Wednesday , 7 October 2026

SC Freiburg vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 10 Jan 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan Hamburger SV H 2–1 W
20 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 4–3 W
14 Dec Borussia Dortmund H 1–1 D
11 Dec FC Red Bull Salzburg H 1–0 W
06 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–2 L
03 Dec SV Darmstadt 98 H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
20 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
13 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–4 L
07 Dec SV Werder Bremen H 3–2 W
03 Dec Holstein Kiel H 3–5 L
30 Nov VfB Stuttgart H 2–1 W

Season Stats

SC Freiburg Hamburger SV
#3 Position #16
10 Points 3
4 Played 4
3 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 3
12 Scored 2
3 Conceded 13
+9 GD -11
2.50 PPG 0.75
75% Win % 25%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
0% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

SC Freiburg are 3rd (10 pts). Hamburger SV are 16th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
4.12 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.55 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: SC Freiburg to win 84% + Over 2.5 goals 82%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg84% Draw10% Hamburger SV6%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 4.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 65%
35%
± 4.5 46%
54%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
94%
Draw or Hamburger SV
16%
SC Freiburg or Hamburger SV
90%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg76% Draw21% Hamburger SV3%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
11.6%
4 – 0
11.6%
5 – 0
9.4%
2 – 0
8.9%
6 – 0
6.5%
4 – 1
6.3%
3 – 1
6.2%
5 – 1
5.2%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
4.5%
7 – 0
3.9%
6 – 1
3.7%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 64% — 36%
-2 64% 17% 19%
-1.5 81% — 19%
-1 81% 11% 8%
-0.5 92% — 8%
+0.5 98% — 2%
+1 98% 1% 0%
+1.5 100% — 0%
+2 100% — 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
58% ✗
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
2% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.