Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

Hamburger SV

2 – 1

Full Time

VfB Stuttgart

Sun 30 Nov 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga .

Hamburger SV 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
VfB Stuttgart 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Soren Storks

8 games this season 🟨 4.1/game ⚽ 15.1 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern Munchen	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Koln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Monchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

Hamburger SV 10 games · Avg 2.4 goals VfB Stuttgart

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-30 Hamburger SV 2–1 VfB Stuttgart 2019-10-29 Hamburger SV 1–2 VfB Stuttgart 2018-05-05 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Hamburger SV 2017-12-12 Hamburger SV 1–0 VfB Stuttgart 2017-02-04 VfB Stuttgart 3–0 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

Hamburger SV

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Nov	VfB Stuttgart	H	2–1	W
22 Nov	FC Augsburg	A	0–1	L
08 Nov	Borussia Dortmund	H	1–1	D
02 Nov	1. FC Koln	A	1–4	L
28 Oct	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	1–0	W
25 Oct	VfL Wolfsburg	H	0–1	L

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Nov	Hamburger SV	A	1–2	L
27 Nov	Go Ahead Eagles	A	4–0	W
22 Nov	Borussia Dortmund	A	3–3	D
09 Nov	FC Augsburg	H	3–2	W
06 Nov	Feyenoord Rotterdam	H	2–0	W
01 Nov	RB Leipzig	A	1–3	L

Season Stats

Hamburger SV		VfB Stuttgart
#11	Position	#8
12	Points	12
9	Played	9
4 / 0 / 5	W / D / L	4 / 0 / 5
10	Scored	15
20	Conceded	15
-10	GD	+0
1.33	PPG	1.33
44%	Win %	44%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

22% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

Hamburger SV are 11th (12 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 8th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV

0-15

3/1

16-30

–/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/3

61-75

1/3

76+

3/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

VfB Stuttgart

0-15

3/1

16-30

2/2

31-45

1/1

46-60

4/2

61-75

2/3

76+

3/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Hamburger SV

Miro Muheim	3 G	1 A
Yussuf Poulsen	2 G

VfB Stuttgart

Ermedin Demirovic	5 G
Josha Vagnoman	2 G	1 A
Maximilian Mittelstadt	2 G	1 A
Bilal El Khannouss	2 G
Grischa Promel	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Angelo Stiller	1
Bilal El Khannouss	1
Miro Muheim	1
Aaron Hunt	1
Nicolas Gonzalez	1
Hamadi Al Ghaddioui	1
Maximilian Mittelstadt	1
Chris Fuhrich	1

Head to Head

Hamburger SV Form

2025-11-30 Hamburger SV 2–1 VfB Stuttgart W 2025-11-22 FC Augsburg 1–0 Hamburger SV L 2025-11-08 Hamburger SV 1–1 Borussia Dortmund D 2025-11-02 1. FC Koln 4–1 Hamburger SV L 2025-10-28 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–1 Hamburger SV W 2025-10-25 Hamburger SV 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg L

VfB Stuttgart Form

2025-11-30 Hamburger SV 2–1 VfB Stuttgart L 2025-11-27 Go Ahead Eagles 0–4 VfB Stuttgart W 2025-11-22 Borussia Dortmund 3–3 VfB Stuttgart D 2025-11-09 VfB Stuttgart 3–2 FC Augsburg W 2025-11-06 VfB Stuttgart 2–0 Feyenoord Rotterdam W 2025-11-01 RB Leipzig 3–1 VfB Stuttgart L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.3 Hamburger SV xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.91 VfB Stuttgart xG

I would bet for: Hamburger SV or VfB Stuttgart 75% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Hamburger SV31% Draw25% VfB Stuttgart44%

Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.21

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw

56%

Draw or VfB Stuttgart

69%

Hamburger SV or VfB Stuttgart

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Hamburger SV21% Draw42% VfB Stuttgart37%

Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.9%

1 – 2

9.2%

0 – 2

7.3%

0 – 1

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

1 – 3

5.8%

0 – 0

5.6%

0 – 3

4.5%

1 – 0

4.5%

2 – 3

3.9%

2 – 0

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap	Hamburger SV covers	Push	VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	7%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	14%	75%
-0.5	25%	—	75%
+0.5	50%	—	50%
+1	50%	21%	29%
+1.5	71%	—	29%
+2	71%	15%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.