Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Southampton FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 7 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC Villa Park 42,453 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jhon Duran 24' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Southampton FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren Bond
  • Assistant 1 Lee Betts
  • Assistant 2 Richard West

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Southampton FC H 1–0 W
04 Dec Brentford FC H 3–1 W
01 Dec Chelsea FC A 0–3 L
27 Nov Juventus FC H 0–0 D
23 Nov Crystal Palace FC H 2–2 D
09 Nov Liverpool FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Aston Villa FC A 0–1 L
04 Dec Chelsea FC H 1–5 L
29 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D
24 Nov Liverpool FC H 2–3 L
09 Nov Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
02 Nov Everton FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Aston Villa FC is hosting Southampton FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' The 24-year-old Taylor Harwood-Bellis has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' Aston Villa FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Southampton FC backline.
  • 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 20' Youri Tielemans is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Aston Villa FC so far.
  • 24' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jhon Duran makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 29' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 34' England international Samuel Amo-Ameyaw has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 39' It is a cagey affair so far. Aston Villa FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Southampton FC's compact 5-3-2.
  • 44' The home supporters are growing impatient. Aston Villa FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 46' Southampton FC ring the changes. James Bree has done his job and it is now time for Joe Aribo to step up.
  • 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joe Lumley suffering a number of foals already.
  • 56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Aston Villa FC and Southampton FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 58' The Aston Villa FC manager makes a substitution. Jhon Duran departs to be replaced by Ollie Watkins.
  • 59' The Aston Villa FC manager makes a substitution. Ian Maatsen departs to be replaced by Lucas Digne.
  • 64' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 69' Flynn Downes catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 69.
  • 73' Samuel Amo-Ameyaw is replacing Cameron Archer for the Southampton FC side.
  • 78' It’s gonna be a card for Nathan Wood-Gordon.
  • 79' Southampton FC ring the changes. Flynn Downes has done his job and it is now time for Ben Brereton to step up.
  • 84' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 85' It’s gonna be a card for Samuel Amo-Ameyaw.
  • 90' That is a card for Aston Villa FC. Morgan Rogers will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Southampton FC — Kamal Deen Sulemana on, Ryan Manning off on 90 minutes.
  • The points are shared — Aston Villa FC 1-0 Southampton FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC54% Draw28% Southampton FC18%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.09
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Southampton FC
46%
Aston Villa FC or Southampton FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC34% Draw52% Southampton FC14%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.6%
1 – 1
13%
2 – 0
11.1%
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
7.7%
3 – 0
5%
1 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 2
3.1%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 0
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 16% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 26% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
49% ✗
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.