Thursday , 2 July 2026

Valencia CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Thu 14 May 2026 · 17:00 UTC Estadio de Mestalla HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' Florian Lejeune
Diego Lopez 40' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Valencia CF vs Rayo Vallecano de MadridLa Liga at Estadio de Mestalla.

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Alvaro Granel Peiro (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Jose Francisco Garcia Lozano (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 1–1 D
10 May Athletic Club A 1–0 W
02 May Club Atletico de Madrid H 0–2 L
25 Apr Girona FC H 2–1 W
21 Apr RCD Mallorca A 1–1 D
11 Apr Elche CF A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May Valencia CF A 1–1 D
11 May Girona FC H 1–1 D
03 May Getafe CF A 2–0 W
26 Apr Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 3–3 D
23 Apr RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 1–0 W
12 Apr RCD Mallorca A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Valencia CF Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#9 Position #8
49 Points 50
38 Played 38
13 / 10 / 15 W / D / L 12 / 14 / 12
46 Scored 41
55 Conceded 44
-9 GD -3
1.29 PPG 1.32
34% Win % 32%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Valencia CF are 9th (49 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid gets underway.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 6' The referee calls foul for Renzo Saravia. He receives a card.
  • 11' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 11 minutes.
  • 16' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Valencia CF that had 422 games and scored 398 goals.
  • 20' GOAL! Florian Lejeune scores on 20.
  • 21' Goal! Florian Lejeune scores his 17 goal in 339 matches.
  • 26' It looks like no one’s ball. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 31' Fran Perez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 36' Valencia CF is showing some good football. However, Valencia CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 40' GOAL! Diego Lopez scores on 40.
  • 45' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Luis Rioja suffering a number of foals already.
  • 50' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Randy Ntekja made 229 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 55' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 56' The referee shows Rayo Vallecano de Madrid player a card on 56.
  • 61' Valencia CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 66' It’s high time Carlos Corberán made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 71' It looks surprising Rayo Vallecano de Madrid does not make any changes. Pepelu has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 76' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Florian Lejeune scoring 1 goals.
  • 81' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 86' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Rayo Vallecano de Madrid winning 0% of all matches.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.05 Valencia CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Valencia CF or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 69% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Valencia CF35% Draw31% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Valencia CF or Draw
66%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
65%
Valencia CF or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Valencia CF23% Draw53% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
14%
0 – 1
11.6%
1 – 0
10.9%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6.8%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
2.7%
0 – 3
2.5%
3 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Valencia CF

Handicap Valencia CF covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 19% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 20% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
34%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.