FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.
- FC Bayern München 34 games · 89 pts (2025/26)
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Siebert
- Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
- Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
29 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec | RB Leipzig | H | 5–1 | W |
| 14 Dec | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Dec | FK Shakhtar Donetsk | A | 5–1 | W |
| 07 Dec | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 4–2 | W |
| 03 Dec | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec | FC Bayern München | A | 1–5 | L |
| 15 Dec | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Dec | Aston Villa FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 07 Dec | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Dec | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–5 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Bayern München | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #3 |
| 89 | Points | 65 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 28 / 5 / 1 | W / D / L | 20 / 5 / 9 |
| 122 | Scored | 66 |
| 36 | Conceded | 47 |
| +86 | GD | +19 |
| 2.62 | PPG | 1.91 |
| 82% | Win % | 59% |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
32%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. RB Leipzig get us underway at Allianz Arena.
- 1' Against the run of play, Jamal Musiala has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 2' A stunning finish from Benjamin Sesko — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 7' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 12' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Leroy Sane suffering a number of foals already.
- 17' Konrad Laimer has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
- 20' Dayot Upamecano catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 20.
- 25' The deadlock is broken! Konrad Laimer gets on the scoresheet on 25 minutes.
- 27' It’s a booking for RB Leipzig player. Xaver Schlager gets a card.
- 32' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 36' Joshua Kimmich does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Bayern Munchen surge ahead!
- 41' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vincent Kompany will be considering his options from the bench.
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Marco Rose is booked for RB Leipzig — card on 45.
- 50' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Bayern München in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past RB Leipzig's compact 3-4-2-1.
- 55' Lukas Klostermann, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 56' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Michael Olise on 56 minutes.
- 59' The referee shows RB Leipzig player a card on 59.
- 60' The referee shows FC Bayern Munchen player a card on 60.
- 64' That is a card for FC Bayern Munchen. Konrad Laimer will be fuming at that decision.
- 69' The crowd applauds Konrad Laimer as he leaves the pitch. Aleksandar Pavlovic steps in for FC Bayern Munchen.
- 74' Fresh legs for RB Leipzig! Kevin Kampl comes on to replace Xaver Schlager.
- 75' Against the run of play, Leroy Sane has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 78' Against the run of play, Alphonso Davies has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 82' A meaty challenge results in booking for Joshua Kimmich on 82.
- 82' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Lutsharel Geertruida is replaced by David Raum on 82 minute.
- 83' Another substitution for FC Bayern Munchen to replace Min-Jae Kim by Eric Dier on 83 minute.
- 87' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Thomas Muller comes on to replace Harry Kane.
- Full Time. FC Bayern München beats RB Leipzig
Lineups
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 9
- 6
- 8
- 2
- 27
- 19
- 18
- 17
- 42
- 3
Bench
- 15
- 26
- 25
- 22
- 39
- 20
- 45
- 36
- 49
Coach
Vincent Kompany
RB Leipzig Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 11
- 3
- 39
- 14
- 1
- 4
-
24
Xaver Schlager ↓ Kevin Kampl 74'
- 13
-
30
Benjamin Sesko ↓ Andre Silva 74'
- 7
- 18
Bench
-
16
Lukas Klostermann ↑ 82'
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↑ 74'
-
22
David Raum ↑ 82'
-
19
Andre Silva ↑ 74'
- 8
- 26
- 5
- 47
- 31
Coach
Marco Rose
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robert Lewandowski | 5 |
| Thomas Muller | 4 |
| Leroy Sane | 4 |
| Jamal Musiala | 3 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Harry Kane | 3 |
| Benjamin Sesko | 3 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 3 |
Head to Head
FC Bayern München Form
2024-12-20
FC Bayern München
5–1
RB Leipzig
W
2024-12-14
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–1
FC Bayern München
L
2024-12-10
FK Shakhtar Donetsk
1–5
FC Bayern München
W
2024-12-07
FC Bayern München
4–2
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
W
2024-12-03
FC Bayern München
0–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2024-11-30
Borussia Dortmund
1–1
FC Bayern München
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.25
FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36
RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.61
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
Double Chance
FC Bayern München or Draw
85%
Draw or RB Leipzig
32%
FC Bayern München or RB Leipzig
83%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 1
7.6%
2 – 1
7.2%
4 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
5.8%
2 – 0
5.6%
1 – 1
5.2%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
4 – 0
4.6%
4 – 2
4.1%
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München
| Handicap | FC Bayern München covers | Push | RB Leipzig covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -2 | 36% | 19% | 46% |
| -1.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| -1 | 54% | 18% | 28% |
| -0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 7% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 3% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

