Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Primera Division · 2025-26

Real Madrid CF

2 – 1

Full Time

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Sun 1 Feb 2026 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — La Liga .

Real Madrid CF 12 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 11 games · 12 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Isidro Diaz de Mera

6 games this season 🟨 6.2/game ⚽ 13.3 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	12	33
2	Real Madrid CF	12	30
3	Club Atlético de Madrid	12	28
4	Real Betis Balompié	12	26
5	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	12	22
6	Sevilla FC	12	18
7	Athletic Club	11	16
8	RC Deportivo La Coruña	12	15
9	Villarreal CF	12	15
10	Real Racing Club de Santander	12	14
11	RC Celta de Vigo	12	13
12	Deportivo Alavés	12	13
13	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	11	12
14	CA Osasuna	12	12
15	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	12	12
16	Getafe CF	12	12
17	Levante UD	12	11
18	Elche CF	12	10
19	Valencia CF	12	9
20	Málaga CF	12	5

Head-to-Head

Real Madrid CF 13 games · Avg 2.5 goals Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-01 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2025-11-09 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0–0 Real Madrid CF 2025-03-09 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2024-12-14 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 3–3 Real Madrid CF 2024-02-18 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–1 Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

Real Madrid CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Feb	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	H	2–1	W
28 Jan	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	A	2–4	L
24 Jan	Villarreal CF	A	2–0	W
20 Jan	AS Monaco FC	H	6–1	W
17 Jan	Levante UD	H	2–0	W
04 Jan	Real Betis Balompié	H	5–1	W

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Feb	Real Madrid CF	A	1–2	L
24 Jan	CA Osasuna	H	1–3	L
18 Jan	RC Celta de Vigo	A	0–3	L
11 Jan	RCD Mallorca	H	2–1	W
02 Jan	Getafe CF	H	1–1	D
21 Dec	Elche CF	A	0–4	L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF		Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#2	Position	#13
30	Points	12
12	Played	11
10 / 0 / 2	W / D / L	3 / 3 / 5
31	Scored	15
10	Conceded	21
+21	GD	-6
2.50	PPG	1.09
83%	Win %	27%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

10% Clean Sheets
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid this season

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (30 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 13th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF

0-15

3/–

16-30

6/1

31-45

7/1

46-60

1/3

61-75

4/2

76+

8/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

0-15

4/2

16-30

2/6

31-45

2/2

46-60

6/3

61-75

1/3

76+

–/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF

Kylian Mbappe	13 G	2 A
Jude Bellingham	4 G	3 A
Arda Guler	3 G	4 A
Yan Diomande	3 G	2 A
Carlos Espi	2 G

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Sergio Camello	7 G	2 A
Alvaro Garcia	3 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — let the football do the talking.
Another three points for Real Madrid CF.

Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Karim Benzema	5
Kylian Mbappe	3
Rodrygo	2
Raul de Tomas	2
Toni Kroos	2
Radamel Falcao	2
Jude Bellingham	2
Oscar Trejo	2

Head to Head

Real Madrid CF Form

2026-02-01 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid W 2026-01-28 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 4–2 Real Madrid CF L 2026-01-24 Villarreal CF 0–2 Real Madrid CF W 2026-01-20 Real Madrid CF 6–1 AS Monaco FC W 2026-01-17 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Levante UD W 2026-01-04 Real Madrid CF 5–1 Real Betis Balompié W

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Form

2026-02-01 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid L 2026-01-24 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–3 CA Osasuna L 2026-01-18 RC Celta de Vigo 3–0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid L 2026-01-11 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2–1 RCD Mallorca W 2026-01-02 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–1 Getafe CF D 2025-12-21 Elche CF 4–0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

3.29 Real Madrid CF xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.82 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG

I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 77% + Over 2.5 goals 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Real Madrid CF77% Draw14% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid9%

Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 4.11

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	76%	24%
± 3.5	57%	43%
± 4.5	37%	63%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw

91%

Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

23%

Real Madrid CF or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

86%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Real Madrid CF64% Draw29% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid7%

Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

3 – 0

9.8%

2 – 0

9.3%

4 – 0

7.9%

3 – 1

7.8%

2 – 1

Actual

4 – 1

6.4%

1 – 0

5.6%

5 – 0

5.2%

1 – 1

5.1%

5 – 1

4.3%

3 – 2

3.2%

2 – 2

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap	Real Madrid CF covers	Push	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5	45%	—	55%
-2	45%	20%	34%
-1.5	66%	—	34%
-1	66%	17%	17%
-0.5	83%	—	17%
+0.5	94%	—	6%
+1	94%	4%	2%
+1.5	98%	—	2%
+2	98%	1%	0%
+2.5	100%	—	0%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet

45% ✓

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet

5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.