Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadio de Vallecas.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- Real Madrid CF 7 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Miguel Martinez Munuera (Spain)
4 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 6.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Real Betis Balompié | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Madrid CF | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Sevilla FC | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Deportivo Alavés | 7 | 11 |
| 7 | RC Deportivo La Coruña | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | CA Osasuna | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | Villarreal CF | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 6 | 8 |
| 13 | Getafe CF | 7 | 8 |
| 14 | RC Celta de Vigo | 7 | 7 |
| 15 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 7 | 7 |
| 16 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 7 | 7 |
| 17 | Levante UD | 6 | 5 |
| 18 | Elche CF | 7 | 5 |
| 19 | Valencia CF | 7 | 4 |
| 20 | Málaga CF | 7 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec | Real Madrid CF | H | 3–3 | D |
| 07 Dec | Valencia CF | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Dec | Athletic Club | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Nov | Sevilla FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Nov | UD Las Palmas | H | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Oct | Deportivo Alavés | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | A | 3–3 | D |
| 10 Dec | Atalanta BC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 07 Dec | Girona FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Dec | Athletic Club | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Dec | Getafe CF | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Nov | Liverpool FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #4 |
| 8 | Points | 15 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 2 / 2 / 3 | W / D / L | 5 / 0 / 2 |
| 11 | Scored | 18 |
| 16 | Conceded | 8 |
| -5 | GD | +10 |
| 1.14 | PPG | 2.14 |
| 29% | Win % | 71% |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid this season
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 10th (8 pts). Real Madrid CF are 4th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
1/1
46-60
5/2
61-75
–/1
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
| Sergio Camello | 7 G | 1 A |
| Alvaro Garcia | 2 G | 2 A |
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 7 G | 2 A |
| Jude Bellingham | 3 G | 2 A |
| Carlos Espi | 2 G | |
| Vinicius Junior | 1 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Estadio de Vallecas. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 4' GOAL! Unai Lopez scores on 4. Assisted by Jorge de Frutos
- 9' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 14' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 19' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 24' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 27' A moment of madness from Augusto Batalla on 27 minutes earns him a card. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid will be frustrated.
- 32' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 35' Randy Ntekja is having his name booked by the referee on 35.
- 36' Abdul Mumin does the damage! The net is bulging and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid surge ahead!
- 39' Federico Valverde does the damage! The net is bulging and Real Madrid CF surge ahead!
- 44' The referee shows Rayo Vallecano de Madrid player a card on 44.
- 45' A goal from the England international Jude Bellingham! He fires home on 45 to make it 2-2!
- 50' It is a cagey affair so far. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Real Madrid CF's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 53' A tactical swap from Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — Alvaro Garcia on, Adri Embarba off on 53 minutes.
- 56' Real Madrid CF is taking the lead after the goal scored by Rodrygo on 56.
- 60' Randy Ntekja makes way for Sergio Camello at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.
- 62' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Luka Modric.
- 63' Real Madrid CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Vinicius Junior is hanging Brahim Diaz on the field on 63 minute.
- 64' Isi Palazon is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 67' Another change for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid made on 67 minute. Jorge de Frutos leaves to be changed by Ivan Balliu.
- 72' Real Madrid CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Eduardo Camavinga is hanging Luka Modric on the field on 72 minute.
- 74' Real Madrid CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 74.
- 79' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Arda Guler exits the field as Endrick enters on 79.
- 84' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 89' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 89 minutes.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Sergio Camello is booked for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — card on 90.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 24
-
17
Unai Lopez ↓ Pedro Diaz 67'
-
21
Adri Embarba ↓ Alvaro Garcia 53'
- 7
- 13
- 16
- 2
-
6
Pathe Ciss ↓ Oscar Valentin 60'
-
19
Jorge de Frutos ↓ Ivan Balliu 67'
-
11
Randy Ntekja ↓ Sergio Camello 60'
- 3
Bench
-
20
Ivan Balliu ↑ 67'
- 15
- 12
- 5
-
4
Pedro Diaz ↑ 67'
- 8
-
18
Alvaro Garcia ↑ 53'
-
23
Oscar Valentin ↑ 60'
-
14
Sergio Camello ↑ 60'
- 1
- 22
- 25
Coach
Iñigo Pérez
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 22
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↓ Vinicius Junior 63'
- 14
-
10
Luka Modric ↓ Eduardo Camavinga 72'
-
17
Lucas Vazquez ↓ Dani Ceballos 79'
- 8
- 1
- 11
- 5
-
15
Arda Guler ↓ Endrick 79'
- 20
Bench
- 13
- 18
-
19
Dani Ceballos ↑ 79'
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↑ 63'
-
6
Eduardo Camavinga ↑ 72'
-
16
Endrick ↑ 79'
- 34
- 35
- 39
- 29
- 44
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Karim Benzema | 5 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 3 |
| Oscar Trejo | 2 |
| Rodrygo | 2 |
| Raul de Tomas | 2 |
| Toni Kroos | 2 |
| Radamel Falcao | 2 |
| Jude Bellingham | 2 |
Head to Head
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Form
2024-12-14
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
3–3
Real Madrid CF
D
2024-12-07
Valencia CF
0–1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
W
2024-12-01
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–2
Athletic Club
L
2024-11-24
Sevilla FC
1–0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
L
2024-11-08
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–3
UD Las Palmas
L
2024-10-26
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–0
Deportivo Alavés
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.57
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.89
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 74%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.46
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
Double Chance
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw
46%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
75%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Real Madrid CF
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–3 not predicted3 – 3Actual
1 – 2
7.5%
1 – 3
7.1%
1 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 3
5.5%
1 – 4
5.1%
0 – 2
5%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 1
4.1%
2 – 4
4%
0 – 4
3.3%
0 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
| Handicap | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 5% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 10% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +1 | 37% | 19% | 44% |
| +1.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +2 | 56% | 18% | 27% |
| +2.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
Clean Sheet
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

