Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sun 1 Feb 2026 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de MadridLa Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Isidro Diaz de Mera

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 2–1 W
28 Jan Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 2–4 L
24 Jan Villarreal CF A 2–0 W
20 Jan AS Monaco FC H 6–1 W
17 Jan Levante UD H 2–0 W
04 Jan Real Betis Balompie H 5–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
24 Jan CA Osasuna H 1–3 L
18 Jan RC Celta de Vigo A 0–3 L
11 Jan RCD Mallorca H 2–1 W
02 Jan Getafe CF H 1–1 D
21 Dec Elche CF A 0–4 L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#2 Position #8
86 Points 50
38 Played 38
27 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 12 / 14 / 12
77 Scored 41
35 Conceded 44
+42 GD -3
2.26 PPG 1.32
71% Win % 32%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.32 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF69% Draw19% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid12%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
88%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
31%
Real Madrid CF or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF51% Draw39% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid10%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.9%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
8.9%
1 – 1
8.9%
3 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
5.9%
4 – 0
5.2%
4 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 2
3.1%
0 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 27% 73%
-2 27% 21% 52%
-1.5 48% 52%
-1 48% 23% 30%
-0.5 70% 30%
+0.5 90% 10%
+1 90% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
46%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.