Fagiano Okayama FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at City Light Stadium.
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ryo Tanimoto
- Assistant 1 Ryo Hirama
- Assistant 2 Toshiyuki Tanaka
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 5–6 | L |
| 11 Apr | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 05 Apr | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | V-Varen Nagasaki | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 6–5 | W |
| 05 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Fagiano Okayama FC | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #4 |
| 26 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 41 |
| 46 | Conceded | 33 |
| -5 | GD | +8 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 44% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
| Noah Browne | 1 G |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Fagiano Okayama FC is hosting Sanfrecce Hiroshima for another epic battle.
- 5' Fagiano Okayama FC are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 10' Fagiano Okayama FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Kota Kawano scoring 3 goals.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 20' It looks surprising Fagiano Okayama FC does not make any changes. Ryo Takeuchi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Fagiano Okayama FC in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Sanfrecce Hiroshima's compact 3-4-2-1.
- 28' That looks like a foul for a card for Takaya Kimura.
- 33' Fagiano Okayama FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 38' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fagiano Okayama FC that had 63 games and scored 61 goals.
- 43' Tsukasa Shiotani has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 48' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bartosch Gaul might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 53' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yoshitake Suzuki is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 58' The referee has no hesitation. Naoto Arai is booked for Sanfrecce Hiroshima — card on 58.
- 63' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 68' Lucao is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fagiano Okayama FC tonight.
- 73' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Takashi Kiyama will be considering his options from the bench.
- 75' Kazunari Ichimi picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 80' Over 80 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 83' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Leonardo Gaucho makes it 1-0.
- 88' Hayao Kawabe has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Leonardo Gaucho.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for Fagiano Okayama FC and Sanfrecce Hiroshima (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 43
- 48
- 7
- 28
- 88
- 6
- 41
- 27
- 99
- 52
- 40
Bench
- 77
- 22
- 8
- 66
- 26
- 5
- 45
- 17
- 9
Coach
Takashi Kiyama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
- 3
- 14
- 6
- 24
- 41
- 33
- 4
- 30
- 10
- 15
Bench
- 19
- 17
- 99
- 25
- 13
- 35
- 11
- 40
- 39
Coach
Bartosch Gaul
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kota Kawano | 3 |
| Leonardo Gaucho | 1 |
| Ryunosuke Sato | 1 |
| Sota Nakamura | 1 |
| Sebastien Haller | 1 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 1 |
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2026-05-02
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2026-04-29
Nagoya Grampus
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2026-04-25
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–0
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2026-04-19
Gamba Osaka
6–5
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2026-04-11
Kyōto Sanga FC
5–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2026-04-05
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–4
Vissel Kobe
L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2026-05-02
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2026-04-29
Avispa Fukuoka
2–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2026-04-25
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2026-04-18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
W
2026-04-11
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6–5
Shimizu S-Pulse
W
2026-04-05
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Avispa Fukuoka
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.7
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Fagiano Okayama FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 76% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
57%
Fagiano Okayama FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 0
5%
0 – 0
4.9%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 2
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC
| Handicap | Fagiano Okayama FC covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 18% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 18% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✗
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.