Thursday , 2 July 2026

Villarreal CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sun 28 Apr 2024 · 16:30 UTC Estadio de la Ceramica HT 45' · FT 45'
Alexander Sorloth 18' 1–0
Yerson Mosquera 69' 2–0
Alexander Sorloth 74' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Villarreal CF vs Rayo Vallecano de MadridLa Liga at Estadio de la Ceramica.

Match Details

  • Referee Pablo Gonzalez Fuertes (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Israel Barcena Rodriguez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Abraham Perez Dapia (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Apr Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 3–0 W
21 Apr UD Almeria A 2–1 W
14 Apr Athletic Club A 1–1 D
01 Apr Club Atletico de Madrid H 1–2 L
17 Mar Valencia CF H 1–0 W
14 Mar Olympique de Marseille H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Apr Villarreal CF A 0–3 L
20 Apr CA Osasuna H 2–1 W
13 Apr Getafe CF H 0–0 D
31 Mar RC Celta de Vigo A 0–0 D
17 Mar Real Betis Balompie H 2–0 W
10 Mar Deportivo Alaves A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Villarreal CF Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#3 Position #8
72 Points 50
38 Played 38
22 / 6 / 10 W / D / L 12 / 14 / 12
72 Scored 41
46 Conceded 44
+26 GD -3
1.89 PPG 1.32
58% Win % 32%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Villarreal CF are 3rd (72 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.94 Villarreal CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Villarreal CF to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Villarreal CF61% Draw23% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid16%
Actual: Villarreal CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Villarreal CF or Draw
84%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
39%
Villarreal CF or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Villarreal CF44% Draw44% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid12%
Actual: Villarreal CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.3%
2 – 0
12.3%
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
8.5%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.1%
0 – 1
4.3%
4 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
3.7%
2 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Villarreal CF

Handicap Villarreal CF covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 20% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 24% 37%
-0.5 63% 37%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
47%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.