Wednesday , 7 October 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Sat 23 May 2026 · 05:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima 26,884 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sota Nakamura 33' 1–0
1–1 45+3' Yuya Yamagishi
Hayao Kawabe 45+4' 2–1
Shuto Nakano 47' 3–1
Akito Suzuki 56' 4–1
4–2 67' Tsukasa Morishima
Hayao Kawabe 42' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Match Details

  • Referee Yuzo Sutani

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Nagoya Grampus H 4–2 W
17 May Kyoto Sanga FC A 4–0 W
10 May Gamba Osaka A 1–0 W
06 May Vissel Kobe H 5–6 L
02 May Fagiano Okayama FC A 0–1 L
29 Apr Avispa Fukuoka A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 2–4 L
17 May Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–6 L
10 May Kyoto Sanga FC H 3–0 W
06 May Gamba Osaka H 2–1 W
03 May V-Varen Nagasaki A 2–1 W
29 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Nagoya Grampus
#4 Position #3
30 Points 31
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
41 Scored 46
33 Conceded 44
+8 GD +2
1.67 PPG 1.72
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Akito Suzuki 6 G 2 A
Shun Ayukawa 3 G 1 A
Sebastien Haller 3 G 1 A
Mutsuki Kato 2 G 3 A
Shuto Nakano 2 G 1 A
Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are looking to make home advantage count against Nagoya Grampus.
  • 5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Sebastien Haller scoring 1 goals.
  • 10' Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 444 goals from 342 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' Sanfrecce Hiroshima currently sit 8 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 25' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 30' Hayao Kawabe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
  • 33' Sota Nakamura adds to his 0 season tally! Sanfrecce Hiroshima lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 38' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Naoto Arai suffering a number of foals already.
  • 42' It’s gonna be a card for Hayao Kawabe.
  • 43' That looks like a foul for a card for Hayao Kawabe.
  • 47' A goal from the Japan international Yuya Yamagishi! He fires home on 45 to make it 1-1!
  • 48' Against the run of play, Yuya Yamagishi has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 49' Hayao Kawabe adds to his 1 season tally! Sanfrecce Hiroshima lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 50' Hayao Kawabe adds to his 1 season tally! Sanfrecce Hiroshima lead 3-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 56' Akito Suzuki makes no mistake. The score reads 4-2 and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in front.
  • 61' Yudai Kimura has been relatively quiet despite scoring 19 goals in his last 169 appearances.
  • 66' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked 5 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 67' Brilliant from the ! Tsukasa Morishima makes it 4-3 with a superb finish on 67.
  • 72' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is showing some good football. However, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 77' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 82' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 82.
  • 87' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Sanfrecce Hiroshima to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.18 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.22 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 89% + Both teams to score 84%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima55% Draw19% Nagoya Grampus26%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes84% 0% No16%
Avg goals/match: 5.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 97%
3%
± 2.5 89%
11%
± 3.5 77%
23%
± 4.5 61%
39%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
74%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
45%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima45% Draw31% Nagoya Grampus24%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 1
5.2%
4 – 2
Actual
3 – 3
4.2%
4 – 1
4.2%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 1
3.8%
1 – 2
3.7%
4 – 3
3.4%
5 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 23% — 77%
-2 23% 15% 61%
-1.5 39% — 61%
-1 39% 17% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 12% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 8% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.