FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.
- FC Bayern München 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- RB Leipzig 4 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Siebert
- Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
- Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
5 games this season
🟨 5.4/game
⚽ 12.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec | RB Leipzig | H | 5–1 | W |
| 14 Dec | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Dec | FK Shakhtar Donetsk | A | 5–1 | W |
| 07 Dec | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 4–2 | W |
| 03 Dec | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec | FC Bayern München | A | 1–5 | L |
| 15 Dec | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Dec | Aston Villa FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 07 Dec | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Dec | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–5 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Bayern München | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #9 |
| 10 | Points | 6 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 3 / 1 / 0 | W / D / L | 2 / 0 / 2 |
| 14 | Scored | 9 |
| 2 | Conceded | 5 |
| +12 | GD | +4 |
| 2.50 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 75% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
50%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
FC Bayern München are 2nd (10 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Bayern München
| Michael Olise | 4 G | 1 A |
| Harry Kane | 3 G | |
| Aleksandar Pavlovic | 1 G | 1 A |
| Dayot Upamecano | 1 G | |
| Luis Diaz | 1 G |
RB Leipzig
| Antonio Nusa | 2 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G | |
| Rocco Reitz | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: FC Bayern Munchen gets underway.
- 1' What a moment for Jamal Musiala! That strike on 1 puts his side firmly in control.
- 2' A stunning finish from Benjamin Sesko — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 7' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 12' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Bayern Munchen must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 17' FC Bayern Munchen is showing some good football. However, FC Bayern Munchen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' Dayot Upamecano is having his name booked by the referee on 20.
- 25' Konrad Laimer makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and FC Bayern Munchen are in front.
- 27' Xaver Schlager was booked on 27.
- 32' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Bayern Munchen in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past RB Leipzig's compact 3-4-2-1.
- 36' Joshua Kimmich does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Bayern Munchen surge ahead!
- 41' Willi Orban has been relatively quiet despite scoring 31 goals in his last 515 appearances.
- 45' Marco Rose is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
- 50' It looks surprising FC Bayern Munchen does not make any changes. Leon Goretzka has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 55' The 29-year-old Benjamin Henrichs has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 56' Michael Olise catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 56.
- 59' That is a card for RB Leipzig. Benjamin Henrichs will be fuming at that decision.
- 60' Poor challenge from Harry Kane. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 64' Konrad Laimer catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 64.
- 69' A change in the FC Bayern Munchen ranks — Konrad Laimer exits the field as Aleksandar Pavlovic enters on 69.
- 74' A tactical swap from RB Leipzig — Kevin Kampl on, Xaver Schlager off on 74 minutes.
- 75' Leroy Sane has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 75 minutes.
- 78' Assisted by Joshua Kimmich with the perfectly-timed delivery and Alphonso Davies makes no mistake. 5-1!
- 82' That is a card for FC Bayern Munchen. Joshua Kimmich will be fuming at that decision.
- 82' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Lutsharel Geertruida is replaced by David Raum on 82 minute.
- 83' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 83 minute. Min-Jae Kim leaves to be changed by Eric Dier.
- 87' A tactical swap from FC Bayern Munchen — Thomas Muller on, Harry Kane off on 87 minutes.
- RB Leipzig will have plenty to reflect on. FC Bayern Munchen were simply the better side today.
Lineups
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 9
- 6
- 8
- 2
- 27
- 19
- 18
- 17
- 42
- 3
Bench
- 15
- 26
- 25
- 22
- 39
- 20
- 45
- 36
- 49
Coach
Vincent Kompany
RB Leipzig Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 11
- 3
- 39
- 14
- 1
- 4
-
24
Xaver Schlager ↓ Kevin Kampl 74'
- 13
-
30
Benjamin Sesko ↓ Andre Silva 74'
- 7
- 18
Bench
-
16
Lukas Klostermann ↑ 82'
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↑ 74'
-
22
David Raum ↑ 82'
-
19
Andre Silva ↑ 74'
- 8
- 26
- 5
- 47
- 31
Coach
Marco Rose
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robert Lewandowski | 5 |
| Leroy Sane | 4 |
| Thomas Muller | 4 |
| Benjamin Sesko | 3 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 3 |
| Jamal Musiala | 3 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Harry Kane | 3 |
Head to Head
FC Bayern München Form
2024-12-20
FC Bayern München
5–1
RB Leipzig
W
2024-12-14
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–1
FC Bayern München
L
2024-12-10
FK Shakhtar Donetsk
1–5
FC Bayern München
W
2024-12-07
FC Bayern München
4–2
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
W
2024-12-03
FC Bayern München
0–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2024-11-30
Borussia Dortmund
1–1
FC Bayern München
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.81
FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + FC Bayern München to win 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.84
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
FC Bayern München or Draw
86%
Draw or RB Leipzig
32%
FC Bayern München or RB Leipzig
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
2 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
3 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
7.8%
1 – 1
7%
1 – 0
5.9%
4 – 1
5.5%
4 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 0
3.3%
1 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München
| Handicap | FC Bayern München covers | Push | RB Leipzig covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -2 | 33% | 20% | 47% |
| -1.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| -1 | 53% | 20% | 27% |
| -0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.