Thursday , 2 July 2026

Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sat 23 May 2026 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Mendizorroza 17,276 HT 45' · FT 45'
Toni Martinez 13' 1–0
1–1 73' Sergio Camello
1–2 90' Randy Ntekja

Overview

Match Preview

Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano de MadridLa Liga at Estadio Mendizorroza.

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Javier Martinez Nicolas (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 1–2 L
17 May Real Oviedo A 1–0 W
13 May FC Barcelona H 1–0 W
09 May Elche CF A 1–1 D
02 May Athletic Club H 2–4 L
25 Apr RCD Mallorca H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Deportivo Alaves A 2–1 W
17 May Villarreal CF H 2–0 W
14 May Valencia CF A 1–1 D
11 May Girona FC H 1–1 D
03 May Getafe CF A 2–0 W
26 Apr Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 3–3 D

Season Stats

Deportivo Alaves Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#14 Position #8
43 Points 50
38 Played 38
11 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 12 / 14 / 12
44 Scored 41
56 Conceded 44
-12 GD -3
1.13 PPG 1.32
29% Win % 32%

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Deportivo Alaves are 14th (43 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Deportivo Alaves and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid has kicked off!
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' It looks surprising Rayo Vallecano de Madrid does not make any changes. Alfonso Espino has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 13' Toni Martinez puts Deportivo Alaves on the lead.
  • 18' Deportivo Alaves seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 23' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gerard Gumbau, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Mendizorroza with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 28' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jon Guridi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 33' It looks like no one’s ball. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 38' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Deportivo Alaves needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 43' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Sergio Camello scoring 1 goals.
  • 48' The travelling Rayo Vallecano de Madrid supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 53' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Rayo Vallecano de Madrid winning 100% of all matches.
  • 54' Sergio Camello is having his name booked by the referee on 54.
  • 59' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 64' The referee calls foul for Pathe Ciss. He receives a card.
  • 69' It’s a booking for Deportivo Alaves player. Angel Perez gets a card.
  • 73' What a strike from Sergio Camello! The score is 1-1.
  • 78' Sivera needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 79' The referee shows Deportivo Alaves player a card on 79.
  • 84' Nobel Mendy has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 87' It’s a booking for Deportivo Alaves player. Nahuel Tenaglia gets a card.
  • 90' Goal! Randy Ntekja scores his 10 goal in 229 matches.
  • 90' The referee shows Rayo Vallecano de Madrid player a card on 90.
  • The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.99 Deportivo Alaves xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Deportivo Alaves28% Draw30% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid42%
Actual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Deportivo Alaves or Draw
57%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
72%
Deportivo Alaves or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Deportivo Alaves20% Draw50% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid30%
Actual: Deportivo Alaves win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
11.8%
0 – 1
11.8%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
8.4%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Deportivo Alaves

Handicap Deportivo Alaves covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 16% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 23% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Deportivo Alaves keeps clean sheet
27%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.