TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

4 – 3

Full Time

RB Leipzig

Sat 23 Nov 2024 · 14:30 UTC PreZero Arena 28,023 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 15' Willi Orban

Adam Hlozek 17' 1–1

1–2 19' Antonio Nusa

Tom Bischof 50' 2–2

2–3 67' Stanley N'Soki og

Adam Hlozek 82' 3–3

Jacob Bruun Larsen 87' 4–3

Andrej Kramaric 75' Y

Y 85' Castello Lukeba

Kevin Akpoguma 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
RB Leipzig 9 games · 18 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Frank Willenborg
Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
Assistant 2 Sascha Thielert

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 18 games · Avg 3.0 goals RB Leipzig

Last 5 meetings

2024-11-23 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4–3 RB Leipzig 2024-05-03 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 RB Leipzig 2023-12-16 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2023-04-29 RB Leipzig 1–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2023-02-01 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Recent Form

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Nov	RB Leipzig	H	4–3	W
10 Nov	FC Augsburg	A	0–0	D
07 Nov	Olympique Lyonnais	H	2–2	D
02 Nov	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	0–2	L
30 Oct	1. FC Nürnberg	H	2–1	W
27 Oct	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	0–0	D

RB Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Nov	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	3–4	L
09 Nov	Borussia Mönchengladbach	H	0–0	D
05 Nov	Celtic FC	A	1–3	L
02 Nov	Borussia Dortmund	A	1–2	L
29 Oct	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	4–2	W
26 Oct	SC Freiburg	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim		RB Leipzig
#9	Position	#4
12	Points	18
9	Played	9
4 / 0 / 5	W / D / L	6 / 0 / 3
16	Scored	27
17	Conceded	13
-1	GD	+14
1.33	PPG	2.00
44%	Win %	67%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 9th (12 pts). RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

0-15

3/1

16-30

2/1

31-45

1/1

46-60

4/4

61-75

2/4

76+

3/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

RB Leipzig

0-15

2/3

16-30

3/1

31-45

6/2

46-60

4/3

61-75

5/2

76+

7/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Adam Daghim	2 G	2 A
Bambase Conte	2 G	2 A
Adam Hlozek	2 G	1 A
Tim Lemperle	2 G
Ozan Kabak	1 G

RB Leipzig

Christopher Nkunku	5 G	2 A
Romulo Cruz	5 G
Antonio Nusa	4 G	7 A
Tidiam Gomis	3 G	2 A
Ridle Baku	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at PreZero Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' RB Leipzig have won 759 goals from 528 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
10' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
15' The deadlock is broken! Willi Orban gets on the scoresheet on 15 minutes.
17' A stunning finish from Adam Hlozek — that came from absolutely nowhere!
19' The Norway Antonio Nusa breaks the deadlock on 19 minutes. 1-2!
24' With 0 assists to his name this season, Haris Tabakovic is clearly more than just a goal scorer for RB Leipzig.
29' Tom Bischof is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for RB Leipzig tonight.
34' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
39' RB Leipzig is showing some good football. However, RB Leipzig are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
44' Peter Gulacsi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 528 appearances.
46' Lukas Klostermann makes way for Lutsharel Geertruida at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
50' The deadlock is broken! Tom Bischof gets on the scoresheet on 50 minutes.
55' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kevin Kampl made 528 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
60' The RB Leipzig bench stirs into life. Benjamin Sesko is withdrawn and Assan Ouedraogo gets his opportunity.
61' A change in the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ranks — Haris Tabakovic exits the field as Mergim Berisha enters on 61.
66' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
67' GOAL! Stanley N'Soki fires home to make it 3-2!
72' Andre Silva needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
75' The referee has no hesitation. Andrej Kramaric is booked for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — card on 75.
77' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Kevin Kampl is replaced by Amadou Haidara.
81' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ring the changes. Tom Bischof has done his job and it is now time for Umut Tohumcu to step up.
82' Adam Hlozek has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 82 minutes.
82' Fresh legs for RB Leipzig! Andre Silva comes on to replace Lois Openda.
85' The referee calls foul for Castello Lukeba. He receives a card.
86' Alexander Prass makes way for Kevin Akpoguma at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
87' Jacob Bruun Larsen has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 87 minutes.
90' A moment of madness from Kevin Akpoguma on 90 minutes earns him a card. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim will be frustrated.
Another three points for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.

Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

1
Oliver Baumann
3
Pavel Kaderabek
27
Andrej Kramaric ↓ Jacob Bruun Larsen 81'
21
Marius Bulter
23
Adam Hlozek
26
Haris Tabakovic ↓ Mergim Berisha 61'
16
Anton Stach
35
Arthur Chaves
22
Alexander Prass ↓ Kevin Akpoguma 86'
7
Tom Bischof ↓ Umut Tohumcu 81'
34
Stanley N'Soki

Bench

Coach Christian Ilzer

RB Leipzig Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

11
Lois Openda ↓ Andre Silva 82'
39
Benjamin Henrichs
14
Christoph Baumgartner
1
Peter Gulacsi
16
Lukas Klostermann ↓ Lutsharel Geertruida 46'
4
Willi Orban
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Amadou Haidara 77'
23
Castello Lukeba
30
Benjamin Sesko ↓ Assan Ouedraogo 60'
7
Antonio Nusa
18
Arthur Vermeeren ↓ Nicolas Seiwald 60'

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Timo Werner	8
Christopher Nkunku	5
Yussuf Poulsen	5
Dani Olmo	4
Andrej Kramaric	3
Willi Orban	2
Emil Forsberg	2
Benjamin Sesko	2

Head to Head

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

2024-11-23 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4–3 RB Leipzig W 2024-11-10 FC Augsburg 0–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2024-11-07 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–2 Olympique Lyonnais D 2024-11-02 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2024-10-30 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–1 1. FC Nürnberg W 2024-10-27 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D

RB Leipzig Form

2024-11-23 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4–3 RB Leipzig L 2024-11-09 RB Leipzig 0–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach D 2024-11-05 Celtic FC 3–1 RB Leipzig L 2024-11-02 Borussia Dortmund 2–1 RB Leipzig L 2024-10-29 RB Leipzig 4–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2024-10-26 RB Leipzig 3–1 SC Freiburg W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.99 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.64 RB Leipzig xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim36% Draw21% RB Leipzig43%

Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes79% 0% No21%

Avg goals/match: 4.63

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	94%	6%
± 2.5	83%	17%
± 3.5	67%	33%
± 4.5	48%	52%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw

57%

Draw or RB Leipzig

64%

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or RB Leipzig

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim25% Draw34% RB Leipzig41%

Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted

4 – 3

Actual

1 – 2

6.7%

2 – 2

6.5%

1 – 1

5.8%

1 – 3

5.8%

2 – 3

5.6%

2 – 1

5.1%

3 – 2

4.3%

1 – 4

3.8%

3 – 3

3.8%

2 – 4

3.7%

0 – 2

3.6%

3 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers	Push	RB Leipzig covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	9%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	14%	71%
-0.5	29%	—	71%
+0.5	49%	—	51%
+1	49%	18%	33%
+1.5	67%	—	33%
+2	67%	15%	18%
+2.5	82%	—	18%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.