Thursday , 2 July 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
4 – 1
Full Time
Hamburger SV
Sat 13 Dec 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Petersen
15 games this season 🟨 0.9/game ⚽ 8.1 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals Hamburger SV
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-13 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4–1 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Dec Hamburger SV H 4–1 W
07 Dec Borussia Dortmund A 0–2 L
29 Nov FC Augsburg H 3–0 W
21 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
08 Nov RB Leipzig H 3–1 W
02 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–4 L
07 Dec SV Werder Bremen H 3–2 W
03 Dec Holstein Kiel H 3–5 L
30 Nov VfB Stuttgart H 2–1 W
22 Nov FC Augsburg A 0–1 L
08 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 1–1 D

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Hamburger SV
#5 Position #13
61 Points 38
34 Played 34
18 / 7 / 9 W / D / L 9 / 11 / 14
65 Scored 40
52 Conceded 54
+13 GD -14
1.79 PPG 1.12
53% Win % 26%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
18% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). Hamburger SV are 13th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/4
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/–
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.9 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim71% Draw17% Hamburger SV12%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
88%
Draw or Hamburger SV
29%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Hamburger SV
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim57% Draw33% Hamburger SV10%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.2%
3 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
8.3%
3 – 1
7.9%
1 – 1
6.6%
1 – 0
6.2%
4 – 0
6.1%
4 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.8%
5 – 0
3.6%
5 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 36% — 64%
-2 36% 21% 44%
-1.5 56% — 44%
-1 56% 19% 24%
-0.5 76% — 24%
+0.5 91% — 9%
+1 91% 6% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.