Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — La Liga .
- Real Madrid CF 38 games · 86 pts (2026/27)
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 38 games · 50 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Isidro Diaz de Mera
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 38 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 38 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal CF | 38 | 72 |
| 4 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 38 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis Balompie | 38 | 60 |
| 6 | RC Celta de Vigo | 38 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe CF | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 38 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia CF | 38 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Elche CF | 38 | 43 |
| 14 | Deportivo Alaves | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | Sevilla FC | 38 | 43 |
| 16 | CA Osasuna | 38 | 42 |
| 17 | RCD Mallorca | 38 | 42 |
| 18 | Levante UD | 38 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona FC | 38 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 29 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jan | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | A | 2–4 | L |
| 24 Jan | Villarreal CF | A | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Jan | AS Monaco FC | H | 6–1 | W |
| 17 Jan | Levante UD | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Jan | Real Betis Balompie | H | 5–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Jan | CA Osasuna | H | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Jan | RC Celta de Vigo | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Jan | RCD Mallorca | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Jan | Getafe CF | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Dec | Elche CF | A | 0–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #8 |
| 86 | Points | 50 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 27 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 12 / 14 / 12 |
| 77 | Scored | 41 |
| 35 | Conceded | 44 |
| +42 | GD | -3 |
| 2.26 | PPG | 1.32 |
| 71% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Real Madrid CF to score. At the same time, Rayo Vallecano de Madrid does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Karim Benzema | 5 |
| Radamel Falcao | 2 |
| Oscar Trejo | 2 |
| Rodrygo | 2 |
| Raul de Tomas | 2 |
| Toni Kroos | 2 |
| Jude Bellingham | 1 |
| Casemiro | 1 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Form
2026-02-01
Real Madrid CF
2–1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
L
2026-01-24
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–3
CA Osasuna
L
2026-01-18
RC Celta de Vigo
3–0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
L
2026-01-11
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
2–1
RCD Mallorca
W
2026-01-02
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–1
Getafe CF
D
2025-12-21
Elche CF
4–0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.32
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for:
Real Madrid CF to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
88%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
31%
Real Madrid CF or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.9%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
8.9%
1 – 1
8.9%
3 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
5.9%
4 – 0
5.2%
4 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 2
3.1%
0 – 1
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 21% | 52% |
| -1.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| -1 | 48% | 23% | 30% |
| -0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
46%
✓
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

