Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadio de Vallecas.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 38 games · 50 pts (2026/27)
- Real Madrid CF 38 games · 86 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Miguel Martinez Munuera (Spain)
6 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 2.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 38 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 38 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal CF | 38 | 72 |
| 4 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 38 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis Balompie | 38 | 60 |
| 6 | RC Celta de Vigo | 38 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe CF | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 38 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia CF | 38 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Elche CF | 38 | 43 |
| 14 | Deportivo Alaves | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | Sevilla FC | 38 | 43 |
| 16 | CA Osasuna | 38 | 42 |
| 17 | RCD Mallorca | 38 | 42 |
| 18 | Levante UD | 38 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona FC | 38 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 29 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec | Real Madrid CF | H | 3–3 | D |
| 07 Dec | Valencia CF | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Dec | Athletic Club | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Nov | Sevilla FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Nov | UD Las Palmas | H | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Oct | Deportivo Alaves | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | A | 3–3 | D |
| 10 Dec | Atalanta BC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 07 Dec | Girona FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Dec | Athletic Club | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Dec | Getafe CF | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Nov | Liverpool FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #2 |
| 50 | Points | 86 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 12 / 14 / 12 | W / D / L | 27 / 5 / 6 |
| 41 | Scored | 77 |
| 44 | Conceded | 35 |
| -3 | GD | +42 |
| 1.32 | PPG | 2.26 |
| 32% | Win % | 71% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Estadio de Vallecas!
- 4' GOAL! Unai Lopez fires home to make it 1-0!
- 9' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Thibaut Courtois suffering a number of foals already.
- 14' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Madrid CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 19' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 24' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 27' Augusto Batalla was booked on 27.
- 32' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Federico Valverde made 545 appearances and scored 29 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 35' It’s a booking for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid player. Randy Ntekja gets a card.
- 36' Brilliant from the ! Abdul Mumin makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 36.
- 39' A goal from the Uruguay international Federico Valverde! He fires home on 39 to make it 2-1!
- 44' Isi Palazon is having his name booked by the referee on 44.
- 45' Jude Bellingham makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and Real Madrid CF are in front.
- 50' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 53' The whistle greets Adri Embarba as he departs to be replaced by Alvaro Garcia.
- 56' The Brazil Rodrygo breaks the deadlock on 56 minutes. 2-3!
- 60' The whistle greets Randy Ntekja as he departs to be replaced by Sergio Camello.
- 62' Controversy at the stadium! Luka Modric argues furiously but the card stands.
- 63' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Brahim Diaz exits the field as Vinicius Junior enters on 63.
- 64' The deadlock is broken! Isi Palazon gets on the scoresheet on 64 minutes.
- 67' Ivan Balliu is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jorge de Frutos at the 67 minute mark.
- 72' Eduardo Camavinga has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luka Modric on 72 minute.
- 74' It’s a booking for Real Madrid CF player. Vinicius Junior gets a card.
- 79' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Arda Guler is replaced by Endrick on 79 minute.
- 84' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 89' Antonio Rudiger needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 90' Sergio Camello was booked on 90.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 24
-
17
Unai Lopez ↓ Pedro Diaz 67'
-
21
Adri Embarba ↓ Alvaro Garcia 53'
- 7
- 13
- 16
- 2
-
6
Pathe Ciss ↓ Oscar Valentin 60'
-
19
Jorge de Frutos ↓ Ivan Balliu 67'
-
11
Randy Ntekja ↓ Sergio Camello 60'
- 3
Bench
-
20
Ivan Balliu ↑ 67'
- 15
- 12
- 5
-
4
Pedro Diaz ↑ 67'
- 8
-
18
Alvaro Garcia ↑ 53'
-
23
Oscar Valentin ↑ 60'
-
14
Sergio Camello ↑ 60'
- 1
- 22
- 25
Coach
Iñigo Pérez
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 22
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↓ Vinicius Junior 63'
- 14
-
10
Luka Modric ↓ Eduardo Camavinga 72'
-
17
Lucas Vazquez ↓ Dani Ceballos 79'
- 8
- 1
- 11
- 5
-
15
Arda Guler ↓ Endrick 79'
- 20
Bench
- 13
- 18
-
19
Dani Ceballos ↑ 79'
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↑ 63'
-
6
Eduardo Camavinga ↑ 72'
-
16
Endrick ↑ 79'
- 34
- 35
- 39
- 29
- 44
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Karim Benzema | 5 |
| Oscar Trejo | 2 |
| Rodrygo | 2 |
| Raul de Tomas | 2 |
| Toni Kroos | 2 |
| Radamel Falcao | 2 |
| Vinicius Junior | 1 |
| Alvaro Garcia | 1 |
Head to Head
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Form
2024-12-14
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
3–3
Real Madrid CF
D
2024-12-07
Valencia CF
0–1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
W
2024-12-01
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–2
Athletic Club
L
2024-11-24
Sevilla FC
1–0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
L
2024-11-08
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–3
UD Las Palmas
L
2024-10-26
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–0
Deportivo Alaves
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.32
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Real Madrid CF 74% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw
56%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
70%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Real Madrid CF
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–3 not predicted3 – 3Actual
1 – 1
11%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 2
7.2%
0 – 1
7%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 3
5.7%
0 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
4.7%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
| Handicap | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 15% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 21% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 15% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

