Thursday , 2 July 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 23 Nov 2024 · 14:30 UTC PreZero Arena 28,023 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 15' Willi Orban
Adam Hlozek 17' 1–1
1–2 19' Antonio Nusa
Tom Bischof 50' 2–2
2–3 67' Stanley N'Soki og
Adam Hlozek 82' 3–3
Jacob Bruun Larsen 87' 4–3

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB LeipzigBundesliga at PreZero Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
  • Assistant 2 Sascha Thielert
14 games this season 🟨 1.1/game 7.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov RB Leipzig H 4–3 W
10 Nov FC Augsburg A 0–0 D
07 Nov Olympique Lyonnais H 2–2 D
02 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–2 L
30 Oct 1. FC Nurnberg H 2–1 W
27 Oct 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–4 L
09 Nov Borussia Monchengladbach H 0–0 D
05 Nov Celtic FC A 1–3 L
02 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 1–2 L
29 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 H 4–2 W
26 Oct SC Freiburg H 3–1 W

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim RB Leipzig
#5 Position #3
61 Points 65
34 Played 34
18 / 7 / 9 W / D / L 20 / 5 / 9
65 Scored 66
52 Conceded 47
+13 GD +19
1.79 PPG 1.91
53% Win % 59%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at PreZero Arena as TSG 1899 Hoffenheim face off against RB Leipzig in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Lois Openda, a Belgium , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' A stunning finish from Willi Orban — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 17' GOAL! Adam Hlozek fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 19' A goal from the Norway international Antonio Nusa! He fires home on 19 to make it 1-2!
  • 24' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 29' The travelling RB Leipzig supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 34' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim currently sit 15 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 39' The energy levels are beginning to show. Christian Ilzer might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 44' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 46' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Lukas Klostermann is replaced by Lutsharel Geertruida on 46 minute.
  • 50' Brilliant from the ! Tom Bischof makes it 2-2 with a superb finish on 50.
  • 55' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 55 minutes.
  • 60' Benjamin Sesko makes way for Assan Ouedraogo at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
  • 61' Mergim Berisha is replacing Haris Tabakovic for the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim side.
  • 66' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are deployed in a 3-4-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against RB Leipzig's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 67' What composure from Stanley N'Soki! The France international strokes it home. 3-2.
  • 72' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 75' Andrej Kramaric has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 75.
  • 77' The RB Leipzig bench stirs into life. Kevin Kampl is withdrawn and Amadou Haidara gets his opportunity.
  • 81' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ring the changes. Tom Bischof has done his job and it is now time for Umut Tohumcu to step up.
  • 82' The deadlock is broken! Adam Hlozek gets on the scoresheet on 82 minutes.
  • 82' The whistle greets Lois Openda as he departs to be replaced by Andre Silva.
  • 85' That looks like a foul for a card for Castello Lukeba.
  • 86' Alexander Prass makes way for Kevin Akpoguma at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
  • 87' GOAL! Jacob Bruun Larsen fires home to make it 5-2!
  • 90' Poor challenge from Kevin Akpoguma. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.08 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.96 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or RB Leipzig 77% + Over 2.5 goals 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim44% Draw23% RB Leipzig33%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.04
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
67%
Draw or RB Leipzig
56%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or RB Leipzig
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim33% Draw38% RB Leipzig29%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
8%
2 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.8%
2 – 3
4.6%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.5%
1 – 0
3.2%
3 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 12% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 18% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 16% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 11% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
15%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.