Thursday , 2 July 2026

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Villarreal CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sun 17 May 2026 · 17:00 UTC Estadio de Vallecas HT 45' · FT 45'
Sergio Camello 28' 1–0
Alexandre Alemao 47' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Villarreal CFLa Liga at Estadio de Vallecas.

Match Details

  • Referee Ricardo de Burgos
  • Assistant 1 Iker De Francisco Grijalba (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Asier Perez de Mendiola (Spain)
5 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 4.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Villarreal CF H 2–0 W
14 May Valencia CF A 1–1 D
11 May Girona FC H 1–1 D
03 May Getafe CF A 2–0 W
26 Apr Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 3–3 D
23 Apr RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 0–2 L
13 May Sevilla FC H 2–3 L
10 May RCD Mallorca A 1–1 D
02 May Levante UD H 5–1 W
26 Apr RC Celta de Vigo H 2–1 W
23 Apr Real Oviedo A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Villarreal CF
#8 Position #3
50 Points 72
38 Played 38
12 / 14 / 12 W / D / L 22 / 6 / 10
41 Scored 72
44 Conceded 46
-3 GD +26
1.32 PPG 1.89
32% Win % 58%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts). Villarreal CF are 3rd (72 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Villarreal CF kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Villarreal CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' It’s high time Iñigo Pérez made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' It looks surprising Rayo Vallecano de Madrid does not make any changes. Arnau Tenas has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 28' What a strike from Sergio Camello! The score is 1-0.
  • 33' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 38' Villarreal CF looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 43' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid is showing some good football. However, Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 47' What a strike from Oscar Trejo! The score is 2-0.
  • 52' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 57' Pep Chavarria needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 61' The referee shows Rayo Vallecano de Madrid player a card on 61.
  • 66' Villarreal CF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 71' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 71.
  • 76' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 81' Unai Lopez was booked on 81.
  • 86' Pape Gueye has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 90' Villarreal CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Villarreal CF.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.19 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 Villarreal CF xG
I would bet for: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Villarreal CF 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid37% Draw28% Villarreal CF35%
Actual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw
65%
Draw or Villarreal CF
63%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Villarreal CF
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid23% Draw48% Villarreal CF29%
Actual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
7%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Handicap Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers Push Villarreal CF covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 21% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
26%
Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.