Saturday , 14 November 2026

Hamburger SV vs SV Werder Bremen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs SV Werder Bremen — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
6 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
Hamburger SV 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals SV Werder Bremen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec SV Werder Bremen H 3–2 W
03 Dec Holstein Kiel H 3–5 L
30 Nov VfB Stuttgart H 2–1 W
22 Nov FC Augsburg A 0–1 L
08 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 1–1 D
02 Nov 1. FC Köln A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Hamburger SV A 2–3 L
29 Nov 1. FC Köln H 1–1 D
23 Nov RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
07 Nov VfL Wolfsburg H 2–1 W
01 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
24 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Hamburger SV SV Werder Bremen
#11 Position #6
12 Points 15
9 Played 9
4 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 4 / 3 / 2
10 Scored 17
20 Conceded 15
-10 GD +2
1.33 PPG 1.67
44% Win % 44%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
11% Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season

Hamburger SV are 11th (12 pts). SV Werder Bremen are 6th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV
0-15
3/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/3
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SV Werder Bremen
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
–/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
5/1
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Hamburger SV
Miro Muheim 3 G 1 A
Yussuf Poulsen 2 G
SV Werder Bremen
Niclas Fullkrug 9 G
Marco Grull 2 G 6 A
Eren Dinkci 2 G 1 A
Dariusz Stalmach 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

SV Werder Bremen Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.95 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.12 SV Werder Bremen xG
I would bet for: Hamburger SV or SV Werder Bremen 78% + Over 2.5 goals 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV41% Draw22% SV Werder Bremen37%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
63%
Draw or SV Werder Bremen
59%
Hamburger SV or SV Werder Bremen
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV29% Draw38% SV Werder Bremen33%
Actual: SV Werder Bremen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
7%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 3
4.9%
3 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.3%
0 – 2
3.9%
2 – 0
3.4%
3 – 3
3.2%
0 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push SV Werder Bremen covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 11% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 16% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 18% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 13% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.