Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sat 14 Dec 2024 · 20:00 UTC Estadio de Vallecas 14,168 HT 45' · FT 45'
Unai Lopez 4' 1–0
Abdul Mumin 36' 2–0
2–1 39' Federico Valverde
2–2 45' Jude Bellingham
2–3 56' Rodrygo
Isi Palazon 64' 3–3

Overview

Match Preview

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadio de Vallecas.

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Miguel Martinez Munuera (Spain)
4 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Real Madrid CF H 3–3 D
07 Dec Valencia CF A 1–0 W
01 Dec Athletic Club H 1–2 L
24 Nov Sevilla FC A 0–1 L
08 Nov UD Las Palmas H 1–3 L
26 Oct Deportivo Alavés H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 3–3 D
10 Dec Atalanta BC A 3–2 W
07 Dec Girona FC A 3–0 W
04 Dec Athletic Club A 1–2 L
01 Dec Getafe CF H 2–0 W
27 Nov Liverpool FC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Real Madrid CF
#10 Position #4
8 Points 15
7 Played 7
2 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 2
11 Scored 18
16 Conceded 8
-5 GD +10
1.14 PPG 2.14
29% Win % 71%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid this season
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 10th (8 pts). Real Madrid CF are 4th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
1/1
46-60
5/2
61-75
–/1
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Sergio Camello 7 G 1 A
Alvaro Garcia 2 G 2 A
Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.57 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.89 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid25% Draw21% Real Madrid CF54%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 64%
36%
± 4.5 45%
55%

Double Chance

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw
46%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
75%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Real Madrid CF
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid18% Draw33% Real Madrid CF49%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 2
7.5%
1 – 3
7.1%
1 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 3
5.5%
1 – 4
5.1%
0 – 2
5%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 1
4.1%
2 – 4
4%
0 – 4
3.3%
0 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Handicap Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 5% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 10% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 37% — 63%
+1 37% 19% 44%
+1.5 56% — 44%
+2 56% 18% 27%
+2.5 73% — 27%

Clean Sheet

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
6% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.