Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Nagoya Grampus

1 – 2

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sat 17 Aug 2024 · 10:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 45' Hayao Kawabe

Ryuji Izumi 79' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-09-17 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Aug	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–2	L
11 Aug	Tokyo Verdy	H	1–0	W
07 Aug	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	2–3	L
20 Jul	Vissel Kobe	A	3–3	D
14 Jul	Kashiwa Reysol	H	2–1	W
06 Jul	FC Machida Zelvia	A	0–1	L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Aug	Nagoya Grampus	A	2–1	W
11 Aug	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–0	W
07 Aug	Tokyo Verdy	A	1–0	W
21 Jul	Sagan Tosu FC	A	4–1	W
14 Jul	Avispa Fukuoka	H	1–0	W
05 Jul	Vissel Kobe	H	1–3	L

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus		Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#3	Position	#4
31	Points	30
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
46	Scored	41
44	Conceded	33
+2	GD	+8
1.72	PPG	1.67
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/1

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

3/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus are looking to make home advantage count against Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Skibbe will be considering his options from the bench.
15' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
25' Naoto Arai, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Sanfrecce Hiroshima winning 50% of all matches.
35' Shuto Nakano has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 335 appearances.
40' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their trying to find a way past Sanfrecce Hiroshima's compact .
45' Hayao Kawabe has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
48' A goal from the Japan international Hayato Araki! He fires home on 48 to make it 0-1!
53' With 0 assists to his name this season, Akinari Kawazura is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
55' The Japan Mutsuki Kato breaks the deadlock on 55 minutes. 0-2!
56' The crowd applauds Katsuhiro Nakayama as he leaves the pitch. Taichi Kikuchi steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
57' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Keiya Shiihashi exits the field as Ryosuke Yamanaka enters on 57.
62' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
67' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's shape.
72' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Patric trudges off to be replaced by Kasper Junker on 72 minutes.
74' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Mutsuki Kato by Alen Inoue on 74 minute.
79' The referee has no hesitation. Ryuji Izumi is booked for Nagoya Grampus — card on 79.
84' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
85' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Ken Masui comes on to replace Ryuji Izumi.
88' A goal from the Denmark international Kasper Junker! He fires home on 88 to make it 1-2!
90' It is a substitution in Sanfrecce Hiroshima team. Makoto Mitsuta is replaced by Sota Koshimichi on 90 minute.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

8
Keiya Shiihashi ↓ Ryosuke Yamanaka 57'
1
Mitch Langerak
2
Yuki Nogami
14
Tsukasa Morishima
15
Sho Inagaki
10
Patric ↓ Kasper Junker 72'
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Ken Masui 85'
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 56'
11
Yuya Yamagishi
24
Akinari Kawazura
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni

Bench

66
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↑ 57'
16
Yohei Takeda
17
Ken Masui ↑ 85'
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 72'
19
Takuya Shigehiro
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 56'
3
Chang-rae Ha

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mateus	4
Kasper Junker	4
Naoki Maeda	3
Shuto Nakano	2
Gakuto Notsuda	2
Hayato Araki	1
Jo	1
Hayao Kawabe	1

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2024-08-11 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Tokyo Verdy W 2024-08-07 Kyoto Sanga FC 3–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-07-20 Vissel Kobe 3–3 Nagoya Grampus D 2024-07-14 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Kashiwa Reysol W 2024-07-06 FC Machida Zelvia 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-08-11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-08-07 Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-07-21 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-07-14 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka W 2024-07-05 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–3 Vissel Kobe L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.83 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 76% + Over 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus34% Draw24% Sanfrecce Hiroshima42%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes73% 0% No27%

Avg goals/match: 3.9

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	73%	27%
± 3.5	54%	46%
± 4.5	35%	65%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

58%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

66%

Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus28% Draw38% Sanfrecce Hiroshima34%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.5%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

6.9%

2 – 1

6.8%

1 – 3

5.3%

2 – 3

4.8%

0 – 2

4.4%

3 – 2

4.2%

3 – 1

4.1%

0 – 1

3.7%

2 – 0

3.5%

1 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	10%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	16%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	18%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	13%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.