Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Aug | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Aug | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Jul | Vissel Kobe | A | 3–3 | D |
| 14 Jul | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Jul | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Aug | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Aug | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jul | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Jul | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #4 |
| 31 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 41 |
| 44 | Conceded | 33 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
52%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
62%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 10 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Nagoya Grampus have kicked off against Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' Tsukasa Shiotani has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 83 appearances.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' Sanfrecce Hiroshima come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 25' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Hasegawa will be considering his options from the bench.
- 35' Mitch Langerak has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 40' Patric has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 15 cards already picked up this season.
- 45' Sanfrecce Hiroshima player sees a card in front of him.
- 48' A goal from the Japan international Hayato Araki! He fires home on 48 to make it 0-1!
- 53' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 55' Assisted by Shuto Nakano with the perfectly-timed delivery and Mutsuki Kato makes no mistake. 0-2!
- 56' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Katsuhiro Nakayama trudges off to be replaced by Taichi Kikuchi on 56 minutes.
- 57' Ryosuke Yamanaka is ready to make an impact after coming on for Keiya Shiihashi at the 57 minute mark.
- 62' Yuki Nogami needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 23 Yellow cards this season.
- 67' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 72' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kasper Junker is hanging Patric on the field on 72 minute.
- 74' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Mutsuki Kato is replaced by Alen Inoue.
- 79' Controversy at the stadium! Ryuji Izumi argues furiously but the card stands.
- 84' It looks like no one’s ball. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 85' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Ryuji Izumi is replaced by Ken Masui on 85 minute.
- 88' What composure from Kasper Junker! The Denmark international strokes it home. 1-2.
- 90' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Makoto Mitsuta is replaced by Sota Koshimichi.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 1
- 2
- 14
- 15
-
10
Patric ↓ Kasper Junker 72'
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Ken Masui 85'
- 27
- 11
- 24
- 20
Bench
-
66
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↑ 57'
- 16
-
17
Ken Masui ↑ 85'
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 72'
- 19
-
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 56'
- 3
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
- 14
-
66
Hayao Kawabe ↓ Tolgay Arslan 74'
- 24
- 33
- 4
- 13
- 11
- 15
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Alen Inoue 74'
Bench
- 22
- 18
-
30
Tolgay Arslan ↑ 74'
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 90'
- 27
- 35
-
36
Alen Inoue ↑ 74'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kasper Junker | 4 |
| Mateus | 4 |
| Naoki Maeda | 3 |
| Gakuto Notsuda | 2 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 |
| Akito Suzuki | 2 |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 |
| Tsukasa Morishima | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-08-17
Nagoya Grampus
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-08-11
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2024-08-07
Tōkyō Verdy
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-07-21
Sagan Tosu FC
1–4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-07-14
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2024-07-05
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–3
Vissel Kobe
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.83
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.07
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 76% + Over 2.5 goals 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.9
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
58%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
66%
Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 3
4.8%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
4.1%
0 – 1
3.7%
2 – 0
3.5%
1 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 10% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 16% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 18% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 13% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

