Monday , 10 August 2026

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Villarreal CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sun 17 May 2026 · 17:00 UTC Estadio de Vallecas HT 45' · FT 45'
Sergio Camello 28' 1–0
Alexandre Alemao 47' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Villarreal CFLa Liga at Estadio de Vallecas.

Match Details

  • Referee Ricardo de Burgos
  • Assistant 1 Iker De Francisco Grijalba (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Asier Perez de Mendiola (Spain)
4 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Villarreal CF H 2–0 W
14 May Valencia CF A 1–1 D
11 May Girona FC H 1–1 D
03 May Getafe CF A 2–0 W
26 Apr Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 3–3 D
23 Apr RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 0–2 L
13 May Sevilla FC H 2–3 L
10 May RCD Mallorca A 1–1 D
02 May Levante UD H 5–1 W
26 Apr RC Celta de Vigo H 2–1 W
23 Apr Real Oviedo A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Villarreal CF
#8 Position #3
50 Points 72
38 Played 38
12 / 14 / 12 W / D / L 22 / 6 / 10
41 Scored 72
44 Conceded 46
-3 GD +26
1.32 PPG 1.89
32% Win % 58%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts). Villarreal CF are 3rd (72 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Villarreal CF has kicked off!
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 28' What a strike from Sergio Camello! The score is 1-0.
  • 33' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Pape Gueye suffering a number of foals already.
  • 38' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 43' It looks like no one’s ball. Villarreal CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 47' Assisted by Pathe Ciss with the perfectly-timed delivery and Oscar Trejo makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 52' Andrei Ratiu needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 57' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 61' Florian Lejeune picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 66' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 71' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Villarreal CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 76' Over 76 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 81' The referee calls foul for Unai Lopez. He receives a card.
  • 86' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 90' Villarreal CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.19 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 Villarreal CF xG
I would bet for: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Villarreal CF 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid37% Draw28% Villarreal CF35%
Actual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw
65%
Draw or Villarreal CF
63%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Villarreal CF
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid23% Draw48% Villarreal CF29%
Actual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
7%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Handicap Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers Push Villarreal CF covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 21% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
26%
Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.