Saturday , 14 November 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Wed 6 May 2026 · 05:00 UTC Toyota Stadium 38,880 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sho Inagaki 8' 1–0
Yudai Kimura 31' 2–0
2–1 90+5' Rin Mito

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Koji Takasaki (Japan)
  • Assistant 1 Yusuke Shiotsu
  • Assistant 2 Mikiya Nishimura
3 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 13.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Gamba Osaka H 2–1 W
03 May V-Varen Nagasaki A 2–1 W
29 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D
25 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–0 W
19 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 2–2 D
11 Apr Vissel Kobe A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Nagoya Grampus A 1–2 L
02 May Vissel Kobe H 5–0 W
29 Apr Kyōto Sanga FC A 1–1 D
25 Apr V-Varen Nagasaki A 7–6 W
22 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 1–2 L
19 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 6–5 W

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Gamba Osaka
#3 Position #5
31 Points 28
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
46 Scored 61
44 Conceded 53
+2 GD +8
1.72 PPG 1.56
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
15% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/4
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Yuya Yamagishi 3 G
Takuya Uchida 2 G 1 A
Yudai Kimura 2 G 1 A
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Nagoya Grampus have kicked off against Gamba Osaka. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Nagoya Grampus currently sit 5 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 8' Sho Inagaki has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 8 minutes.
  • 12' Shuto Abe catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 12.
  • 17' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 22' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 27' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 31' Yudai Kimura makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Nagoya Grampus are in front.
  • 32' What a strike from Yudai Kimura! The score is 3-0.
  • 37' Gamba Osaka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 37.
  • 42' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 47' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 450 games and scored 410 goals.
  • 52' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 57' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 62' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 67' Gamba Osaka come into this ranked 4 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 72' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Takashi Usami made 303 appearances and scored 46 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 77' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Haruya Fujii suffering a number of foals already.
  • 80' Poor challenge from Ryotaro Meshino. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 85' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 90' Gamba Osaka seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • Nagoya Grampus celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.86 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.76 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 91% + Both teams to score 87%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus45% Draw20% Gamba Osaka35%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes87% 0% No13%
Avg goals/match: 5.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 97%
3%
± 2.5 91%
9%
± 3.5 79%
21%
± 4.5 64%
36%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
65%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
55%
Nagoya Grampus or Gamba Osaka
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus35% Draw31% Gamba Osaka34%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
5%
3 – 3
4.7%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.9%
4 – 2
3.7%
1 – 3
3.7%
2 – 4
3.5%
1 – 1
3.4%
4 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 12% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 16% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 15% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 11% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
7% ✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.