Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 – 2
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sat 28 Jun 2025 · 10:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'
Sota Nakamura 32' Y
Y 43' Yuki Nogami
Shunki Higashi 46' Y
Y 50' Tsukasa Morishima
Y 81' Alexandre Pisano

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

8
3
10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 21 games · Avg 2.5 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2025-06-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Nagoya Grampus 2025-04-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jun Nagoya Grampus H 1–2 L
22 Jun Yokohama FC A 4–0 W
14 Jun Kashima Antlers A 1–1 D
31 May Kawasaki Frontale H 1–2 L
25 May FC Tōkyō A 3–0 W
17 May Tōkyō Verdy H 2–1 W
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jun Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 2–1 W
21 Jun Shimizu S-Pulse H 1–1 D
15 Jun Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
31 May Albirex Niigata H 3–0 W
24 May Urawa Red Diamonds H 2–1 W
17 May Avispa Fukuoka A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Nagoya Grampus
#4 Position #3
30 Points 31
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
41 Scored 46
33 Conceded 44
+8 GD +2
1.67 PPG 1.72
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
62% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Akito Suzuki 10 G 4 A
Mutsuki Kato 3 G 3 A
Shuto Nakano 3 G 2 A
Shun Ayukawa 3 G 1 A
Sebastien Haller 3 G 1 A
Nagoya Grampus
Yuya Yamagishi 3 G
Takuya Uchida 2 G 1 A
Yudai Kimura 2 G 1 A
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score. At the same time, Nagoya Grampus does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Soichiro Mori, a Japan defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' Sanfrecce Hiroshima seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 21' Goal! Mateus scores his 40 goal in 452 matches.
  • 26' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Hasegawa might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 31' Over 31 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 32' That is a card for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Sota Nakamura will be fuming at that decision.
  • 37' It’s high time Michael Skibbe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 40' The deadlock is broken! Mateus gets on the scoresheet on 40 minutes.
  • 43' That looks like a foul for a card for Yuki Nogami.
  • 46' Shunki Higashi picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' Kensuke Nagai gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Mateus and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 50' Tsukasa Morishima catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 50.
  • 54' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Tsukasa Morishima departs to be replaced by Taichi Kikuchi.
  • 58' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Mutsuki Kato departs to be replaced by Naoki Maeda.
  • 63' Sanfrecce Hiroshima has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 68' Keisuke Osako has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 70' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Ryo Germain is replaced by Valere Germain.
  • 75' The whistle greets Sota Nakamura as he departs to be replaced by Motoki Ohara.
  • 80' Nagoya Grampus have won 412 goals from 452 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 81' Alexandre Pisano catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 81.
  • 86' With 1 assists to his name this season, Kensuke Nagai is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 90' Naoto Arai doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 90' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Shuhei Tokumoto is withdrawn and Akinari Kawazura gets his opportunity.
  • It finishes all square. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus share the spoils 1-2.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kasper Junker 4
Mateus 4
Naoki Maeda 3
Mutsuki Kato 2
Akito Suzuki 2
Shuto Nakano 2
Gakuto Notsuda 2
Takumu Kawamura 1

Head to Head

2025-06-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Nagoya Grampus 2025-04-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2025-06-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-06-22 Yokohama FC 0–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2025-06-14 Kashima Antlers 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2025-05-31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Kawasaki Frontale L 2025-05-25 FC Tōkyō 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2025-05-17 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Tōkyō Verdy W

Nagoya Grampus Form

2025-06-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2025-06-21 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse D 2025-06-15 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-05-31 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 Albirex Niigata W 2025-05-24 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2025-05-17 Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.24 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sanfrecce Hiroshima42% Draw24% Nagoya Grampus34%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 58%
42%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
66%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
58%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sanfrecce Hiroshima36% Draw37% Nagoya Grampus27%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.5%
2 – 1
7.4%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4.1%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 3
3.3%
1 – 0
3.2%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 14% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 18% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 15% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 10% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.