Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Freiburg vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 10 Jan 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs Hamburger SVBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Timo Gerach
15 games this season 🟨 1.1/game 5.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan Hamburger SV H 2–1 W
20 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 4–3 W
14 Dec Borussia Dortmund H 1–1 D
11 Dec FC Red Bull Salzburg H 1–0 W
06 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–2 L
03 Dec SV Darmstadt 98 H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
20 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
13 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–4 L
07 Dec SV Werder Bremen H 3–2 W
03 Dec Holstein Kiel H 3–5 L
30 Nov VfB Stuttgart H 2–1 W

Season Stats

SC Freiburg Hamburger SV
#7 Position #13
47 Points 38
34 Played 34
13 / 8 / 13 W / D / L 9 / 11 / 14
51 Scored 40
57 Conceded 54
-6 GD -14
1.38 PPG 1.12
38% Win % 26%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
18% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts). Hamburger SV are 13th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
1/
16-30
/4
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/
76+
/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.01 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: SC Freiburg to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg60% Draw22% Hamburger SV18%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
82%
Draw or Hamburger SV
40%
SC Freiburg or Hamburger SV
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg42% Draw42% Hamburger SV16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
8.8%
3 – 1
6.4%
0 – 0
6.3%
3 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 18% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 23% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
36%
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.