Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Fri 20 Dec 2024 · 19:30 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jamal Musiala 1' 1–0
1–1 2' Benjamin Sesko
Konrad Laimer 25' 2–1
Joshua Kimmich 36' 3–1
Leroy Sane 75' 4–1
Alphonso Davies 78' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs RB LeipzigBundesliga at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
  • Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
12 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 5.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec RB Leipzig H 5–1 W
14 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–2 L
10 Dec FK Shakhtar Donetsk A 5–1 W
07 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 4–2 W
03 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
30 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec FC Bayern München A 1–5 L
15 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
10 Dec Aston Villa FC H 2–3 L
07 Dec Holstein Kiel A 2–0 W
04 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–0 W
30 Nov VfL Wolfsburg H 1–5 L

Season Stats

FC Bayern München RB Leipzig
#7 Position #9
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Bayern München are 7th (0 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Bayern München and RB Leipzig has kicked off!
  • 1' What a moment for Jamal Musiala! That strike on 1 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 2' A stunning finish from Benjamin Sesko — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 7' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Bayern München and RB Leipzig are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 12' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 17' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Bayern München and RB Leipzig are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 20' Dayot Upamecano has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 20.
  • 25' Brilliant from the ! Konrad Laimer makes it 0-3 with a superb finish on 25.
  • 27' A moment of madness from Xaver Schlager on 27 minutes earns him a card. RB Leipzig will be frustrated.
  • 32' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 36' Joshua Kimmich doubles the advantage! 0-4 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 41' FC Bayern München are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RB Leipzig backline.
  • 45' It’s a booking for RB Leipzig player. Marco Rose gets a card.
  • 50' Alphonso Davies has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
  • 55' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 56' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Michael Olise.
  • 59' Benjamin Henrichs was booked on 59.
  • 60' The referee calls foul for Harry Kane. He receives a card.
  • 64' Konrad Laimer is having his name booked by the referee on 64.
  • 69' Aleksandar Pavlovic is replacing Konrad Laimer for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
  • 74' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Xaver Schlager has done his job and it is now time for Kevin Kampl to step up.
  • 75' Goal! Leroy Sane scores his 85 goal in 436 matches.
  • 78' Alphonso Davies has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 78 minutes.
  • 82' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Joshua Kimmich on 82 minutes.
  • 82' David Raum is replacing Lutsharel Geertruida for the RB Leipzig side.
  • 83' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 83 minute. Min-Jae Kim leaves to be changed by Eric Dier.
  • 87' Thomas Muller is ready to make an impact after coming on for Harry Kane at the 87 minute mark.
  • It finishes all square. FC Bayern München and RB Leipzig share the spoils 5-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.48 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München54% Draw27% RB Leipzig19%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
81%
Draw or RB Leipzig
46%
FC Bayern München or RB Leipzig
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Bayern München36% Draw50% RB Leipzig14%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
14.9%
0 – 0
12.9%
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 0
11.4%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 25% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
48%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.