Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2026

Nagoya Grampus

2 – 1

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Wed 18 Mar 2026 · 10:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League .

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Daichi Shiino (Japan)

6 games this season 🟨 1.5/game ⚽ 6.5 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-18 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2025-06-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Nagoya Grampus 2025-04-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Mar	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	2–1	W
14 Mar	Vissel Kobe	H	0–3	L
07 Mar	Avispa Fukuoka	A	5–1	W
01 Mar	Fagiano Okayama FC	A	5–6	L
21 Feb	V-Varen Nagasaki	H	1–3	L
15 Feb	Gamba Osaka	A	0–0	D

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Mar	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–2	L
14 Mar	Gamba Osaka	H	2–0	W
27 Feb	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	1–2	L
22 Feb	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	2–1	W
14 Feb	Fagiano Okayama FC	H	1–1	D
06 Feb	V-Varen Nagasaki	A	3–1	W

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus		Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#3	Position	#4
31	Points	30
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
46	Scored	41
44	Conceded	33
+2	GD	+8
1.72	PPG	1.67
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/1

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

3/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Nagoya Grampus to score. At the same time, Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
Another three points for Nagoya Grampus.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mateus	4
Kasper Junker	4
Naoki Maeda	3
Shuto Nakano	2
Gakuto Notsuda	2
Daiki Suga	1
Yuki Nogami	1
Leandro Pereira	1

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2026-03-18 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2026-03-14 Nagoya Grampus 0–3 Vissel Kobe L 2026-03-07 Avispa Fukuoka 1–5 Nagoya Grampus W 2026-03-01 Fagiano Okayama FC 6–5 Nagoya Grampus L 2026-02-21 Nagoya Grampus 1–3 V-Varen Nagasaki L 2026-02-15 Gamba Osaka 0–0 Nagoya Grampus D

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2026-03-18 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2026-03-14 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Gamba Osaka W 2026-02-27 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Kyoto Sanga FC L 2026-02-22 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2026-02-14 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Fagiano Okayama FC D 2026-02-06 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.04 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.13 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 78% + Over 2.5 goals 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus43% Draw22% Sanfrecce Hiroshima35%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.17

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	77%	23%
± 3.5	59%	41%
± 4.5	40%	60%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

65%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

57%

Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus30% Draw37% Sanfrecce Hiroshima33%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

7.5%

1 – 2

2 – 2

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 3

4.9%

1 – 3

4.9%

3 – 2

4.7%

3 – 1

4.5%

0 – 2

3.6%

3 – 3

3.4%

2 – 0

3.3%

0 – 1

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	11%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	16%	62%
-0.5	38%	—	62%
+0.5	59%	—	41%
+1	59%	17%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	12%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.