Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Daichi Shiino (Japan)
- Assistant 1 Jun Mihara
- Assistant 2
6 games this season
🟨 1.5/game
⚽ 6.5 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Apr | Vissel Kobe | A | 2–3 | L |
| 04 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 5–6 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 5–6 | L |
| 11 Apr | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 05 Apr | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–4 | L |
| 21 Mar | V-Varen Nagasaki | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #6 |
| 31 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 46 | Scored | 41 |
| 44 | Conceded | 46 |
| +2 | GD | -5 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Toyota Stadium that hosts another battle between Nagoya Grampus and Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 5' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 439 games and scored 396 goals.
- 15' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucao suffering a number of foals already.
- 40' Tomoki Takamine needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 45' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
- 46' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Ryuji Izumi is replaced by Hidemasa Koda on 46 minute.
- 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ryuji Izumi, as he is very good at scoring at Toyota Stadium with 8 goals in the last 8 games.
- 56' It’s high time Takashi Kiyama made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 59' Jun Nishikawa is replacing Takaya Kimura for the Fagiano Okayama FC side.
- 64' Noah Browne has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 65' Hidemasa Koda puts Nagoya Grampus on the lead.
- 67' Leonardo Gaucho has so much to prove this time. He replaces Masaya Matsumoto on 67 minute.
- 70' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kennedy Egbus Mikuni is hanging Tsukasa Morishima on the field on 70 minute.
- 75' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 80' The whistle greets Ataru Esaka as he departs to be replaced by Kota Kawano.
- 83' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ataru Esaka on 83.
- 85' The referee calls foul for Kosei Ogura. He receives a card.
- 89' What an equalizer from Daichi Tagami!
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
- 14
- 15
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Hidemasa Koda 46'
- 70
- 31
-
9
Yuya Asano ↓ Masahito Ono 80'
- 27
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Shungo Sugiura 59'
- 22
Bench
- 18
- 2
-
19
Hidemasa Koda ↑ 46'
- 33
- 55
-
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni ↑ 70'
- 35
-
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 80'
-
30
Shungo Sugiura ↑ 59'
Coach
Mihailo Petrović
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
- 43
- 18
- 51
- 48
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Kota Kawano 80'
- 28
- 98
- 5
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Jun Nishikawa 59'
-
45
Noah Browne ↓ Towa Yamane 46'
Bench
- 7
-
66
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 59'
-
88
Towa Yamane ↑ 46'
- 6
- 26
-
99
Lucao ↑ 46'
-
9
Leonardo Gaucho ↑ 67'
- 52
-
40
Kota Kawano ↑ 80'
Coach
Takashi Kiyama
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hidemasa Koda | 1 |
| Daichi Tagami | 1 |
| Yota Sato | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2026-04-29
Nagoya Grampus
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2026-04-25
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–0
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2026-04-19
Gamba Osaka
6–5
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2026-04-11
Kyoto Sanga FC
5–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2026-04-05
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–4
Vissel Kobe
L
2026-03-21
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.95
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.11
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 82%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.06
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 3.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 4.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
73%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
47%
Nagoya Grampus or Fagiano Okayama FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6%
2 – 1
5.9%
3 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.6%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.3%
4 – 2
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
4 – 1
4.1%
3 – 3
4.1%
4 – 3
3%
2 – 0
3%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 15% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 18% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 13% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 8% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

