Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Nagoya Grampus

1 – 2

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sat 17 Aug 2024 · 10:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 45' Hayao Kawabe

Ryuji Izumi 79' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 21 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-09-17 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Aug	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–2	L
11 Aug	Tōkyō Verdy	H	1–0	W
07 Aug	Kyōto Sanga FC	A	2–3	L
20 Jul	Vissel Kobe	A	3–3	D
14 Jul	Kashiwa Reysol	H	2–1	W
06 Jul	FC Machida Zelvia	A	0–1	L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Aug	Nagoya Grampus	A	2–1	W
11 Aug	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–0	W
07 Aug	Tōkyō Verdy	A	1–0	W
21 Jul	Sagan Tosu FC	A	4–1	W
14 Jul	Avispa Fukuoka	H	1–0	W
05 Jul	Vissel Kobe	H	1–3	L

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus		Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#3	Position	#4
31	Points	30
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
46	Scored	41
44	Conceded	33
+2	GD	+8
1.72	PPG	1.67
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/2

61-75

–/2

76+

3/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

5/–

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

Naomichi Ueda

1 G

1 A

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	6 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A
Mutsuki Kato	2 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	2 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Toyota Stadium as Nagoya Grampus face off against Sanfrecce Hiroshima in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' Katsuhiro Nakayama is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
10' The 33-year-old Yuya Yamagishi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
15' Sanfrecce Hiroshima looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Sebastien Haller scoring 1 goals.
20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
25' Naoto Arai has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
35' Sanfrecce Hiroshima fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
40' Yuki Nogami, a Japan , has 22 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
45' It’s a booking for Sanfrecce Hiroshima player. Hayao Kawabe gets a card.
48' What a moment for Hayato Araki! That strike on 48 puts his side firmly in control.
53' Akinari Kawazura needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
55' Brilliant from the ! Mutsuki Kato makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 55.
56' The crowd applauds Katsuhiro Nakayama as he leaves the pitch. Taichi Kikuchi steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
57' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Ryosuke Yamanaka on, Keiya Shiihashi off on 57 minutes.
62' It looks like no one’s ball. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
67' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
72' Kasper Junker is replacing Patric for the Nagoya Grampus side.
74' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Mutsuki Kato is withdrawn and Alen Inoue gets his opportunity.
79' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ryuji Izumi on 79.
84' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
85' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Ryuji Izumi is replaced by Ken Masui on 85 minute.
88' Kasper Junker adds to his 0 season tally! Nagoya Grampus lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
90' Sanfrecce Hiroshima ring the changes. Makoto Mitsuta has done his job and it is now time for Sota Koshimichi to step up.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

8
Keiya Shiihashi ↓ Ryosuke Yamanaka 57'
1
Mitch Langerak
2
Yuki Nogami
14
Tsukasa Morishima
15
Sho Inagaki
10
Patric ↓ Kasper Junker 72'
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Ken Masui 85'
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 56'
11
Yuya Yamagishi
24
Akinari Kawazura
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni

Bench

66
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↑ 57'
16
Yohei Takeda
17
Ken Masui ↑ 85'
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 72'
19
Takuya Shigehiro
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 56'
3
Chang-rae Ha

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kasper Junker	4
Mateus	4
Naoki Maeda	3
Gakuto Notsuda	2
Mutsuki Kato	2
Akito Suzuki	2
Shuto Nakano	2
Naoto Arai	1

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2024-08-11 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Tōkyō Verdy W 2024-08-07 Kyōto Sanga FC 3–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-07-20 Vissel Kobe 3–3 Nagoya Grampus D 2024-07-14 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Kashiwa Reysol W 2024-07-06 FC Machida Zelvia 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-08-11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-08-07 Tōkyō Verdy 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-07-21 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-07-14 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka W 2024-07-05 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–3 Vissel Kobe L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.83 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 76% + Over 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus34% Draw24% Sanfrecce Hiroshima42%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes73% 0% No27%

Avg goals/match: 3.9

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	73%	27%
± 3.5	54%	46%
± 4.5	35%	65%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

58%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

66%

Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus28% Draw38% Sanfrecce Hiroshima34%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.5%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

6.9%

2 – 1

6.8%

1 – 3

5.3%

2 – 3

4.8%

0 – 2

4.4%

3 – 2

4.2%

3 – 1

4.1%

0 – 1

3.7%

2 – 0

3.5%

1 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	10%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	16%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	18%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	13%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.