Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

Hamburger SV

2 – 1

Full Time

VfB Stuttgart

Sun 30 Nov 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga .

Hamburger SV 34 games · 38 pts (2025/26)
VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Soren Storks

17 games this season 🟨 0.5/game ⚽ 3.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

Hamburger SV 9 games · Avg 2.6 goals VfB Stuttgart

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-30 Hamburger SV 2–1 VfB Stuttgart 2019-10-29 Hamburger SV 1–2 VfB Stuttgart 2018-05-05 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Hamburger SV 2017-12-12 Hamburger SV 1–0 VfB Stuttgart 2017-02-04 VfB Stuttgart 3–0 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

Hamburger SV

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Nov	VfB Stuttgart	H	2–1	W
22 Nov	FC Augsburg	A	0–1	L
08 Nov	Borussia Dortmund	H	1–1	D
02 Nov	1. FC Koln	A	1–4	L
28 Oct	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	1–0	W
25 Oct	VfL Wolfsburg	H	0–1	L

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Nov	Hamburger SV	A	1–2	L
27 Nov	Go Ahead Eagles	A	4–0	W
22 Nov	Borussia Dortmund	A	3–3	D
09 Nov	FC Augsburg	H	3–2	W
06 Nov	Feyenoord Rotterdam	H	2–0	W
01 Nov	RB Leipzig	A	1–3	L

Season Stats

Hamburger SV		VfB Stuttgart
#13	Position	#4
38	Points	62
34	Played	34
9 / 11 / 14	W / D / L	18 / 8 / 8
40	Scored	71
54	Conceded	49
-14	GD	+22
1.12	PPG	1.82
26%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

18% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

Hamburger SV are 13th (38 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV

0-15

1/–

16-30

–/4

31-45

2/3

46-60

3/3

61-75

3/–

76+

–/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

VfB Stuttgart

0-15

2/2

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/3

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/1

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Hamburger SV gets underway.
Another three points for Hamburger SV.

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Aaron Hunt	1
Nicolas Gonzalez	1
Hamadi Al Ghaddioui	1
Maximilian Mittelstadt	1
Chris Fuhrich	1
Angelo Stiller	1
Bilal El Khannouss	1

Head to Head

Hamburger SV Form

2025-11-30 Hamburger SV 2–1 VfB Stuttgart W 2025-11-22 FC Augsburg 1–0 Hamburger SV L 2025-11-08 Hamburger SV 1–1 Borussia Dortmund D 2025-11-02 1. FC Koln 4–1 Hamburger SV L 2025-10-28 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–1 Hamburger SV W 2025-10-25 Hamburger SV 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg L

VfB Stuttgart Form

2025-11-30 Hamburger SV 2–1 VfB Stuttgart L 2025-11-27 Go Ahead Eagles 0–4 VfB Stuttgart W 2025-11-22 Borussia Dortmund 3–3 VfB Stuttgart D 2025-11-09 VfB Stuttgart 3–2 FC Augsburg W 2025-11-06 VfB Stuttgart 2–0 Feyenoord Rotterdam W 2025-11-01 RB Leipzig 3–1 VfB Stuttgart L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.3 Hamburger SV xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.88 VfB Stuttgart xG

I would bet for: Hamburger SV or VfB Stuttgart 75% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Hamburger SV31% Draw25% VfB Stuttgart44%

Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.18

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw

57%

Draw or VfB Stuttgart

69%

Hamburger SV or VfB Stuttgart

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Hamburger SV21% Draw42% VfB Stuttgart37%

Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.1%

1 – 2

9.2%

0 – 2

7.3%

0 – 1

7.2%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

5.9%

0 – 0

5.8%

1 – 3

5.7%

1 – 0

4.7%

0 – 3

4.5%

2 – 3

3.8%

2 – 0

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap	Hamburger SV covers	Push	VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	7%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	14%	75%
-0.5	25%	—	75%
+0.5	50%	—	50%
+1	50%	21%	29%
+1.5	71%	—	29%
+2	71%	15%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.