Sunday , 16 August 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Nagoya Grampus
2 – 1
Full Time
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sun 20 Apr 2025 · 05:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Mateus 41' Y
Y 64' Shuto Nakano
Kensuke Nagai 70' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

10
3
7
Nagoya Grampus 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–1 W
12 Apr Gamba Osaka A 0–2 L
06 Apr Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
02 Apr Yokohama F.Marinos H 2–0 W
29 Mar Yokohama FC H 2–1 W
15 Mar Tokyo Verdy A 1–2 L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 1–2 L
12 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 0–1 L
06 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
02 Apr Kashima Antlers H 1–0 W
29 Mar Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–1 L
16 Mar Kashiwa Reysol H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#3 Position #4
31 Points 30
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
46 Scored 41
44 Conceded 33
+2 GD +8
1.72 PPG 1.67
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Toyota Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Michael Skibbe might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' Daniel Schmidt, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 30' Sanfrecce Hiroshima looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Hayao Kawabe scoring 1 goals.
  • 35' Sanfrecce Hiroshima fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 40' Mateus is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 41' Mateus picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ryuji Izumi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 48' Mateus adds to his 0 season tally! Nagoya Grampus lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 53' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 58' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 59' Tsukasa Morishima makes way for Teruki Hara at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
  • 61' Naoki Maeda has so much to prove this time. He replaces Satoshi Tanaka on 61 minute.
  • 64' A moment of madness from Shuto Nakano on 64 minutes earns him a card. Sanfrecce Hiroshima will be frustrated.
  • 69' Nagoya Grampus have won 396 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 70' Controversy at the stadium! Kensuke Nagai argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 75' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Tsukasa Shiotani exits the field as Sota Koshimichi enters on 75.
  • 76' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Taichi Kikuchi is hanging Kensuke Nagai on the field on 76 minute.
  • 81' Magnificent from Daiki Suga! That is 18 goals in 381 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 86' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 87' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Masahito Ono comes on to replace Shuhei Tokumoto.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Nagoya Grampus take all three points.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kasper Junker 4
Mateus 4
Naoki Maeda 3
Gakuto Notsuda 2
Shuto Nakano 2
Leandro Pereira 1
Sota Nakamura 1
Naoto Arai 1

Head to Head

2025-04-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Nagoya Grampus Form

2025-04-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2025-04-12 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-04-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-04-02 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Yokohama F.Marinos W 2025-03-29 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Yokohama FC W 2025-03-15 Tokyo Verdy 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2025-04-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2025-04-12 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Fagiano Okayama FC L 2025-04-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2025-04-02 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Kashima Antlers W 2025-03-29 Kyoto Sanga FC 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2025-03-16 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.18 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus49% Draw22% Sanfrecce Hiroshima29%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 3.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
71%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
51%
Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus36% Draw38% Sanfrecce Hiroshima26%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
1 – 0
3.6%
3 – 0
3.2%
0 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 14% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 19% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 15% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.