TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Frank Willenborg
- Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
- Assistant 2 Sascha Thielert
14 games this season
🟨 1.1/game
⚽ 7.6 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov | RB Leipzig | H | 4–3 | W |
| 10 Nov | FC Augsburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 07 Nov | Olympique Lyonnais | H | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Nov | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Oct | 1. FC Nurnberg | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Oct | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 3–4 | L |
| 09 Nov | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Nov | Celtic FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Oct | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 4–2 | W |
| 26 Oct | SC Freiburg | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #3 |
| 61 | Points | 65 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 7 / 9 | W / D / L | 20 / 5 / 9 |
| 65 | Scored | 66 |
| 52 | Conceded | 47 |
| +13 | GD | +19 |
| 1.79 | PPG | 1.91 |
| 53% | Win % | 59% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
32%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at PreZero Arena as TSG 1899 Hoffenheim face off against RB Leipzig in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Lois Openda, a Belgium , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' A stunning finish from Willi Orban — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 17' GOAL! Adam Hlozek fires home to make it 1-1!
- 19' A goal from the Norway international Antonio Nusa! He fires home on 19 to make it 1-2!
- 24' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 29' The travelling RB Leipzig supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 34' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim currently sit 15 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 39' The energy levels are beginning to show. Christian Ilzer might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 44' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 46' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Lukas Klostermann is replaced by Lutsharel Geertruida on 46 minute.
- 50' Brilliant from the ! Tom Bischof makes it 2-2 with a superb finish on 50.
- 55' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 55 minutes.
- 60' Benjamin Sesko makes way for Assan Ouedraogo at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
- 61' Mergim Berisha is replacing Haris Tabakovic for the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim side.
- 66' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are deployed in a 3-4-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against RB Leipzig's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 67' What composure from Stanley N'Soki! The France international strokes it home. 3-2.
- 72' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 75' Andrej Kramaric has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 75.
- 77' The RB Leipzig bench stirs into life. Kevin Kampl is withdrawn and Amadou Haidara gets his opportunity.
- 81' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ring the changes. Tom Bischof has done his job and it is now time for Umut Tohumcu to step up.
- 82' The deadlock is broken! Adam Hlozek gets on the scoresheet on 82 minutes.
- 82' The whistle greets Lois Openda as he departs to be replaced by Andre Silva.
- 85' That looks like a foul for a card for Castello Lukeba.
- 86' Alexander Prass makes way for Kevin Akpoguma at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
- 87' GOAL! Jacob Bruun Larsen fires home to make it 5-2!
- 90' Poor challenge from Kevin Akpoguma. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim take all three points.
Lineups
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 1
- 3
- 27
- 21
- 23
- 26
- 16
- 35
- 22
-
7
Tom Bischof ↓ Umut Tohumcu 81'
- 34
Bench
-
29
Jacob Bruun Larsen ↑ 81'
-
25
Kevin Akpoguma ↑ 86'
- 8
-
10
Mergim Berisha ↑ 61'
- 18
- 15
- 37
-
17
Umut Tohumcu ↑ 81'
- 19
Coach
Christian Ilzer
RB Leipzig Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
11
Lois Openda ↓ Andre Silva 82'
- 39
- 14
- 1
- 16
- 4
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Amadou Haidara 77'
- 23
- 30
- 7
- 18
Bench
-
3
Lutsharel Geertruida ↑ 46'
-
19
Andre Silva ↑ 82'
- 25
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↑ 77'
- 26
-
13
Nicolas Seiwald ↑ 60'
-
20
Assan Ouedraogo ↑ 60'
- 47
Coach
Marco Rose
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 8 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 5 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 5 |
| Dani Olmo | 4 |
| Andrej Kramaric | 3 |
| Adam Hlozek | 2 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 2 |
| Tom Bischof | 2 |
Head to Head
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2024-11-23
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
4–3
RB Leipzig
W
2024-11-10
FC Augsburg
0–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2024-11-07
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–2
Olympique Lyonnais
D
2024-11-02
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2024-10-30
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–1
1. FC Nurnberg
W
2024-10-27
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.08
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.96
RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for:
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or RB Leipzig 77% + Over 2.5 goals 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.04
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
Double Chance
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
67%
Draw or RB Leipzig
56%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or RB Leipzig
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–3 not predicted4 – 3Actual
1 – 1
8%
2 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.8%
2 – 3
4.6%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.5%
1 – 0
3.2%
3 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Handicap | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers | Push | RB Leipzig covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 12% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 18% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 16% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

