Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

1 – 0

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Tue 14 Jan 2025 · 19:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'

Alejandro Grimaldo 48' 1–0

Y 17' Armindo Sieb

Y 51' Stefan Bell

Y 68' Anthony Caci

Nordi Mukiele 69' Y

Granit Xhaka 87' Y

Y 90' Bo Henriksen

YR 90' Bo Henriksen

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at BayArena.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Tobias Welz
Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
Assistant 2 Asmir Osmanagic

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-02-23 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-09-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2023-02-19 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-08-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Recent Form

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–0	W
10 Jan	Borussia Dortmund	A	3–2	W
21 Dec	SC Freiburg	H	5–1	W
14 Dec	FC Augsburg	A	2–0	W
10 Dec	FC Internazionale Milano	H	1–0	W
07 Dec	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	2–1	W

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Jan	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	0–1	L
11 Jan	VfL Bochum 1848	H	2–0	W
21 Dec	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	3–1	W
14 Dec	FC Bayern München	H	2–1	W
08 Dec	VfL Wolfsburg	A	3–4	L
01 Dec	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen		1. FSV Mainz 05
#5	Position	#6
7	Points	7
4	Played	4
2 / 1 / 1	W / D / L	2 / 1 / 1
10	Scored	10
5	Conceded	6
+5	GD	+4
1.75	PPG	1.75
50%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (7 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0-15

1/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

2/3

61-75

1/–

76+

3/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/–

76+

5/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Patrik Schick	4 G	1 A
Christian Kofane	2 G
Ibrahim Maza	1 G	1 A
Facundo Medina	1 G
Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez	1 G

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	4 G
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	3 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: 1. FSV Mainz 05 gets underway.
3' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Jonathan Burkardt is replaced by Armindo Sieb.
8' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Maxim Leitsch made 338 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
13' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
17' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Armindo Sieb gets a card.
22' It’s high time Bo Henriksen made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
27' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Bayer 04 Leverkusen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
32' The energy levels are beginning to show. Xabi Alonso might look to freshen things up shortly.
37' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
42' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jonathan Burkardt, as he is very good at scoring at BayArena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
47' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
48' Magnificent from Alejandro Grimaldo! That is 46 goals in 470 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
51' Stefan Bell picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
61' It looks surprising Bayer 04 Leverkusen does not make any changes. Nordi Mukiele has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
63' The supporters are chanting for Nathan Tella. He replaces Patrik Schick on 63 minute.
66' Hyun-seok Hong is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jae-sung Lee at the 66 minute mark.
68' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a card on 68.
69' That looks like a foul for a card for Nordi Mukiele.
74' The travelling 1. FSV Mainz 05 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
79' The home supporters are growing impatient. Bayer 04 Leverkusen must find a spark to ignite this game.
80' Silvan Widmer gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Philipp Mwene and will look to change the dynamic.
85' Paul Nebel, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
87' A meaty challenge results in booking for Granit Xhaka on 87.
88' Fresh legs for Bayer 04 Leverkusen! Martin Terrier comes on to replace Florian Wirtz.
90' A moment of madness from Bo Henriksen on 90 minutes earns him a card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
Full Time. Bayer 04 Leverkusen beats 1. FSV Mainz 05

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Xabi Alonso

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Patrik Schick	5
Lucas Alario	4
Jeremie Frimpong	2
Nadiem Amiri	2
Kai Havertz	2
Julian Brandt	2
Alejandro Grimaldo	2
Aaron Martin	2

Head to Head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2025-01-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-01-10 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2024-12-21 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–1 SC Freiburg W 2024-12-14 FC Augsburg 0–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2024-12-10 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 FC Internazionale Milano W 2024-12-07 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 W

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-01-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-01-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2024-12-21 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern München W 2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-12-01 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

2.21 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.29 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Bayer 04 Leverkusen59% Draw21% 1. FSV Mainz 0520%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.5

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	46%	54%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw

80%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

41%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FSV Mainz 05

79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Bayer 04 Leverkusen42% Draw39% 1. FSV Mainz 0519%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.5%

2 – 1

9.2%

2 – 0

7.4%

3 – 1

6.7%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 2

5.9%

1 – 2

5.4%

3 – 0

5.3%

0 – 0

4.4%

3 – 2

4.4%

4 – 1

3.7%

0 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	19%	—	81%
-2	19%	17%	64%
-1.5	36%	—	64%
-1	36%	21%	43%
-0.5	57%	—	43%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	12%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

28% ✗

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.