Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 31 Aug 2024 · 16:30 UTC BayArena 29,615 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jeremie Frimpong 39' 1–0
Alejandro Grimaldo 45' 2–0
2–1 45+7' Kevin Kampl
2–2 57' Lois Openda
2–3 80' Lois Openda

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB LeipzigBundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Assistant 1 Mark Borsch
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
20 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 5.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug RB Leipzig H 2–3 L
28 Aug FC Carl Zeiss Jena A 1–0 W
23 Aug Borussia Monchengladbach A 3–2 W
25 May 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 1–0 W
22 May Atalanta BC A 0–3 L
18 May FC Augsburg H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 3–2 W
24 Aug VfL Bochum 1848 H 1–0 W
17 Aug Rot-Weiss Essen A 4–1 W
18 May Eintracht Frankfurt A 2–2 D
11 May SV Werder Bremen H 1–1 D
03 May TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen RB Leipzig
#6 Position #3
59 Points 65
34 Played 34
17 / 8 / 9 W / D / L 20 / 5 / 9
68 Scored 66
47 Conceded 47
+21 GD +19
1.74 PPG 1.91
50% Win % 59%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.96 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.97 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Bayer 04 Leverkusen or RB Leipzig 76% + Over 2.5 goals 74%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen39% Draw24% RB Leipzig37%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 3.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
63%
Draw or RB Leipzig
61%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or RB Leipzig
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen31% Draw38% RB Leipzig31%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 3
Actual
3 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.9%
2 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.4%
1 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 17% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 17% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 12% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
15%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.