Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sun 1 Feb 2026 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — La Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Isidro Diaz de Mera
3 games this season 🟨 5.7/game ⚽ 15.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 2–1 W
28 Jan Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 2–4 L
24 Jan Villarreal CF A 2–0 W
20 Jan AS Monaco FC H 6–1 W
17 Jan Levante UD H 2–0 W
04 Jan Real Betis Balompié H 5–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
24 Jan CA Osasuna H 1–3 L
18 Jan RC Celta de Vigo A 0–3 L
11 Jan RCD Mallorca H 2–1 W
02 Jan Getafe CF H 1–1 D
21 Dec Elche CF A 0–4 L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#4 Position #10
15 Points 8
7 Played 7
5 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 3
18 Scored 11
8 Conceded 16
+10 GD -5
2.14 PPG 1.14
71% Win % 29%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
0% Clean Sheets
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid this season

Real Madrid CF are 4th (15 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 10th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
1/1
46-60
5/2
61-75
–/1
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Sergio Camello 7 G 1 A
Alvaro Garcia 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.55 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Real Madrid CF to win 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF77% Draw14% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid9%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 4.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 64%
36%
± 4.5 45%
55%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
91%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
23%
Real Madrid CF or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
86%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF64% Draw28% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid8%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
8%
3 – 1
7.8%
2 – 0
7.1%
4 – 0
6.9%
4 – 1
6.8%
2 – 1
Actual
5 – 1
4.9%
5 – 0
4.9%
1 – 1
4.5%
1 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 46% — 54%
-2 46% 19% 34%
-1.5 66% — 34%
-1 66% 16% 18%
-0.5 82% — 18%
+0.5 93% — 7%
+1 93% 4% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
4% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.