Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

1 – 0

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Tue 14 Jan 2025 · 19:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'

Alejandro Grimaldo 48' 1–0

Y 17' Armindo Sieb

Y 51' Stefan Bell

Y 68' Anthony Caci

Nordi Mukiele 69' Y

Granit Xhaka 87' Y

Y 90' Bo Henriksen

YR 90' Bo Henriksen

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at BayArena.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Tobias Welz
Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
Assistant 2 Asmir Osmanagic

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
2	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
3	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26
4	FC Schalke 04	0	0
5	SC Paderborn 07	0	0
6	SV 07 Elversberg	0	0
7	FC Bayern München	0	0
8	Borussia Dortmund	0	0
9	RB Leipzig	0	0
10	VfB Stuttgart	0	0
11	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0	0
12	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0	0
13	SC Freiburg	0	0
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0
15	FC Augsburg	0	0
16	1. FSV Mainz 05	0	0
17	1. FC Union Berlin	0	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0
19	Hamburger SV	0	0
20	1. FC Köln	0	0
21	SV Werder Bremen	0	0

Head-to-Head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-02-23 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-09-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2023-02-19 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-08-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Recent Form

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–0	W
10 Jan	Borussia Dortmund	A	3–2	W
21 Dec	SC Freiburg	H	5–1	W
14 Dec	FC Augsburg	A	2–0	W
10 Dec	FC Internazionale Milano	H	1–0	W
07 Dec	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	2–1	W

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Jan	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	0–1	L
11 Jan	VfL Bochum 1848	H	2–0	W
21 Dec	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	3–1	W
14 Dec	FC Bayern München	H	2–1	W
08 Dec	VfL Wolfsburg	A	3–4	L
01 Dec	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen		1. FSV Mainz 05
#12	Position	#16
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 12th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 1. FSV Mainz 05 get this one started.
3' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Jonathan Burkardt exits the field as Armindo Sieb enters on 3.
8' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Bayer 04 Leverkusen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
13' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Bayer 04 Leverkusen side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
17' Armindo Sieb picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
22' Maxim Leitsch is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Bayer 04 Leverkusen so far.
27' It looks like no one’s ball. Bayer 04 Leverkusen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
32' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
37' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Stefan Bell suffering a number of foals already.
42' A quiet spell here at BayArena. Bayer 04 Leverkusen seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
47' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
48' What a strike from Alejandro Grimaldo! The score is 1-0.
51' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a card in front of him.
56' Danny da Costa is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FSV Mainz 05 tonight.
61' Bayer 04 Leverkusen currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
63' Patrik Schick makes way for Nathan Tella at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
66' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 66 minute. Jae-sung Lee leaves to be changed by Hyun-seok Hong.
68' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Anthony Caci gets a card.
69' Nordi Mukiele was booked on 69.
74' Bayer 04 Leverkusen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
79' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
80' Silvan Widmer is replacing Philipp Mwene for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
85' Over 85 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
87' It’s gonna be a card for Granit Xhaka.
88' Fresh legs for Bayer 04 Leverkusen! Martin Terrier comes on to replace Florian Wirtz.
90' It’s gonna be a card for Bo Henriksen.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Bayer 04 Leverkusen take all three points.

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Xabi Alonso

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Patrik Schick	5
Lucas Alario	4
Kai Havertz	2
Julian Brandt	2
Alejandro Grimaldo	2
Aaron Martin	2
Marcus Ingvartsen	2
Jeremie Frimpong	2

Head to Head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2025-01-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-01-10 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2024-12-21 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–1 SC Freiburg W 2024-12-14 FC Augsburg 0–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2024-12-10 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 FC Internazionale Milano W 2024-12-07 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 W

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-01-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-01-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2024-12-21 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern München W 2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-12-01 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.07 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.5 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 79% + Under — clean sheet likely 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Bayer 04 Leverkusen52% Draw32% 1. FSV Mainz 0516%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes28% 0% No72%

Avg goals/match: 1.57

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	77%	23%
± 1.5	47%	53%
± 2.5	21%	79%
± 3.5	8%	92%
± 4.5	3%	97%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw

84%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

48%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FSV Mainz 05

68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Bayer 04 Leverkusen30% Draw60% 1. FSV Mainz 0510%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

23.2%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

12%

2 – 0

11.3%

0 – 1

8.9%

2 – 1

6.1%

3 – 0

1 – 2

2.7%

0 – 2

2.3%

3 – 1

2.3%

2 – 2

1.6%

4 – 0

1.1%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	14%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	28%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	85%	—	15%
+1	85%	12%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

61% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.