Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Primera Division · 2024-25

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

3 – 3

Full Time

Real Madrid CF

Sat 14 Dec 2024 · 20:00 UTC Estadio de Vallecas 14,168 HT 45' · FT 45'

Unai Lopez 4' 1–0

Abdul Mumin 36' 2–0

2–1 39' Federico Valverde

2–2 45' Jude Bellingham

2–3 56' Rodrygo

Isi Palazon 64' 3–3

Augusto Batalla 27' Y

Randy Ntekja 35' Y

Isi Palazon 44' Y

Y 62' Luka Modric

Y 74' Vinicius Junior

Sergio Camello 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadio de Vallecas.

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 11 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Real Madrid CF 12 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)
Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
Assistant 2 Miguel Martinez Munuera (Spain)

7 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	12	33
2	Real Madrid CF	12	30
3	Club Atlético de Madrid	12	28
4	Real Betis Balompié	12	26
5	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	12	22
6	Sevilla FC	12	18
7	Athletic Club	11	16
8	RC Deportivo La Coruña	12	15
9	Villarreal CF	12	15
10	Real Racing Club de Santander	12	14
11	RC Celta de Vigo	12	13
12	Deportivo Alavés	12	13
13	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	11	12
14	CA Osasuna	12	12
15	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	12	12
16	Getafe CF	12	12
17	Levante UD	12	11
18	Elche CF	12	10
19	Valencia CF	12	9
20	Málaga CF	12	5

Head-to-Head

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 13 games · Avg 2.5 goals Real Madrid CF

Last 5 meetings

2024-12-14 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 3–3 Real Madrid CF 2024-02-18 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–1 Real Madrid CF 2023-11-05 Real Madrid CF 0–0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2023-05-24 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2022-11-07 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 3–2 Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Dec	Real Madrid CF	H	3–3	D
07 Dec	Valencia CF	A	1–0	W
01 Dec	Athletic Club	H	1–2	L
24 Nov	Sevilla FC	A	0–1	L
08 Nov	UD Las Palmas	H	1–3	L
26 Oct	Deportivo Alavés	H	1–0	W

Real Madrid CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Dec	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	A	3–3	D
10 Dec	Atalanta BC	A	3–2	W
07 Dec	Girona FC	A	3–0	W
04 Dec	Athletic Club	A	1–2	L
01 Dec	Getafe CF	H	2–0	W
27 Nov	Liverpool FC	A	0–2	L

Season Stats

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid		Real Madrid CF
#13	Position	#2
12	Points	30
11	Played	12
3 / 3 / 5	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 2
15	Scored	31
21	Conceded	10
-6	GD	+21
1.09	PPG	2.50
27%	Win %	83%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

10% Clean Sheets
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid this season

33% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 13th (12 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

0-15

4/2

16-30

2/6

31-45

2/2

46-60

6/3

61-75

1/3

76+

–/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Real Madrid CF

0-15

3/–

16-30

6/1

31-45

7/1

46-60

1/3

61-75

4/2

76+

8/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Sergio Camello	7 G	2 A
Alvaro Garcia	3 G	2 A

Real Madrid CF

Kylian Mbappe	13 G	2 A
Jude Bellingham	4 G	3 A
Arda Guler	3 G	4 A
Yan Diomande	3 G	2 A
Carlos Espi	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Estadio de Vallecas will turn into a battlefield for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Real Madrid CF.
4' Unai Lopez does the damage! The net is bulging and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid surge ahead!
9' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
14' Supporters expect more eagerness from Aurelien Tchouameni, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio de Vallecas with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
19' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
24' Real Madrid CF looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Kylian Mbappe scoring 2 goals.
27' It’s gonna be a card for Augusto Batalla.
32' Federico Valverde has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
35' Controversy at the stadium! Randy Ntekja argues furiously but the card stands.
36' GOAL! Abdul Mumin fires home to make it 2-0!
39' Brilliant from the ! Federico Valverde makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 39.
44' Controversy at the stadium! Isi Palazon argues furiously but the card stands.
45' What composure from Jude Bellingham! The England international strokes it home. 2-2.
50' Pep Chavarria has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
53' The crowd applauds Adri Embarba as he leaves the pitch. Alvaro Garcia steps in for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.
56' Against the run of play, Rodrygo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
60' Sergio Camello is replacing Randy Ntekja for the Rayo Vallecano de Madrid side.
62' The referee has no hesitation. Luka Modric is booked for Real Madrid CF — card on 62.
63' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Vinicius Junior comes on to replace Brahim Diaz.
64' Magnificent from Isi Palazon! That is 22 goals in 239 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
67' Jorge de Frutos makes way for Ivan Balliu at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.
72' The Real Madrid CF bench stirs into life. Luka Modric is withdrawn and Eduardo Camavinga gets his opportunity.
74' That is a card for Real Madrid CF. Vinicius Junior will be fuming at that decision.
79' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Endrick comes on to replace Arda Guler.
84' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
89' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Real Madrid CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
90' That looks like a foul for a card for Sergio Camello.
The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Iñigo Pérez

Real Madrid CF Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

13
Andriy Lunin
18
Jesus Vallejo
19
Dani Ceballos ↑ 79'
7
Vinicius Junior ↑ 63'
6
Eduardo Camavinga ↑ 72'
16
Endrick ↑ 79'
34
Sergio Mestre
35
Raul
39
Loren Aguado
29
Yusi
44
Victor Munoz

Coach Carlo Ancelotti

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Karim Benzema	5
Kylian Mbappe	3
Oscar Trejo	2
Rodrygo	2
Raul de Tomas	2
Toni Kroos	2
Radamel Falcao	2
Jude Bellingham	2

Head to Head

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Form

2024-12-14 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 3–3 Real Madrid CF D 2024-12-07 Valencia CF 0–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid W 2024-12-01 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–2 Athletic Club L 2024-11-24 Sevilla FC 1–0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid L 2024-11-08 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–3 UD Las Palmas L 2024-10-26 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–0 Deportivo Alavés W

Real Madrid CF Form

2024-12-14 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 3–3 Real Madrid CF D 2024-12-10 Atalanta BC 2–3 Real Madrid CF W 2024-12-07 Girona FC 0–3 Real Madrid CF W 2024-12-04 Athletic Club 2–1 Real Madrid CF L 2024-12-01 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Getafe CF W 2024-11-27 Liverpool FC 2–0 Real Madrid CF L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.35 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.68 Real Madrid CF xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid24% Draw21% Real Madrid CF55%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 4.03

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	75%	25%
± 3.5	56%	44%
± 4.5	37%	63%

Double Chance

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw

45%

Draw or Real Madrid CF

76%

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Real Madrid CF

79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid16% Draw35% Real Madrid CF49%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted

3 – 3

Actual

1 – 2

8.4%

1 – 3

7.4%

1 – 1

7.2%

0 – 2

6.5%

0 – 3

5.7%

2 – 2

5.6%

2 – 3

1 – 4

0 – 1

4.5%

2 – 1

4.3%

0 – 4

3.7%

2 – 4

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Handicap	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers	Push	Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	5%	93%
-1.5	7%	—	93%
-1	7%	10%	83%
-0.5	17%	—	83%
+0.5	36%	—	64%
+1	36%	20%	44%
+1.5	56%	—	44%
+2	56%	18%	26%
+2.5	74%	—	26%

Clean Sheet

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.