Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at BayArena.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Welz
- Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
- Assistant 2 Asmir Osmanagic
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Jan | Borussia Dortmund | A | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Dec | SC Freiburg | H | 5–1 | W |
| 14 Dec | FC Augsburg | A | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Dec | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Jan | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Dec | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Dec | FC Bayern München | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Dec | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–4 | L |
| 01 Dec | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #12 |
| 16 | Points | 10 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 5 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 5 |
| 20 | Scored | 18 |
| 17 | Conceded | 19 |
| +3 | GD | -1 |
| 1.78 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 56% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (16 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
| Patrik Schick | 8 G | 2 A |
| Ibrahim Maza | 3 G | 3 A |
| Christian Kofane | 2 G | |
| Facundo Medina | 1 G | |
| Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez | 1 G |
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at BayArena!
- 3' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Armindo Sieb is hanging Jonathan Burkardt on the field on 3 minute.
- 8' Bayer 04 Leverkusen is showing some good football. However, Bayer 04 Leverkusen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 13' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Bayer 04 Leverkusen winning 100% of all matches.
- 17' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Armindo Sieb on 17 minutes.
- 22' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FSV Mainz 05 that had 447 games and scored 425 goals.
- 27' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 32' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 37' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 42' Kaishu Sano, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 47' 1. FSV Mainz 05 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 48' A stunning finish from Alejandro Grimaldo — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 51' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a card in front of him.
- 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Andreas Hanche-Olsen suffering a number of foals already.
- 61' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 63' Nathan Tella is replacing Patrik Schick for the Bayer 04 Leverkusen side.
- 66' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Jae-sung Lee is withdrawn and Hyun-seok Hong gets his opportunity.
- 68' Anthony Caci is having his name booked by the referee on 68.
- 69' It’s a booking for Bayer 04 Leverkusen player. Nordi Mukiele gets a card.
- 74' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bo Henriksen will be considering his options from the bench.
- 79' Hyun-seok Hong has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 80' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Philipp Mwene is withdrawn and Silvan Widmer gets his opportunity.
- 85' It’s high time Bo Henriksen made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 87' That looks like a foul for a card for Granit Xhaka.
- 88' Martin Terrier is replacing Florian Wirtz for the Bayer 04 Leverkusen side.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Bo Henriksen.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.
Lineups
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 34
- 23
- 24
-
14
Patrik Schick ↓ Nathan Tella 63'
- 25
- 20
- 12
- 30
- 17
-
10
Florian Wirtz ↓ Martin Terrier 88'
- 3
Bench
-
11
Martin Terrier ↑ 88'
- 1
- 7
- 36
- 8
-
19
Nathan Tella ↑ 63'
- 13
- 40
- 29
Coach
Xabi Alonso
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 19
- 31
-
2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Silvan Widmer 80'
- 27
-
16
Stefan Bell ↓ Maxim Leitsch 80'
- 29
- 21
- 8
- 25
- 6
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 66'
Bench
-
5
Maxim Leitsch ↑ 80'
- 4
- 33
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 80'
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 3'
- 1
- 44
-
14
Hyun-seok Hong ↑ 66'
- 42
Coach
Bo Henriksen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Patrik Schick | 6 |
| Lucas Alario | 4 |
| Anthony Caci | 3 |
| Julian Brandt | 2 |
| Alejandro Grimaldo | 2 |
| Aaron Martin | 2 |
| Robert Andrich | 2 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
Head to Head
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2025-01-14
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2025-01-10
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2024-12-21
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
5–1
SC Freiburg
W
2024-12-14
FC Augsburg
0–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2024-12-10
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–0
FC Internazionale Milano
W
2024-12-07
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2025-01-14
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2025-01-11
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–0
VfL Bochum 1848
W
2024-12-21
Eintracht Frankfurt
1–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2024-12-14
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–1
FC Bayern München
W
2024-12-08
VfL Wolfsburg
4–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2024-12-01
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.63
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.54
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.17
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
80%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
40%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FSV Mainz 05
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 1
7.1%
3 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.5%
3 – 2
5.3%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.6%
4 – 1
4.6%
1 – 0
Actual
4 – 2
3.5%
2 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
| Handicap | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 17% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 20% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 11% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
22%
✗
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

