Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

1 – 0

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Tue 14 Jan 2025 · 19:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'

Alejandro Grimaldo 48' 1–0

Y 17' Armindo Sieb

Y 51' Stefan Bell

Y 68' Anthony Caci

Nordi Mukiele 69' Y

Granit Xhaka 87' Y

Y 90' Bo Henriksen

YR 90' Bo Henriksen

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at BayArena.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 games · 59 pts (2025/26)
1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Tobias Welz
Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
Assistant 2 Asmir Osmanagic

19 games this season 🟨 1.2/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-02-23 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-09-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2023-02-19 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-08-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Recent Form

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–0	W
10 Jan	Borussia Dortmund	A	3–2	W
21 Dec	SC Freiburg	H	5–1	W
14 Dec	FC Augsburg	A	2–0	W
10 Dec	FC Internazionale Milano	H	1–0	W
07 Dec	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	2–1	W

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Jan	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	0–1	L
11 Jan	VfL Bochum 1848	H	2–0	W
21 Dec	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	3–1	W
14 Dec	FC Bayern München	H	2–1	W
08 Dec	VfL Wolfsburg	A	3–4	L
01 Dec	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen		1. FSV Mainz 05
#6	Position	#10
59	Points	40
34	Played	34
17 / 8 / 9	W / D / L	10 / 10 / 14
68	Scored	44
47	Conceded	53
+21	GD	-9
1.74	PPG	1.18
50%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/1

31-45

4/3

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Bayer 04 Leverkusen gets underway.
3' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Jonathan Burkardt has done his job and it is now time for Armindo Sieb to step up.
8' Bayer 04 Leverkusen have won 751 goals from 541 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
13' Bayer 04 Leverkusen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
17' A meaty challenge results in booking for Armindo Sieb on 17.
22' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
27' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
32' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Bayer 04 Leverkusen that had 541 games and scored 751 goals.
37' It looks surprising Bayer 04 Leverkusen does not make any changes. Jeremie Frimpong has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
42' The 27-year-old Exequiel Palacios has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
47' It is a cagey affair so far. Bayer 04 Leverkusen in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact 3-4-2-1.
48' Alejandro Grimaldo adds to his 2 season tally! Bayer 04 Leverkusen lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
51' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Stefan Bell.
56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
61' Bayer 04 Leverkusen has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
63' The crowd applauds Patrik Schick as he leaves the pitch. Nathan Tella steps in for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
66' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Jae-sung Lee is replaced by Hyun-seok Hong.
68' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Anthony Caci gets a card.
69' Bayer 04 Leverkusen receives a card for a hard tackle on 69.
74' The travelling 1. FSV Mainz 05 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
79' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
80' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Philipp Mwene is replaced by Silvan Widmer.
85' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bo Henriksen will be considering his options from the bench.
87' Granit Xhaka is having his name booked by the referee on 87.
88' The Bayer 04 Leverkusen manager makes a substitution. Florian Wirtz departs to be replaced by Martin Terrier.
90' Bo Henriksen was booked on 90.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for 1. FSV Mainz 05.

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Xabi Alonso

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Patrik Schick	5
Lucas Alario	4
Aaron Martin	2
Marcus Ingvartsen	2
Jeremie Frimpong	2
Nadiem Amiri	2
Kai Havertz	2
Julian Brandt	2

Head to Head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2025-01-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-01-10 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2024-12-21 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–1 SC Freiburg W 2024-12-14 FC Augsburg 0–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2024-12-10 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 FC Internazionale Milano W 2024-12-07 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 W

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-01-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-01-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2024-12-21 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern München W 2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-12-01 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

2.18 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.03 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Bayer 04 Leverkusen62% Draw21% 1. FSV Mainz 0517%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 3.21

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw

84%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

38%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FSV Mainz 05

79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Bayer 04 Leverkusen45% Draw40% 1. FSV Mainz 0515%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.9%

2 – 1

9.5%

2 – 0

9.5%

1 – 0

Actual

3 – 1

6.9%

3 – 0

6.7%

0 – 0

5.5%

2 – 2

4.9%

1 – 2

4.5%

4 – 1

3.8%

4 – 0

3.7%

3 – 2

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	21%	—	79%
-2	21%	19%	60%
-1.5	40%	—	60%
-1	40%	22%	38%
-0.5	62%	—	38%
+0.5	84%	—	16%
+1	84%	10%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

36% ✗

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.