Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 – 2
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sat 28 Jun 2025 · 10:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'
Sota Nakamura 32' Y
Y 43' Yuki Nogami
Shunki Higashi 46' Y
Y 50' Tsukasa Morishima
Y 81' Alexandre Pisano

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

7
3
10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2025-06-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Nagoya Grampus 2025-04-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jun Nagoya Grampus H 1–2 L
22 Jun Yokohama FC A 4–0 W
14 Jun Kashima Antlers A 1–1 D
31 May Kawasaki Frontale H 1–2 L
25 May FC Tōkyō A 3–0 W
17 May Tokyo Verdy H 2–1 W
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jun Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 2–1 W
21 Jun Shimizu S-Pulse H 1–1 D
15 Jun Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
31 May Albirex Niigata H 3–0 W
24 May Urawa Red Diamonds H 2–1 W
17 May Avispa Fukuoka A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Nagoya Grampus
#4 Position #3
30 Points 31
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
41 Scored 46
33 Conceded 44
+8 GD +2
1.67 PPG 1.72
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima as Sanfrecce Hiroshima face off against Nagoya Grampus in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' It’s high time Michael Skibbe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Sanfrecce Hiroshima in their trying to find a way past Nagoya Grampus's compact .
  • 20' Japan international Kensuke Nagai has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 21' GOAL! Mateus fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 26' Hayato Araki has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 14 cards already picked up this season.
  • 31' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 32' Sota Nakamura was booked on 32.
  • 37' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 40' Brilliant from the ! Mateus makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 40.
  • 43' Yuki Nogami picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' Sanfrecce Hiroshima receives a card for a hard tackle on 46.
  • 46' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Mateus trudges off to be replaced by Kensuke Nagai on 46 minutes.
  • 50' The referee has no hesitation. Tsukasa Morishima is booked for Nagoya Grampus — card on 50.
  • 54' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Tsukasa Morishima departs to be replaced by Taichi Kikuchi.
  • 58' Naoki Maeda has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mutsuki Kato on 58 minute.
  • 63' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sanfrecce Hiroshima side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 68' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 70' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Ryo Germain trudges off to be replaced by Valere Germain on 70 minutes.
  • 75' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Motoki Ohara comes on to replace Sota Nakamura.
  • 80' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 81' The referee shows Nagoya Grampus player a card on 81.
  • 86' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 90' Naoto Arai does the damage! The net is bulging and Sanfrecce Hiroshima surge ahead!
  • 90' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Shuhei Tokumoto trudges off to be replaced by Akinari Kawazura on 90 minutes.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kasper Junker 4
Mateus 4
Naoki Maeda 3
Gakuto Notsuda 2
Shuto Nakano 2
Naoto Arai 1
Tsukasa Morishima 1
Tsukasa Morishima 1

Head to Head

2025-06-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Nagoya Grampus 2025-04-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2025-06-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-06-22 Yokohama FC 0–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2025-06-14 Kashima Antlers 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2025-05-31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Kawasaki Frontale L 2025-05-25 FC Tōkyō 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2025-05-17 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Tokyo Verdy W

Nagoya Grampus Form

2025-06-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2025-06-21 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse D 2025-06-15 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-05-31 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 Albirex Niigata W 2025-05-24 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2025-05-17 Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.24 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sanfrecce Hiroshima42% Draw24% Nagoya Grampus34%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 58%
42%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
66%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
58%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sanfrecce Hiroshima36% Draw37% Nagoya Grampus27%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.5%
2 – 1
7.4%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4.1%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 3
3.3%
1 – 0
3.2%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 14% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 18% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 15% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 10% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.