Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 – 2
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sat 28 Jun 2025 · 10:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'
Sota Nakamura 32' Y
Y 43' Yuki Nogami
Shunki Higashi 46' Y
Y 50' Tsukasa Morishima
Y 81' Alexandre Pisano

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

8
3
10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 21 games · Avg 2.5 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2025-06-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Nagoya Grampus 2025-04-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jun Nagoya Grampus H 1–2 L
22 Jun Yokohama FC A 4–0 W
14 Jun Kashima Antlers A 1–1 D
31 May Kawasaki Frontale H 1–2 L
25 May FC Tōkyō A 3–0 W
17 May Tōkyō Verdy H 2–1 W
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jun Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 2–1 W
21 Jun Shimizu S-Pulse H 1–1 D
15 Jun Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
31 May Albirex Niigata H 3–0 W
24 May Urawa Red Diamonds H 2–1 W
17 May Avispa Fukuoka A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Nagoya Grampus
#4 Position #3
30 Points 31
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
41 Scored 46
33 Conceded 44
+8 GD +2
1.67 PPG 1.72
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Akito Suzuki 6 G 2 A
Shun Ayukawa 3 G 1 A
Sebastien Haller 3 G 1 A
Mutsuki Kato 2 G 3 A
Shuto Nakano 2 G 1 A
Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Sanfrecce Hiroshima welcome Nagoya Grampus for this crunch clash at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
  • 5' Shuhei Tokumoto has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' Nagoya Grampus have won 403 goals from 444 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 21' Mateus doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 26' Ryuji Izumi, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 31' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 32' That is a card for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Sota Nakamura will be fuming at that decision.
  • 37' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 37 minutes.
  • 40' Mateus does the damage! The net is bulging and Nagoya Grampus surge ahead!
  • 43' Yuki Nogami was booked on 43.
  • 46' Shunki Higashi is having his name booked by the referee on 46.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Mateus as he leaves the pitch. Kensuke Nagai steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 50' It’s gonna be a card for Tsukasa Morishima.
  • 54' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Tsukasa Morishima has done his job and it is now time for Taichi Kikuchi to step up.
  • 58' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Mutsuki Kato departs to be replaced by Naoki Maeda.
  • 63' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sanfrecce Hiroshima must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 68' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 70' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Ryo Germain departs to be replaced by Valere Germain.
  • 75' Sanfrecce Hiroshima ring the changes. Sota Nakamura has done his job and it is now time for Motoki Ohara to step up.
  • 80' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 81' Alexandre Pisano picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 86' Sanfrecce Hiroshima seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 90' The Japan Naoto Arai breaks the deadlock on 90 minutes. 1-2!
  • 90' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Shuhei Tokumoto by Akinari Kawazura on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-2.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kasper Junker 4
Mateus 4
Naoki Maeda 3
Mutsuki Kato 2
Akito Suzuki 2
Shuto Nakano 2
Gakuto Notsuda 2
Takumu Kawamura 1

Head to Head

2025-06-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Nagoya Grampus 2025-04-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2025-06-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-06-22 Yokohama FC 0–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2025-06-14 Kashima Antlers 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2025-05-31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Kawasaki Frontale L 2025-05-25 FC Tōkyō 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2025-05-17 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Tōkyō Verdy W

Nagoya Grampus Form

2025-06-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2025-06-21 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse D 2025-06-15 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-05-31 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 Albirex Niigata W 2025-05-24 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2025-05-17 Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.24 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sanfrecce Hiroshima42% Draw24% Nagoya Grampus34%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 58%
42%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
66%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
58%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sanfrecce Hiroshima36% Draw37% Nagoya Grampus27%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.5%
2 – 1
7.4%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4.1%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 3
3.3%
1 – 0
3.2%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 14% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 18% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 15% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 10% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.