Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Wed 29 Apr 2026 · 06:00 UTC Toyota Stadium 27,673 HT 45' · FT 45'
Hidemasa Koda 65' 1–0
1–1 89' Daichi Tagami

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama FCJ. League at Toyota Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Daichi Shiino (Japan)
  • Assistant 1 Jun Mihara
  • Assistant 2
6 games this season 🟨 1.5/game 6.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D
25 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–0 W
19 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 2–2 D
11 Apr Vissel Kobe A 2–3 L
04 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 3–0 W
22 Mar Kyoto Sanga FC A 5–6 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 1–1 D
25 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 2–0 W
19 Apr Gamba Osaka A 5–6 L
11 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–5 L
05 Apr Vissel Kobe H 1–4 L
21 Mar V-Varen Nagasaki H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Fagiano Okayama FC
#3 Position #6
31 Points 26
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 8 / 0 / 10
46 Scored 41
44 Conceded 46
+2 GD -5
1.72 PPG 1.44
56% Win % 44%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
28% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Toyota Stadium that hosts another battle between Nagoya Grampus and Fagiano Okayama FC.
  • 5' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 439 games and scored 396 goals.
  • 15' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucao suffering a number of foals already.
  • 40' Tomoki Takamine needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 45' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Ryuji Izumi is replaced by Hidemasa Koda on 46 minute.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ryuji Izumi, as he is very good at scoring at Toyota Stadium with 8 goals in the last 8 games.
  • 56' It’s high time Takashi Kiyama made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 59' Jun Nishikawa is replacing Takaya Kimura for the Fagiano Okayama FC side.
  • 64' Noah Browne has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 65' Hidemasa Koda puts Nagoya Grampus on the lead.
  • 67' Leonardo Gaucho has so much to prove this time. He replaces Masaya Matsumoto on 67 minute.
  • 70' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kennedy Egbus Mikuni is hanging Tsukasa Morishima on the field on 70 minute.
  • 75' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 80' The whistle greets Ataru Esaka as he departs to be replaced by Kota Kawano.
  • 83' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ataru Esaka on 83.
  • 85' The referee calls foul for Kosei Ogura. He receives a card.
  • 89' What an equalizer from Daichi Tagami!
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.95 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.11 Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 82%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus53% Draw20% Fagiano Okayama FC27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes82% 0% No18%
Avg goals/match: 5.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 87%
13%
± 3.5 73%
27%
± 4.5 55%
45%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
73%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
47%
Nagoya Grampus or Fagiano Okayama FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus43% Draw32% Fagiano Okayama FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6%
2 – 1
5.9%
3 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.6%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.3%
4 – 2
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
4 – 1
4.1%
3 – 3
4.1%
4 – 3
3%
2 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Fagiano Okayama FC covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 15% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 18% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 13% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 8% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
13%
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
6%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.