TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

4 – 3

Full Time

RB Leipzig

Sat 23 Nov 2024 · 14:30 UTC PreZero Arena 28,023 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 15' Willi Orban

Adam Hlozek 17' 1–1

1–2 19' Antonio Nusa

Tom Bischof 50' 2–2

2–3 67' Stanley N'Soki og

Adam Hlozek 82' 3–3

Jacob Bruun Larsen 87' 4–3

Andrej Kramaric 75' Y

Y 85' Castello Lukeba

Kevin Akpoguma 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
RB Leipzig 4 games · 6 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Frank Willenborg
Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
Assistant 2 Sascha Thielert

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 18 games · Avg 3.0 goals RB Leipzig

Last 5 meetings

2024-11-23 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4–3 RB Leipzig 2024-05-03 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 RB Leipzig 2023-12-16 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2023-04-29 RB Leipzig 1–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2023-02-01 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Recent Form

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Nov	RB Leipzig	H	4–3	W
10 Nov	FC Augsburg	A	0–0	D
07 Nov	Olympique Lyonnais	H	2–2	D
02 Nov	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	0–2	L
30 Oct	1. FC Nürnberg	H	2–1	W
27 Oct	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	0–0	D

RB Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Nov	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	3–4	L
09 Nov	Borussia Mönchengladbach	H	0–0	D
05 Nov	Celtic FC	A	1–3	L
02 Nov	Borussia Dortmund	A	1–2	L
29 Oct	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	4–2	W
26 Oct	SC Freiburg	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim		RB Leipzig
#14	Position	#9
3	Points	6
4	Played	4
1 / 0 / 3	W / D / L	2 / 0 / 2
7	Scored	9
10	Conceded	5
-3	GD	+4
0.75	PPG	1.50
25%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 14th (3 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/1

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/4

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

RB Leipzig

0-15

–/1

16-30

3/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

1/1

61-75

3/1

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Adam Daghim	2 G	2 A
Adam Hlozek	2 G
Ozan Kabak	1 G
Tim Lemperle	1 G
Leon Avdullahu	1 G

RB Leipzig

Antonio Nusa	2 G	2 A
Ridle Baku	2 G
Rocco Reitz	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim gets underway.
5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marco Rose will be considering his options from the bench.
10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
15' What a moment for Willi Orban! That strike on 15 puts his side firmly in control.
17' What a strike from Adam Hlozek! The score is 1-1.
19' Assisted by Lois Openda with the perfectly-timed delivery and Antonio Nusa makes no mistake. 1-2!
24' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
29' It’s high time Christian Ilzer made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
34' Lois Openda has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
39' RB Leipzig are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
44' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 44 minutes.
46' The whistle greets Lukas Klostermann as he departs to be replaced by Lutsharel Geertruida.
50' Goal! Tom Bischof scores his 10 goal in 409 matches.
55' Over 55 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
60' The RB Leipzig bench stirs into life. Benjamin Sesko is withdrawn and Assan Ouedraogo gets his opportunity.
61' Mergim Berisha is replacing Haris Tabakovic for the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim side.
66' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering TSG 1899 Hoffenheim that had 409 games and scored 535 goals.
67' Stanley N'Soki puts TSG 1899 Hoffenheim on the lead.
72' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is showing some good football. However, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
75' The referee has no hesitation. Andrej Kramaric is booked for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — card on 75.
77' Amadou Haidara is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kevin Kampl at the 77 minute mark.
81' Fresh legs for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim! Umut Tohumcu comes on to replace Tom Bischof.
82' Adam Hlozek has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 82 minutes.
82' RB Leipzig manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andre Silva is hanging Lois Openda on the field on 82 minute.
85' The referee calls foul for Castello Lukeba. He receives a card.
86' Kevin Akpoguma has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alexander Prass on 86 minute.
87' The Denmark Jacob Bruun Larsen breaks the deadlock on 87 minutes. 5-2!
90' Kevin Akpoguma has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim players.

Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

1
Oliver Baumann
3
Pavel Kaderabek
27
Andrej Kramaric ↓ Jacob Bruun Larsen 81'
21
Marius Bulter
23
Adam Hlozek
26
Haris Tabakovic ↓ Mergim Berisha 61'
16
Anton Stach
35
Arthur Chaves
22
Alexander Prass ↓ Kevin Akpoguma 86'
7
Tom Bischof ↓ Umut Tohumcu 81'
34
Stanley N'Soki

Bench

Coach Christian Ilzer

RB Leipzig Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

11
Lois Openda ↓ Andre Silva 82'
39
Benjamin Henrichs
14
Christoph Baumgartner
1
Peter Gulacsi
16
Lukas Klostermann ↓ Lutsharel Geertruida 46'
4
Willi Orban
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Amadou Haidara 77'
23
Castello Lukeba
30
Benjamin Sesko ↓ Assan Ouedraogo 60'
7
Antonio Nusa
18
Arthur Vermeeren ↓ Nicolas Seiwald 60'

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Timo Werner	8
Yussuf Poulsen	5
Christopher Nkunku	5
Dani Olmo	4
Andrej Kramaric	3
Adam Hlozek	2
Yussuf Poulsen	2
Tom Bischof	2

Head to Head

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

2024-11-23 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4–3 RB Leipzig W 2024-11-10 FC Augsburg 0–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2024-11-07 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–2 Olympique Lyonnais D 2024-11-02 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2024-10-30 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–1 1. FC Nürnberg W 2024-10-27 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D

RB Leipzig Form

2024-11-23 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4–3 RB Leipzig L 2024-11-09 RB Leipzig 0–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach D 2024-11-05 Celtic FC 3–1 RB Leipzig L 2024-11-02 Borussia Dortmund 2–1 RB Leipzig L 2024-10-29 RB Leipzig 4–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2024-10-26 RB Leipzig 3–1 SC Freiburg W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.81 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.5 RB Leipzig xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or RB Leipzig 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim35% Draw21% RB Leipzig44%

Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.31

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	79%	21%
± 3.5	61%	39%
± 4.5	42%	58%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw

56%

Draw or RB Leipzig

65%

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or RB Leipzig

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim24% Draw36% RB Leipzig40%

Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted

4 – 3

Actual

1 – 2

7.5%

1 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

6.6%

1 – 3

6.1%

2 – 1

5.4%

2 – 3

5.4%

0 – 2

4.4%

3 – 2

1 – 4

3.8%

0 – 3

3.5%

2 – 4

3.4%

3 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers	Push	RB Leipzig covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	8%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	14%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	48%	—	52%
+1	48%	19%	33%
+1.5	67%	—	33%
+2	67%	15%	18%
+2.5	82%	—	18%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.