Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Hamburger SV vs SV Werder Bremen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Hamburger SV
3 – 2
Full Time
SV Werder Bremen
Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs SV Werder Bremen — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

1
1
Hamburger SV 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals SV Werder Bremen
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-07 Hamburger SV 3–2 SV Werder Bremen

Recent Form

Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec SV Werder Bremen H 3–2 W
03 Dec Holstein Kiel H 3–5 L
30 Nov VfB Stuttgart H 2–1 W
22 Nov FC Augsburg A 0–1 L
08 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 1–1 D
02 Nov 1. FC Köln A 1–4 L
SV Werder Bremen
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Hamburger SV A 2–3 L
29 Nov 1. FC Köln H 1–1 D
23 Nov RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
07 Nov VfL Wolfsburg H 2–1 W
01 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
24 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Hamburger SV SV Werder Bremen
#16 Position #8
3 Points 7
4 Played 4
1 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
2 Scored 8
13 Conceded 8
-11 GD +0
0.75 PPG 1.75
25% Win % 50%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
0% Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season

Hamburger SV are 16th (3 pts). SV Werder Bremen are 8th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SV Werder Bremen
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/3
61-75
3/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SV Werder Bremen
Niclas Fullkrug 3 G
Marco Grull 2 G 3 A
Eren Dinkci 1 G
Dariusz Stalmach 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

SV Werder Bremen Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.6 SV Werder Bremen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV32% Draw21% SV Werder Bremen47%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.24
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
53%
Draw or SV Werder Bremen
68%
Hamburger SV or SV Werder Bremen
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV21% Draw35% SV Werder Bremen44%
Actual: SV Werder Bremen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 1
6.9%
1 – 3
6.7%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 3
5.4%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 1
5%
1 – 4
4.3%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 4
3.6%
0 – 1
3.5%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push SV Werder Bremen covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 12% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 43% — 57%
+1 43% 19% 38%
+1.5 62% — 38%
+2 62% 17% 21%
+2.5 79% — 21%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
8% ✓
SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.