Thursday , 2 July 2026

Villarreal CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sat 1 Nov 2025 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Villarreal CF vs Rayo Vallecano de MadridLa Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Iosu Galech Apezteguia (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 4–0 W
25 Oct Valencia CF A 2–0 W
21 Oct Manchester City FC H 0–2 L
18 Oct Real Betis Balompie H 2–2 D
04 Oct Real Madrid CF A 1–3 L
01 Oct Juventus FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Villarreal CF A 0–4 L
26 Oct Deportivo Alaves H 1–0 W
19 Oct Levante UD A 3–0 W
05 Oct Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 1–0 W
28 Sep Sevilla FC H 0–1 L
24 Sep Club Atletico de Madrid A 2–3 L

Season Stats

Villarreal CF Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#3 Position #8
72 Points 50
38 Played 38
22 / 6 / 10 W / D / L 12 / 14 / 12
72 Scored 41
46 Conceded 44
+26 GD -3
1.89 PPG 1.32
58% Win % 32%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Villarreal CF are 3rd (72 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Villarreal CF Lineups

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.99 Villarreal CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Villarreal CF to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Villarreal CF59% Draw23% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid18%
Actual: Villarreal CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Villarreal CF or Draw
82%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
41%
Villarreal CF or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Villarreal CF43% Draw43% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid14%
Actual: Villarreal CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 0
10.1%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
6.9%
3 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 1
4.2%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Villarreal CF

Handicap Villarreal CF covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 23% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
39%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.