Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Wed 29 Apr 2026 · 06:00 UTC Toyota Stadium 27,673 HT 45' · FT 45'
Hidemasa Koda 65' 1–0
1–1 89' Daichi Tagami

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Daichi Shiino (Japan)
  • Assistant 1 Jun Mihara
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D
25 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–0 W
19 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 2–2 D
11 Apr Vissel Kobe A 2–3 L
04 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 3–0 W
22 Mar Kyōto Sanga FC A 5–6 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 1–1 D
25 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 2–0 W
19 Apr Gamba Osaka A 5–6 L
11 Apr Kyōto Sanga FC A 1–5 L
05 Apr Vissel Kobe H 1–4 L
21 Mar V-Varen Nagasaki H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Fagiano Okayama FC
#3 Position #6
31 Points 26
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 8 / 0 / 10
46 Scored 41
44 Conceded 46
+2 GD -5
1.72 PPG 1.44
56% Win % 44%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
29% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A
Fagiano Okayama FC
Kota Kawano 3 G
Lucao 1 G 1 A
Noah Browne 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Toyota Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mihailo Petrović will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' The travelling Fagiano Okayama FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fagiano Okayama FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' Kota Kawano has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 25' Lucao, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 35' Nagoya Grampus has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 40' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 46' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Ryuji Izumi has done his job and it is now time for Hidemasa Koda to step up.
  • 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 56' Masaya Matsumoto has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 59' Jun Nishikawa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Takaya Kimura at the 59 minute mark.
  • 64' It looks surprising Fagiano Okayama FC does not make any changes. Daichi Tagami has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 65' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Hidemasa Koda makes it 1-0.
  • 67' The Fagiano Okayama FC bench stirs into life. Masaya Matsumoto is withdrawn and Leonardo Gaucho gets his opportunity.
  • 70' Kennedy Egbus Mikuni gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Tsukasa Morishima and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Werik suffering a number of foals already.
  • 80' Another change for Fagiano Okayama FC made on 80 minute. Ataru Esaka leaves to be changed by Kota Kawano.
  • 83' A moment of madness from Ataru Esaka on 83 minutes earns him a card. Fagiano Okayama FC will be frustrated.
  • 85' Fagiano Okayama FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 89' What composure from Daichi Tagami! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.95 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.11 Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 82%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus53% Draw20% Fagiano Okayama FC27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes82% 0% No18%
Avg goals/match: 5.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 87%
13%
± 3.5 73%
27%
± 4.5 55%
45%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
73%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
47%
Nagoya Grampus or Fagiano Okayama FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus43% Draw32% Fagiano Okayama FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6%
2 – 1
5.9%
3 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.6%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.3%
4 – 2
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
4 – 1
4.1%
3 – 3
4.1%
4 – 3
3%
2 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Fagiano Okayama FC covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 15% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 18% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 13% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 8% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.