Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Nagoya Grampus
2 – 1
Full Time
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sun 20 Apr 2025 · 05:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Mateus 41' Y
Y 64' Shuto Nakano
Kensuke Nagai 70' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

10
3
8
Nagoya Grampus 21 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–1 W
12 Apr Gamba Osaka A 0–2 L
06 Apr Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
02 Apr Yokohama F·Marinos H 2–0 W
29 Mar Yokohama FC H 2–1 W
15 Mar Tōkyō Verdy A 1–2 L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 1–2 L
12 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 0–1 L
06 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
02 Apr Kashima Antlers H 1–0 W
29 Mar Kyōto Sanga FC A 0–1 L
16 Mar Kashiwa Reysol H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#3 Position #4
31 Points 30
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
46 Scored 41
44 Conceded 33
+2 GD +8
1.72 PPG 1.67
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Akito Suzuki 6 G 2 A
Shun Ayukawa 3 G 1 A
Sebastien Haller 3 G 1 A
Mutsuki Kato 2 G 3 A
Shuto Nakano 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Nagoya Grampus kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Daiki Suga is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's shape.
  • 20' The travelling Sanfrecce Hiroshima supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their trying to find a way past Sanfrecce Hiroshima's compact .
  • 30' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Sanfrecce Hiroshima seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 35' Satoshi Tanaka has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 40' What composure from Mateus! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 41' Nagoya Grampus receives a card for a hard tackle on 41.
  • 46' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ryo Germain, as he is very good at scoring at Toyota Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 48' Assisted by Tsukasa Morishima with the perfectly-timed delivery and Mateus makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 53' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 58' Japan international Sota Koshimichi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 59' The supporters are chanting for Teruki Hara. He replaces Tsukasa Morishima on 59 minute.
  • 61' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Satoshi Tanaka exits the field as Naoki Maeda enters on 61.
  • 64' Shuto Nakano was booked on 64.
  • 69' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 70' It’s a booking for Nagoya Grampus player. Kensuke Nagai gets a card.
  • 75' The crowd applauds Tsukasa Shiotani as he leaves the pitch. Sota Koshimichi steps in for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
  • 76' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Kensuke Nagai is replaced by Taichi Kikuchi.
  • 81' The deadlock is broken! Daiki Suga gets on the scoresheet on 81 minutes.
  • 86' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 87' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Shuhei Tokumoto by Masahito Ono on 87 minute.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Nagoya Grampus to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Mateus 4
Kasper Junker 4
Naoki Maeda 3
Akito Suzuki 2
Shuto Nakano 2
Gakuto Notsuda 2
Mutsuki Kato 2
Daiki Suga 1

Head to Head

2025-04-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Nagoya Grampus Form

2025-04-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2025-04-12 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-04-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-04-02 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Yokohama F·Marinos W 2025-03-29 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Yokohama FC W 2025-03-15 Tōkyō Verdy 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2025-04-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2025-04-12 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Fagiano Okayama FC L 2025-04-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2025-04-02 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Kashima Antlers W 2025-03-29 Kyōto Sanga FC 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2025-03-16 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.18 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus49% Draw22% Sanfrecce Hiroshima29%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 3.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
71%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
51%
Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus36% Draw38% Sanfrecce Hiroshima26%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
1 – 0
3.6%
3 – 0
3.2%
0 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 14% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 19% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 15% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.