Saturday , 14 November 2026

RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 30 Nov 2024 · 14:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 44,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 4' Mohammed Amoura
0–2 5' Tiago Tomas
0–3 16' Mohammed Amoura
0–4 64' Joakim Maehle
Willi Orban 82' 1–4
1–5 90+1' Kevin Behrens

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Petersen
  • Assistant 1 Alexander Sather
  • Assistant 2 Robert Wessel
6 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 16.2 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov VfL Wolfsburg H 1–5 L
26 Nov FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
23 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–4 L
09 Nov Borussia Mönchengladbach H 0–0 D
05 Nov Celtic FC A 1–3 L
02 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov RB Leipzig A 5–1 W
23 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–0 W
10 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 3–1 W
02 Nov FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
29 Oct Borussia Dortmund H 1–0 W
26 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Christopher Nkunku 5 G 2 A
Romulo Cruz 5 G
Antonio Nusa 4 G 7 A
Tidiam Gomis 3 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! RB Leipzig welcome VfL Wolfsburg for this crunch clash at Red Bull Arena.
  • 4' Mohammed Amoura makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and VfL Wolfsburg are in front.
  • 5' What a strike from Tiago Tomas! The score is 0-2.
  • 10' RB Leipzig seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' Yannick Gerhardt, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 16' What a moment for Mohammed Amoura! That strike on 16 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 21' Kilian Fischer has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 26' A meaty challenge results in booking for Christoph Baumgartner on 26.
  • 30' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Castello Lukeba is replaced by Nicolas Seiwald.
  • 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ralph Hasenhuttl will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
  • 45' It looks like no one’s ball. VfL Wolfsburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 46' Arthur Vermeeren is replacing Amadou Haidara for the RB Leipzig side.
  • 51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 52' Poor challenge from Arthur Vermeeren. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 57' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kilian Fischer on 57.
  • 62' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 64' Joakim Maehle is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 69' A change in the RB Leipzig ranks — Benjamin Sesko exits the field as Andre Silva enters on 69.
  • 74' Kevin Behrens has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 75' It is a substitution in VfL Wolfsburg team. Tiago Tomas is replaced by Lukas Nmecha on 75 minute.
  • 76' Mattias Svanberg is ready to make an impact after coming on for Patrick Wimmer at the 76 minute mark.
  • 77' The whistle greets Kevin Kampl as he departs to be replaced by Viggo Gebel.
  • 82' What composure from Willi Orban! The Hungary international strokes it home. 1-4.
  • 84' Salih Ozcan gets the nod from VfL Wolfsburg. He replaces Mohammed Amoura and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 85' VfL Wolfsburg make a change. Bence Dardai trudges off to be replaced by Kevin Behrens on 85 minutes.
  • 90' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from VfL Wolfsburg to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.19 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig25% Draw26% VfL Wolfsburg49%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
51%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
75%
RB Leipzig or VfL Wolfsburg
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig19% Draw43% VfL Wolfsburg38%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted
1 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.1%
0 – 1
8.1%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 3
4.9%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.5%
2 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 22% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.