Wednesday , 30 September 2026

RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 30 Nov 2024 · 14:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 44,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 4' Mohammed Amoura
0–2 5' Tiago Tomas
0–3 16' Mohammed Amoura
0–4 64' Joakim Maehle
Willi Orban 82' 1–4
1–5 90+1' Kevin Behrens

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Petersen
  • Assistant 1 Alexander Sather
  • Assistant 2 Robert Wessel
3 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 26.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov VfL Wolfsburg H 1–5 L
26 Nov FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
23 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–4 L
09 Nov Borussia Mönchengladbach H 0–0 D
05 Nov Celtic FC A 1–3 L
02 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov RB Leipzig A 5–1 W
23 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–0 W
10 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 3–1 W
02 Nov FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
29 Oct Borussia Dortmund H 1–0 W
26 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. RB Leipzig host VfL Wolfsburg — let the battle begin!
  • 4' Mohammed Amoura makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and VfL Wolfsburg are in front.
  • 5' Against the run of play, Tiago Tomas has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. RB Leipzig seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 16' Against the run of play, Mohammed Amoura has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 21' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 26' RB Leipzig receives a card for a hard tackle on 26.
  • 30' The crowd applauds Castello Lukeba as he leaves the pitch. Nicolas Seiwald steps in for RB Leipzig.
  • 35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 40' RB Leipzig are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against VfL Wolfsburg's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 45' VfL Wolfsburg have won 488 goals from 475 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 46' Amadou Haidara makes way for Arthur Vermeeren at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
  • 51' Kevin Kampl, a Slovenia , has 45 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 52' RB Leipzig receives a card for a hard tackle on 52.
  • 57' Poor challenge from Kilian Fischer. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 62' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering RB Leipzig that had 515 games and scored 727 goals.
  • 64' Assisted by Konstantinos Koulierakis with the perfectly-timed delivery and Joakim Maehle makes no mistake. 0-4!
  • 69' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Benjamin Sesko is replaced by Andre Silva.
  • 74' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marco Rose will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Lukas Nmecha. He replaces Tiago Tomas on 75 minute.
  • 76' It is a substitution in VfL Wolfsburg team. Patrick Wimmer is replaced by Mattias Svanberg on 76 minute.
  • 77' Kevin Kampl makes way for Viggo Gebel at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
  • 82' Against the run of play, Willi Orban has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 84' Another change for VfL Wolfsburg made on 84 minute. Mohammed Amoura leaves to be changed by Salih Ozcan.
  • 85' The crowd applauds Bence Dardai as he leaves the pitch. Kevin Behrens steps in for VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 90' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RB Leipzig side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for VfL Wolfsburg players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.19 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig25% Draw26% VfL Wolfsburg49%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
51%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
75%
RB Leipzig or VfL Wolfsburg
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig19% Draw43% VfL Wolfsburg38%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted
1 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.1%
0 – 1
8.1%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 3
4.9%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.5%
2 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 22% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.