Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Apr | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | Yokohama FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Tokyo Verdy | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #4 |
| 31 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 41 |
| 44 | Conceded | 33 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima has kicked off!
- 5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 10' Yuya Asano needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 15' Yuki Nogami has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 335 appearances.
- 20' Tsukasa Morishima has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 16 cards already picked up this season.
- 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 30' Nagoya Grampus have won 396 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 40' GOAL! Mateus fires home to make it 1-0!
- 41' That looks like a foul for a card for Mateus.
- 46' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 48' GOAL! Mateus fires home to make it 2-0!
- 53' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 58' Nagoya Grampus are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sanfrecce Hiroshima backline.
- 59' The whistle greets Tsukasa Morishima as he departs to be replaced by Teruki Hara.
- 61' The supporters are chanting for Naoki Maeda. He replaces Satoshi Tanaka on 61 minute.
- 64' Sanfrecce Hiroshima player sees a card in front of him.
- 69' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Hasegawa will be considering his options from the bench.
- 70' That is a card for Nagoya Grampus. Kensuke Nagai will be fuming at that decision.
- 75' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Tsukasa Shiotani exits the field as Sota Koshimichi enters on 75.
- 76' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Kensuke Nagai trudges off to be replaced by Taichi Kikuchi on 76 minutes.
- 81' The Japan Daiki Suga breaks the deadlock on 81 minutes. 2-1!
- 86' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shunki Higashi suffering a number of foals already.
- 87' The whistle greets Shuhei Tokumoto as he departs to be replaced by Masahito Ono.
- The final score is 2-1.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 8
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 76'
- 2
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Teruki Hara 59'
- 15
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Yuya Asano 87'
- 10
- 6
-
55
Shuhei Tokumoto ↓ Masahito Ono 87'
- 20
Bench
- 17
-
70
Teruki Hara ↑ 59'
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 87'
- 3
-
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 76'
- 35
-
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 87'
- 30
- 20
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 19
- 1
- 6
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Daiki Suga 61'
- 33
- 4
-
14
Satoshi Tanaka ↓ Naoki Maeda 61'
- 15
- 51
- 39
Bench
-
18
Daiki Suga ↑ 61'
- 3
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↑ 61'
- 20
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 75'
- 27
- 40
- 36
- 26
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kasper Junker | 4 |
| Mateus | 4 |
| Naoki Maeda | 3 |
| Gakuto Notsuda | 2 |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 |
| Douglas Vieira | 1 |
| Yuichi Maruyama | 1 |
| Sho Sasaki | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-04-20
Nagoya Grampus
2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-04-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-04-06
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2025-04-02
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Kashima Antlers
W
2025-03-29
Kyoto Sanga FC
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-03-16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Kashiwa Reysol
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.18
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.98
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
71%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
51%
Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
1 – 0
3.6%
3 – 0
3.2%
0 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 14% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 19% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 15% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.