Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Wed 6 May 2026 · 05:00 UTC Toyota Stadium 38,880 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sho Inagaki 8' 1–0
Yudai Kimura 31' 2–0
2–1 90+5' Rin Mito

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Koji Takasaki (Japan)
  • Assistant 1 Yusuke Shiotsu
  • Assistant 2 Mikiya Nishimura

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Gamba Osaka H 2–1 W
03 May V-Varen Nagasaki A 2–1 W
29 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D
25 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–0 W
19 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 2–2 D
11 Apr Vissel Kobe A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Nagoya Grampus A 1–2 L
02 May Vissel Kobe H 5–0 W
29 Apr Kyōto Sanga FC A 1–1 D
25 Apr V-Varen Nagasaki A 7–6 W
22 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 1–2 L
19 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 6–5 W

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Gamba Osaka
#3 Position #5
31 Points 28
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
46 Scored 61
44 Conceded 53
+2 GD +8
1.72 PPG 1.56
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
14% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A
Gamba Osaka
Issam Jebali 2 G 1 A
Deniz Hummet 2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani 1 G
Asahi Uenaka 1 G
Welton 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Gamba Osaka kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Haruya Fujii needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 9 Yellow cards this season.
  • 8' The Japan Sho Inagaki breaks the deadlock on 8 minutes. 1-0!
  • 12' Shuto Abe has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 12.
  • 17' Over 17 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 22' Shinnosuke Nakatani, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 27' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 31' Brilliant from the ! Yudai Kimura makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 31.
  • 32' Goal! Yudai Kimura scores his 19 goal in 169 matches.
  • 37' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Gamba Osaka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 42' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 47' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shuto Abe made 444 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 52' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mihailo Petrović will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 57' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 62' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yuya Yamagishi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 67' It looks surprising Gamba Osaka does not make any changes. Ryuji Izumi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 72' Gamba Osaka fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 77' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 80' Gamba Osaka receives a card for a hard tackle on 80.
  • 85' Nagoya Grampus are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gamba Osaka backline.
  • 90' Gamba Osaka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • Gamba Osaka will have plenty to reflect on. Nagoya Grampus were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.86 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.76 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 91% + Both teams to score 87%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus45% Draw20% Gamba Osaka35%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes87% 0% No13%
Avg goals/match: 5.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 97%
3%
± 2.5 91%
9%
± 3.5 79%
21%
± 4.5 64%
36%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
65%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
55%
Nagoya Grampus or Gamba Osaka
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus35% Draw31% Gamba Osaka34%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
5%
3 – 3
4.7%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.9%
4 – 2
3.7%
1 – 3
3.7%
2 – 4
3.5%
1 – 1
3.4%
4 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 12% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 16% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 15% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 11% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
7% ✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.