Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Apr | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | Yokohama FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #4 |
| 31 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 41 |
| 44 | Conceded | 33 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
52%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
62%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 10 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima get this one started.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Hasegawa might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 20' The travelling Sanfrecce Hiroshima supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 25' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Keiya Shiihashi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 30' Brazil international Mateus has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 40' GOAL! Mateus scores on 40.
- 41' Mateus was booked on 41.
- 46' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 48' A goal from the Brazil international Mateus! He fires home on 48 to make it 2-0!
- 53' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 58' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 59' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Tsukasa Morishima departs to be replaced by Teruki Hara.
- 61' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Satoshi Tanaka trudges off to be replaced by Naoki Maeda on 61 minutes.
- 64' Sanfrecce Hiroshima player sees a card in front of him.
- 69' Daiki Suga, a Japan , has 31 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 70' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kensuke Nagai.
- 75' Tsukasa Shiotani makes way for Sota Koshimichi at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 76' Taichi Kikuchi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kensuke Nagai on 76 minute.
- 81' Brilliant from the ! Daiki Suga makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 81.
- 86' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 87' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Shuhei Tokumoto is replaced by Masahito Ono on 87 minute.
- Nagoya Grampus celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 8
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 76'
- 2
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Teruki Hara 59'
- 15
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Yuya Asano 87'
- 10
- 6
-
55
Shuhei Tokumoto ↓ Masahito Ono 87'
- 20
Bench
- 17
-
70
Teruki Hara ↑ 59'
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 87'
- 3
-
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 76'
- 35
-
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 87'
- 30
- 20
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 19
- 1
- 6
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Daiki Suga 61'
- 33
- 4
-
14
Satoshi Tanaka ↓ Naoki Maeda 61'
- 15
- 51
- 39
Bench
-
18
Daiki Suga ↑ 61'
- 3
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↑ 61'
- 20
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 75'
- 27
- 40
- 36
- 26
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kasper Junker | 4 |
| Mateus | 4 |
| Naoki Maeda | 3 |
| Gakuto Notsuda | 2 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 |
| Akito Suzuki | 2 |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 |
| Yuya Asano | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-04-20
Nagoya Grampus
2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-04-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-04-06
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2025-04-02
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Kashima Antlers
W
2025-03-29
Kyōto Sanga FC
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-03-16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Kashiwa Reysol
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.18
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.98
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
71%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
51%
Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
1 – 0
3.6%
3 – 0
3.2%
0 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 14% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 19% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 15% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.