Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Nagoya Grampus

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Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sat 17 Aug 2024 · 10:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 45' Hayao Kawabe

Ryuji Izumi 79' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-09-17 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Aug	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–2	L
11 Aug	Tokyo Verdy	H	1–0	W
07 Aug	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	2–3	L
20 Jul	Vissel Kobe	A	3–3	D
14 Jul	Kashiwa Reysol	H	2–1	W
06 Jul	FC Machida Zelvia	A	0–1	L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Aug	Nagoya Grampus	A	2–1	W
11 Aug	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–0	W
07 Aug	Tokyo Verdy	A	1–0	W
21 Jul	Sagan Tosu FC	A	4–1	W
14 Jul	Avispa Fukuoka	H	1–0	W
05 Jul	Vissel Kobe	H	1–3	L

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus		Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#3	Position	#4
31	Points	30
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
46	Scored	41
44	Conceded	33
+2	GD	+8
1.72	PPG	1.67
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima has kicked off!
5' With 1 assists to his name this season, Kennedy Egbus Mikuni is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Skibbe will be considering his options from the bench.
15' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
25' Hayao Kawabe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
35' Sanfrecce Hiroshima fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
40' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their trying to find a way past Sanfrecce Hiroshima's compact .
45' That is a card for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Hayao Kawabe will be fuming at that decision.
48' What a strike from Hayato Araki! The score is 0-1.
53' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's shape.
55' Mutsuki Kato adds to his 3 season tally! Sanfrecce Hiroshima lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
56' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Katsuhiro Nakayama is withdrawn and Taichi Kikuchi gets his opportunity.
57' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryosuke Yamanaka is hanging Keiya Shiihashi on the field on 57 minute.
62' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tsukasa Morishima, as he is very good at scoring at Toyota Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
67' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
72' Kasper Junker gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Patric and will look to change the dynamic.
74' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Mutsuki Kato by Alen Inoue on 74 minute.
79' Ryuji Izumi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 79.
84' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
85' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Ryuji Izumi is replaced by Ken Masui.
88' A stunning finish from Kasper Junker — that came from absolutely nowhere!
90' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Makoto Mitsuta departs to be replaced by Sota Koshimichi.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima players.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

8
Keiya Shiihashi ↓ Ryosuke Yamanaka 57'
1
Mitch Langerak
2
Yuki Nogami
14
Tsukasa Morishima
15
Sho Inagaki
10
Patric ↓ Kasper Junker 72'
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Ken Masui 85'
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 56'
11
Yuya Yamagishi
24
Akinari Kawazura
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni

Bench

66
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↑ 57'
16
Yohei Takeda
17
Ken Masui ↑ 85'
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 72'
19
Takuya Shigehiro
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 56'
3
Chang-rae Ha

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kasper Junker	4
Mateus	4
Naoki Maeda	3
Gakuto Notsuda	2
Shuto Nakano	2
Sho Inagaki	1
Yoshifumi Kashiwa	1
Takumu Kawamura	1

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2024-08-11 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Tokyo Verdy W 2024-08-07 Kyoto Sanga FC 3–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-07-20 Vissel Kobe 3–3 Nagoya Grampus D 2024-07-14 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Kashiwa Reysol W 2024-07-06 FC Machida Zelvia 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-08-11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-08-07 Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-07-21 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-07-14 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka W 2024-07-05 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–3 Vissel Kobe L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.83 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 76% + Over 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus34% Draw24% Sanfrecce Hiroshima42%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes73% 0% No27%

Avg goals/match: 3.9

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	73%	27%
± 3.5	54%	46%
± 4.5	35%	65%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

58%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

66%

Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus28% Draw38% Sanfrecce Hiroshima34%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.5%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

6.9%

2 – 1

6.8%

1 – 3

5.3%

2 – 3

4.8%

0 – 2

4.4%

3 – 2

4.2%

3 – 1

4.1%

0 – 1

3.7%

2 – 0

3.5%

1 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	10%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	16%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	18%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	13%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.