Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hamburger SV vs SV Werder Bremen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Hamburger SV
3 – 2
Full Time
SV Werder Bremen
Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs SV Werder Bremen — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game ⚽ 5.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

1
1
Hamburger SV 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals SV Werder Bremen
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-07 Hamburger SV 3–2 SV Werder Bremen

Recent Form

Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec SV Werder Bremen H 3–2 W
03 Dec Holstein Kiel H 3–5 L
30 Nov VfB Stuttgart H 2–1 W
22 Nov FC Augsburg A 0–1 L
08 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 1–1 D
02 Nov 1. FC Koln A 1–4 L
SV Werder Bremen
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Hamburger SV A 2–3 L
29 Nov 1. FC Koln H 1–1 D
23 Nov RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
07 Nov VfL Wolfsburg H 2–1 W
01 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
24 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Hamburger SV SV Werder Bremen
#13 Position #15
38 Points 32
34 Played 34
9 / 11 / 14 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 18
40 Scored 37
54 Conceded 60
-14 GD -23
1.12 PPG 0.94
26% Win % 24%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
18% Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season

Hamburger SV are 13th (38 pts). SV Werder Bremen are 15th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/4
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/–
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SV Werder Bremen
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

SV Werder Bremen Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.08 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 SV Werder Bremen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV51% Draw23% SV Werder Bremen26%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
74%
Draw or SV Werder Bremen
49%
Hamburger SV or SV Werder Bremen
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV38% Draw40% SV Werder Bremen22%
Actual: SV Werder Bremen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 0
5.4%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
3.6%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push SV Werder Bremen covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 15% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 20% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 14% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.