Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daichi Shiino (Japan)
- Assistant 1 Jun Mihara
- Assistant 2
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Apr | Vissel Kobe | A | 2–3 | L |
| 04 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 5–6 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 5–6 | L |
| 11 Apr | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 05 Apr | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–4 | L |
| 21 Mar | V-Varen Nagasaki | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #6 |
| 31 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 46 | Scored | 41 |
| 44 | Conceded | 46 |
| +2 | GD | -5 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Noah Browne | 2 G | 1 A |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Fagiano Okayama FC get us underway at Toyota Stadium.
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' Nagoya Grampus looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Sho Inagaki scoring 1 goals.
- 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 25' Nagoya Grampus have won 410 goals from 450 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 30' Nagoya Grampus currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 40' Fagiano Okayama FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
- 45' It’s high time Mihailo Petrović made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 46' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Ryuji Izumi is withdrawn and Hidemasa Koda gets his opportunity.
- 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jun Nishikawa suffering a number of foals already.
- 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fagiano Okayama FC that had 67 games and scored 65 goals.
- 59' Fresh legs for Fagiano Okayama FC! Jun Nishikawa comes on to replace Takaya Kimura.
- 64' It looks like no one’s ball. Fagiano Okayama FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 65' A stunning finish from Hidemasa Koda — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 67' The Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes a substitution. Masaya Matsumoto departs to be replaced by Leonardo Gaucho.
- 70' The whistle greets Tsukasa Morishima as he departs to be replaced by Kennedy Egbus Mikuni.
- 75' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 80' Fagiano Okayama FC make a change. Ataru Esaka trudges off to be replaced by Kota Kawano on 80 minutes.
- 83' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ataru Esaka.
- 85' Fagiano Okayama FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 85.
- 89' GOAL! Daichi Tagami scores on 89. Assisted by Kosei Ogura
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
- 14
- 15
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Hidemasa Koda 46'
- 70
- 31
-
9
Yuya Asano ↓ Masahito Ono 80'
- 27
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Shungo Sugiura 59'
- 22
Bench
- 18
- 2
-
19
Hidemasa Koda ↑ 46'
- 33
- 55
-
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni ↑ 70'
- 35
-
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 80'
-
30
Shungo Sugiura ↑ 59'
Coach
Mihailo Petrović
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
- 43
- 18
- 51
- 48
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Kota Kawano 80'
- 28
- 98
- 5
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Jun Nishikawa 59'
-
45
Noah Browne ↓ Towa Yamane 46'
Bench
- 7
-
66
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 59'
-
88
Towa Yamane ↑ 46'
- 6
- 26
-
99
Lucao ↑ 46'
-
9
Leonardo Gaucho ↑ 67'
- 52
-
40
Kota Kawano ↑ 80'
Coach
Takashi Kiyama
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Katsuhiro Nakayama | 1 |
| Yoshitake Suzuki | 1 |
| Hidemasa Koda | 1 |
| Daichi Tagami | 1 |
| Yota Sato | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2026-04-29
Nagoya Grampus
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2026-04-25
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–0
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2026-04-19
Gamba Osaka
6–5
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2026-04-11
Kyōto Sanga FC
5–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2026-04-05
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–4
Vissel Kobe
L
2026-03-21
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.95
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.11
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 82%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.06
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 3.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 4.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
73%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
47%
Nagoya Grampus or Fagiano Okayama FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6%
2 – 1
5.9%
3 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.6%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.3%
4 – 2
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
4 – 1
4.1%
3 – 3
4.1%
4 – 3
3%
2 – 0
3%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 15% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 18% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 13% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 8% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

