RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
- VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Martin Petersen
- Assistant 1 Alexander Sather
- Assistant 2 Robert Wessel
15 games this season
🟨 0.9/game
⚽ 8.1 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–5 | L |
| 26 Nov | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Nov | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 3–4 | L |
| 09 Nov | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Nov | Celtic FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | RB Leipzig | A | 5–1 | W |
| 23 Nov | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Nov | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | FC Augsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Oct | Borussia Dortmund | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | VfL Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #16 |
| 65 | Points | 29 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 20 / 5 / 9 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 19 |
| 66 | Scored | 45 |
| 47 | Conceded | 69 |
| +19 | GD | -24 |
| 1.91 | PPG | 0.85 |
| 59% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
6%
Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season
VfL Wolfsburg this season
RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: VfL Wolfsburg gets underway.
- 4' The deadlock is broken! Mohammed Amoura gets on the scoresheet on 4 minutes.
- 5' What a moment for Tiago Tomas! That strike on 5 puts his side firmly in control.
- 10' Benjamin Henrichs, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfL Wolfsburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 16' Mohammed Amoura with the second goal in the match!
- 21' The 32-year-old Maximilian Arnold has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 26' Christoph Baumgartner is having his name booked by the referee on 26.
- 30' RB Leipzig make a change. Castello Lukeba trudges off to be replaced by Nicolas Seiwald on 30 minutes.
- 35' VfL Wolfsburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 40' Castello Lukeba is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for RB Leipzig so far.
- 45' VfL Wolfsburg come into this ranked 11 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 46' RB Leipzig make a change. Amadou Haidara trudges off to be replaced by Arthur Vermeeren on 46 minutes.
- 51' RB Leipzig are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against VfL Wolfsburg's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 52' Controversy at the stadium! Arthur Vermeeren argues furiously but the card stands.
- 57' Kilian Fischer is having his name booked by the referee on 57.
- 62' It looks like no one’s ball. VfL Wolfsburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 64' A stunning finish from Joakim Maehle — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 69' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 69 minute. Benjamin Sesko leaves to be changed by Andre Silva.
- 74' It looks surprising VfL Wolfsburg does not make any changes. Kevin Kampl has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 75' A tactical swap from VfL Wolfsburg — Lukas Nmecha on, Tiago Tomas off on 75 minutes.
- 76' Fresh legs for VfL Wolfsburg! Mattias Svanberg comes on to replace Patrick Wimmer.
- 77' Kevin Kampl makes way for Viggo Gebel at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
- 82' Willi Orban has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 82 minutes.
- 84' VfL Wolfsburg make a change. Mohammed Amoura trudges off to be replaced by Salih Ozcan on 84 minutes.
- 85' A change in the VfL Wolfsburg ranks — Bence Dardai exits the field as Kevin Behrens enters on 85.
- 90' RB Leipzig is showing some good football. However, RB Leipzig are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for VfL Wolfsburg players.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 11
- 3
- 39
- 14
- 1
- 4
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Viggo Gebel 77'
- 8
- 23
-
30
Benjamin Sesko ↓ Andre Silva 69'
- 7
Bench
-
19
Andre Silva ↑ 69'
- 25
-
24
Xaver Schlager ↑ 77'
- 26
-
13
Nicolas Seiwald ↑ 30'
-
18
Arthur Vermeeren ↑ 46'
- 38
-
47
Viggo Gebel ↑ 77'
- 31
Coach
Marco Rose
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 27
- 20
- 21
- 18
- 39
-
11
Tiago Tomas ↓ Lukas Nmecha 75'
- 2
-
9
Mohammed Amoura ↓ Salih Ozcan 84'
-
24
Bence Dardai ↓ Kevin Behrens 85'
- 4
Bench
-
10
Lukas Nmecha ↑ 75'
-
31
Yannick Gerhardt ↑ 69'
- 29
-
8
Salih Ozcan ↑ 84'
-
17
Kevin Behrens ↑ 85'
-
32
Mattias Svanberg ↑ 76'
- 23
- 5
- 16
Coach
Ralph Hasenhuttl
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 4 |
| Willi Orban | 3 |
| Wout Weghorst | 3 |
| Xavi Simons | 2 |
| Lois Openda | 2 |
| Jerome Roussillon | 2 |
| Benjamin Sesko | 2 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 2 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
VfL Wolfsburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.95
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87
VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for:
RB Leipzig or VfL Wolfsburg 76% + Over 2.5 goals 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfL Wolfsburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.82
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
61%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
63%
RB Leipzig or VfL Wolfsburg
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–5 not predicted1 – 5Actual
1 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
3.9%
1 – 0
3.8%
0 – 1
3.6%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | VfL Wolfsburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 18% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 17% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.