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked 5 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 67' Brilliant from the ! Tsukasa Morishima makes it 4-3 with a superb finish on 67.
- 72' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is showing some good football. However, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 77' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 82' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 82.
- 87' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Sanfrecce Hiroshima to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 19
- 3
- 6
- 24
- 33
- 99
- 13
- 10
- 15
- 11
- 39
Bench
- 9
- 14
- 41
- 17
- 16
- 25
- 21
- 35
- 40
Coach
Bartosch Gaul
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
- 17
- 2
- 13
- 7
- 31
- 9
- 27
- 11
- 22
- 55
Bench
- 18
- 14
- 19
- 3
- 33
- 20
- 35
- 41
- 30
Coach
Mihailo Petrović
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kasper Junker | 4 |
| Mateus | 4 |
| Naoki Maeda | 3 |
| Gakuto Notsuda | 2 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 |
| Akito Suzuki | 2 |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 |
| Yuya Asano | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2026-05-23
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4–2
Nagoya Grampus
W
2026-05-17
Kyoto Sanga FC
0–4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2026-05-10
Gamba Osaka
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2026-05-06
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5–6
Vissel Kobe
L
2026-05-02
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2026-04-29
Avispa Fukuoka
2–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.22
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 89% + Both teams to score 84%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.4
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 2.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 3.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 4.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
74%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
45%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 1
5.2%
4 – 2
Actual
3 – 3
4.2%
4 – 1
4.2%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 1
3.8%
1 – 2
3.7%
4 – 3
3.4%
5 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 15% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 17% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 12% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 8% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

