Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 – 2
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sat 28 Jun 2025 · 10:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'
Sota Nakamura 32' Y
Y 43' Yuki Nogami
Shunki Higashi 46' Y
Y 50' Tsukasa Morishima
Y 81' Alexandre Pisano

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

7
3
10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2025-06-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Nagoya Grampus 2025-04-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jun Nagoya Grampus H 1–2 L
22 Jun Yokohama FC A 4–0 W
14 Jun Kashima Antlers A 1–1 D
31 May Kawasaki Frontale H 1–2 L
25 May FC Tokyo A 3–0 W
17 May Tokyo Verdy H 2–1 W
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jun Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 2–1 W
21 Jun Shimizu S-Pulse H 1–1 D
15 Jun Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
31 May Albirex Niigata H 3–0 W
24 May Urawa Red Diamonds H 2–1 W
17 May Avispa Fukuoka A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Nagoya Grampus
#4 Position #3
30 Points 31
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
41 Scored 46
33 Conceded 44
+8 GD +2
1.67 PPG 1.72
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Sanfrecce Hiroshima launch into their encounter with Nagoya Grampus.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sho Inagaki suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' Alexandre Pisano is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
  • 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Taichi Kikuchi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
  • 21' Nagoya Grampus is taking the lead after the goal scored by Mateus on 21.
  • 26' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 31' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 32' It’s a booking for Sanfrecce Hiroshima player. Sota Nakamura gets a card.
  • 37' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 40' Mateus makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and Nagoya Grampus are in front.
  • 43' Yuki Nogami was booked on 43.
  • 46' That looks like a foul for a card for Shunki Higashi.
  • 46' Kensuke Nagai is replacing Mateus for the Nagoya Grampus side.
  • 50' The referee has no hesitation. Tsukasa Morishima is booked for Nagoya Grampus — card on 50.
  • 54' The supporters are chanting for Taichi Kikuchi. He replaces Tsukasa Morishima on 54 minute.
  • 58' Naoki Maeda is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mutsuki Kato at the 58 minute mark.
  • 63' Akinari Kawazura has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 68' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Hasegawa will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 70' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Ryo Germain is replaced by Valere Germain.
  • 75' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Sota Nakamura is replaced by Motoki Ohara.
  • 80' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 81' Alexandre Pisano was booked on 81.
  • 86' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 90' The Japan Naoto Arai breaks the deadlock on 90 minutes. 1-2!
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Akinari Kawazura. He replaces Shuhei Tokumoto on 90 minute.
  • With this win, Nagoya Grampus is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kasper Junker 4
Mateus 4
Naoki Maeda 3
Shuto Nakano 2
Gakuto Notsuda 2
Yuki Kobayashi 1
Hayato Araki 1
Jo 1

Head to Head

2025-06-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Nagoya Grampus 2025-04-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2025-06-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-06-22 Yokohama FC 0–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2025-06-14 Kashima Antlers 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2025-05-31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Kawasaki Frontale L 2025-05-25 FC Tokyo 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2025-05-17 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Tokyo Verdy W

Nagoya Grampus Form

2025-06-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2025-06-21 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse D 2025-06-15 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-05-31 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 Albirex Niigata W 2025-05-24 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2025-05-17 Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.24 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sanfrecce Hiroshima42% Draw24% Nagoya Grampus34%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 58%
42%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
66%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
58%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sanfrecce Hiroshima36% Draw37% Nagoya Grampus27%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.5%
2 – 1
7.4%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4.1%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 3
3.3%
1 – 0
3.2%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 14% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 18% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 15% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 10% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.