Thursday , 2 July 2026

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sat 14 Dec 2024 · 20:00 UTC Estadio de Vallecas 14,168 HT 45' · FT 45'
Unai Lopez 4' 1–0
Abdul Mumin 36' 2–0
2–1 39' Federico Valverde
2–2 45' Jude Bellingham
2–3 56' Rodrygo
Isi Palazon 64' 3–3

Overview

Match Preview

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga at Estadio de Vallecas.

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Miguel Martinez Munuera (Spain)
6 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 2.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Real Madrid CF H 3–3 D
07 Dec Valencia CF A 1–0 W
01 Dec Athletic Club H 1–2 L
24 Nov Sevilla FC A 0–1 L
08 Nov UD Las Palmas H 1–3 L
26 Oct Deportivo Alaves H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 3–3 D
10 Dec Atalanta BC A 3–2 W
07 Dec Girona FC A 3–0 W
04 Dec Athletic Club A 1–2 L
01 Dec Getafe CF H 2–0 W
27 Nov Liverpool FC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Real Madrid CF
#8 Position #2
50 Points 86
38 Played 38
12 / 14 / 12 W / D / L 27 / 5 / 6
41 Scored 77
44 Conceded 35
-3 GD +42
1.32 PPG 2.26
32% Win % 71%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Estadio de Vallecas!
  • 4' GOAL! Unai Lopez fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 9' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Thibaut Courtois suffering a number of foals already.
  • 14' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Madrid CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 19' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 24' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 27' Augusto Batalla was booked on 27.
  • 32' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Federico Valverde made 545 appearances and scored 29 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' It’s a booking for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid player. Randy Ntekja gets a card.
  • 36' Brilliant from the ! Abdul Mumin makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 36.
  • 39' A goal from the Uruguay international Federico Valverde! He fires home on 39 to make it 2-1!
  • 44' Isi Palazon is having his name booked by the referee on 44.
  • 45' Jude Bellingham makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and Real Madrid CF are in front.
  • 50' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 53' The whistle greets Adri Embarba as he departs to be replaced by Alvaro Garcia.
  • 56' The Brazil Rodrygo breaks the deadlock on 56 minutes. 2-3!
  • 60' The whistle greets Randy Ntekja as he departs to be replaced by Sergio Camello.
  • 62' Controversy at the stadium! Luka Modric argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 63' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Brahim Diaz exits the field as Vinicius Junior enters on 63.
  • 64' The deadlock is broken! Isi Palazon gets on the scoresheet on 64 minutes.
  • 67' Ivan Balliu is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jorge de Frutos at the 67 minute mark.
  • 72' Eduardo Camavinga has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luka Modric on 72 minute.
  • 74' It’s a booking for Real Madrid CF player. Vinicius Junior gets a card.
  • 79' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Arda Guler is replaced by Endrick on 79 minute.
  • 84' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 89' Antonio Rudiger needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 90' Sergio Camello was booked on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.32 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Real Madrid CF 74% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid30% Draw26% Real Madrid CF44%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw
56%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
70%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Real Madrid CF
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid21% Draw42% Real Madrid CF37%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 2
7.2%
0 – 1
7%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 3
5.7%
0 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
4.7%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Handicap Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 21% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
16%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.