Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

4 – 2

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sat 23 May 2026 · 05:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima 26,884 HT 45' · FT 45'

Sota Nakamura 33' 1–0

1–1 45+3' Yuya Yamagishi

Hayao Kawabe 45+4' 2–1

Shuto Nakano 47' 3–1

Akito Suzuki 56' 4–1

4–2 67' Tsukasa Morishima

Hayao Kawabe 42' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Yuzo Sutani

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 21 games · Avg 2.5 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–2 Nagoya Grampus 2026-03-18 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2025-06-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Nagoya Grampus 2025-04-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 May	Nagoya Grampus	H	4–2	W
17 May	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	4–0	W
10 May	Gamba Osaka	A	1–0	W
06 May	Vissel Kobe	H	5–6	L
02 May	Fagiano Okayama FC	A	0–1	L
29 Apr	Avispa Fukuoka	A	2–2	D

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	2–4	L
17 May	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–6	L
10 May	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	3–0	W
06 May	Gamba Osaka	H	2–1	W
03 May	V-Varen Nagasaki	A	2–1	W
29 Apr	Fagiano Okayama FC	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Nagoya Grampus
#4	Position	#3
30	Points	31
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
41	Scored	46
33	Conceded	44
+8	GD	+2
1.67	PPG	1.72
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

–/–

16-30

2/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/1

61-75

3/–

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/1

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	4 G
Sebastien Haller	2 G	1 A
Mutsuki Kato	2 G	1 A
Takumu Kawamura	1 G
Shuto Nakano	1 G

Nagoya Grampus

Naomichi Ueda

1 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Nagoya Grampus — let the battle begin!
5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mihailo Petrović might look to freshen things up shortly.
10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yuya Yamagishi, as he is very good at scoring at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
25' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
30' Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 432 goals from 337 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
33' The Japan forward Sota Nakamura breaks the deadlock on 33 minutes. 1-0!
38' Hayao Kawabe has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
42' The referee shows Sanfrecce Hiroshima player a card on 42.
43' Controversy at the stadium! Hayao Kawabe argues furiously but the card stands.
47' Yuya Yamagishi does the damage! The net is bulging and Nagoya Grampus surge ahead!
48' Yuya Yamagishi does the damage! The net is bulging and Nagoya Grampus surge ahead!
49' Goal! Hayao Kawabe scores his 21 goal in 337 matches.
50' Hayao Kawabe has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
55' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
56' Akito Suzuki does the damage! The net is bulging and Sanfrecce Hiroshima surge ahead!
61' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
66' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
67' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Tsukasa Morishima makes no mistake. 4-3!
72' It’s high time Bartosch Gaul made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
77' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
82' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 82.
87' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bartosch Gaul

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mihailo Petrović

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kasper Junker	4
Mateus	4
Naoki Maeda	3
Gakuto Notsuda	2
Mutsuki Kato	2
Akito Suzuki	2
Shuto Nakano	2
Yuya Asano	1

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2026-05-23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2026-05-17 Kyoto Sanga FC 0–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2026-05-10 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2026-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5–6 Vissel Kobe L 2026-05-02 Fagiano Okayama FC 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2026-04-29 Avispa Fukuoka 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D

Nagoya Grampus Form

2026-05-23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2026-05-17 Cerezo Osaka FC 6–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2026-05-10 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2026-05-06 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Gamba Osaka W 2026-05-03 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2026-04-29 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

3.18 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.22 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 89% + Both teams to score 84%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima55% Draw19% Nagoya Grampus26%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes84% 0% No16%

Avg goals/match: 5.4

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	97%	3%
± 2.5	89%	11%
± 3.5	77%	23%
± 4.5	61%	39%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

74%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

45%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus

81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima45% Draw31% Nagoya Grampus24%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

3 – 2

5.8%

2 – 2

5.6%

3 – 1

5.3%

2 – 1

5.2%

4 – 2

Actual

3 – 3

4.2%

4 – 1

4.2%

2 – 3

4.1%

1 – 1

3.8%

1 – 2

3.7%

4 – 3

3.4%

5 – 2

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	23%	—	77%
-2	23%	15%	61%
-1.5	39%	—	61%
-1	39%	17%	44%
-0.5	56%	—	44%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	12%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	8%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.