Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daichi Shiino (Japan)
- Assistant 1 Jun Mihara
- Assistant 2
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Apr | Vissel Kobe | A | 2–3 | L |
| 04 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 5–6 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 5–6 | L |
| 11 Apr | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 05 Apr | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–4 | L |
| 21 Mar | V-Varen Nagasaki | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #6 |
| 31 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 46 | Scored | 41 |
| 44 | Conceded | 46 |
| +2 | GD | -5 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
| Noah Browne | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Toyota Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mihailo Petrović will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' The travelling Fagiano Okayama FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fagiano Okayama FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' Kota Kawano has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 25' Lucao, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 35' Nagoya Grampus has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 40' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 46' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Ryuji Izumi has done his job and it is now time for Hidemasa Koda to step up.
- 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 56' Masaya Matsumoto has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 59' Jun Nishikawa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Takaya Kimura at the 59 minute mark.
- 64' It looks surprising Fagiano Okayama FC does not make any changes. Daichi Tagami has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 65' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Hidemasa Koda makes it 1-0.
- 67' The Fagiano Okayama FC bench stirs into life. Masaya Matsumoto is withdrawn and Leonardo Gaucho gets his opportunity.
- 70' Kennedy Egbus Mikuni gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Tsukasa Morishima and will look to change the dynamic.
- 75' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Werik suffering a number of foals already.
- 80' Another change for Fagiano Okayama FC made on 80 minute. Ataru Esaka leaves to be changed by Kota Kawano.
- 83' A moment of madness from Ataru Esaka on 83 minutes earns him a card. Fagiano Okayama FC will be frustrated.
- 85' Fagiano Okayama FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 89' What composure from Daichi Tagami! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-1.
- The final score is 1-1.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
- 14
- 15
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Hidemasa Koda 46'
- 70
- 31
-
9
Yuya Asano ↓ Masahito Ono 80'
- 27
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Shungo Sugiura 59'
- 22
Bench
- 18
- 2
-
19
Hidemasa Koda ↑ 46'
- 33
- 55
-
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni ↑ 70'
- 35
-
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 80'
-
30
Shungo Sugiura ↑ 59'
Coach
Mihailo Petrović
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
- 43
- 18
- 51
- 48
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Kota Kawano 80'
- 28
- 98
- 5
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Jun Nishikawa 59'
-
45
Noah Browne ↓ Towa Yamane 46'
Bench
- 7
-
66
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 59'
-
88
Towa Yamane ↑ 46'
- 6
- 26
-
99
Lucao ↑ 46'
-
9
Leonardo Gaucho ↑ 67'
- 52
-
40
Kota Kawano ↑ 80'
Coach
Takashi Kiyama
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hidemasa Koda | 1 |
| Daichi Tagami | 1 |
| Yota Sato | 1 |
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Katsuhiro Nakayama | 1 |
| Yoshitake Suzuki | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2026-04-29
Nagoya Grampus
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2026-04-25
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–0
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2026-04-19
Gamba Osaka
6–5
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2026-04-11
Kyōto Sanga FC
5–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2026-04-05
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–4
Vissel Kobe
L
2026-03-21
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.95
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.11
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 82%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.06
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 3.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 4.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
73%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
47%
Nagoya Grampus or Fagiano Okayama FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6%
2 – 1
5.9%
3 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.6%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.3%
4 – 2
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
4 – 1
4.1%
3 – 3
4.1%
4 – 3
3%
2 – 0
3%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 15% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 18% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 13% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 8% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

