Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Wed 6 May 2026 · 05:00 UTC Toyota Stadium 38,880 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sho Inagaki 8' 1–0
Yudai Kimura 31' 2–0
2–1 90+5' Rin Mito

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba OsakaJ. League at Toyota Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Koji Takasaki (Japan)
  • Assistant 1 Yusuke Shiotsu
  • Assistant 2 Mikiya Nishimura
11 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 4.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Gamba Osaka H 2–1 W
03 May V-Varen Nagasaki A 2–1 W
29 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D
25 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–0 W
19 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 2–2 D
11 Apr Vissel Kobe A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Nagoya Grampus A 1–2 L
02 May Vissel Kobe H 5–0 W
29 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–1 D
25 Apr V-Varen Nagasaki A 7–6 W
22 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 1–2 L
19 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 6–5 W

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Gamba Osaka
#3 Position #5
31 Points 28
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
46 Scored 61
44 Conceded 53
+2 GD +8
1.72 PPG 1.56
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
22% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Toyota Stadium that hosts another battle between Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shinnosuke Nakatani made 439 appearances and scored 20 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 8' GOAL! Sho Inagaki scores on 8. Assisted by Katsuhiro Nakayama
  • 12' Gamba Osaka player sees a card in front of him.
  • 17' It’s high time Jens Wissing made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 22' Gamba Osaka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 22.
  • 27' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ryoya Yamashita, as he is very good at scoring at Toyota Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 31' GOAL! Yudai Kimura scores on 31. Assisted by Teruki Hara
  • 32' Yudai Kimura with the second goal in the match!
  • 37' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 42' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 47' Gamba Osaka is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 52' Nagoya Grampus looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Sho Inagaki scoring 1 goals.
  • 57' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gamba Osaka that had 403 games and scored 377 goals.
  • 62' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 67' It looks surprising Gamba Osaka does not make any changes. Rui Araki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 72' Shuhei Tokumoto has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 77' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Nagoya Grampus winning 50% of all matches.
  • 80' That looks like a foul for a card for Ryotaro Meshino.
  • 85' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 85 minutes.
  • 90' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • With this win, Nagoya Grampus is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.86 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.76 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 91% + Both teams to score 87%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus45% Draw20% Gamba Osaka35%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes87% 0% No13%
Avg goals/match: 5.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 97%
3%
± 2.5 91%
9%
± 3.5 79%
21%
± 4.5 64%
36%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
65%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
55%
Nagoya Grampus or Gamba Osaka
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus35% Draw31% Gamba Osaka34%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
5%
3 – 3
4.7%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.9%
4 – 2
3.7%
1 – 3
3.7%
2 – 4
3.5%
1 – 1
3.4%
4 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 12% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 16% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 15% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 11% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
7%
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.