Thursday , 2 July 2026

Villarreal CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Wed 18 Dec 2024 · 20:30 UTC Estadio de la Ceramica 14,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' Alvaro Garcia
Ayoze Perez 45+1' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Villarreal CF vs Rayo Vallecano de MadridLa Liga at Estadio de la Ceramica.

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Hernandez Hernandez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Jose Naranjo Perez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Marcos Cerdan Aguilar
12 games this season 🟨 1.5/game 5.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 1–1 D
15 Dec Real Betis Balompie H 1–2 L
08 Dec Athletic Club A 0–2 L
01 Dec Girona FC H 2–2 D
24 Nov CA Osasuna A 2–2 D
09 Nov Deportivo Alaves H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Dec Villarreal CF A 1–1 D
14 Dec Real Madrid CF H 3–3 D
07 Dec Valencia CF A 1–0 W
01 Dec Athletic Club H 1–2 L
24 Nov Sevilla FC A 0–1 L
08 Nov UD Las Palmas H 1–3 L

Season Stats

Villarreal CF Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#3 Position #8
72 Points 50
38 Played 38
22 / 6 / 10 W / D / L 12 / 14 / 12
72 Scored 41
46 Conceded 44
+26 GD -3
1.89 PPG 1.32
58% Win % 32%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Villarreal CF are 3rd (72 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53 Villarreal CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Villarreal CF47% Draw28% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Villarreal CF or Draw
75%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
53%
Villarreal CF or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Villarreal CF34% Draw48% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 0
10%
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Villarreal CF

Handicap Villarreal CF covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 23% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
37%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.