Saturday , 14 November 2026

RB Leipzig vs Aston Villa FC, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Tue 10 Dec 2024 · 20:00 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig 40,406 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 3' John McGinn
Lois Openda 27' 1–1
1–2 52' Jhon Duran
2–3 85' Ross Barkley

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Aston Villa FC — Champions League at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Giallatini
  • Assistant 2 Daniele Bindoni
7 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 11.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
RB Leipzig 1 games · Avg 5.0 goals Aston Villa FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Aston Villa FC H 2–3 L
07 Dec Holstein Kiel A 2–0 W
04 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–0 W
30 Nov VfL Wolfsburg H 1–5 L
26 Nov FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
23 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec RB Leipzig A 3–2 W
07 Dec Southampton FC H 1–0 W
04 Dec Brentford FC H 3–1 W
01 Dec Chelsea FC A 0–3 L
27 Nov Juventus FC H 0–0 D
23 Nov Crystal Palace FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
25% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/–
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
Ross Barkley 3 G 1 A
Nicolas Jackson 3 G
Emiliano Buendia 2 G
John McGinn 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and RB Leipzig launch into their encounter with Aston Villa FC.
  • 3' John McGinn adds to his 3 season tally! Aston Villa FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 8' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Rose might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 13' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RB Leipzig and Aston Villa FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 18' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 23' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jhon Duran made 292 appearances and scored 27 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 27' GOAL! Lois Openda fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 32' RB Leipzig is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 37' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 42' Aston Villa FC is showing some good football. However, Aston Villa FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Lucas Digne. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Aston Villa FC — Jhon Duran on, Ollie Watkins off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' It’s high time Unai Emery made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 52' Magnificent from Jhon Duran! That is 27 goals in 292 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 57' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 62' What a strike from Christoph Baumgartner! The score is 2-2.
  • 67' Aston Villa FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 71' Matty Cash makes way for Kosta Nedeljkovic at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from Aston Villa FC.
  • 76' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Benjamin Sesko has done his job and it is now time for Andre Silva to step up.
  • 79' The referee has no hesitation. Diego Carlos is booked for Aston Villa FC — card on 79.
  • 81' That looks like a foul for a card for Benjamin Henrichs.
  • 83' The Aston Villa FC manager makes a substitution. Lucas Digne departs to be replaced by Ian Maatsen.
  • 84' A tactical swap from RB Leipzig — Lukas Klostermann on, Arthur Vermeeren off on 84 minutes.
  • 85' Goal! Ross Barkley scores his 31 goal in 417 matches.
  • 90' RB Leipzig are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Aston Villa FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-3.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.76 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or Aston Villa FC 75% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig36% Draw25% Aston Villa FC39%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
61%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
64%
RB Leipzig or Aston Villa FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig29% Draw40% Aston Villa FC31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 3
4.8%
0 – 2
4.7%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 0
4.3%
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
4.1%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 17% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 18% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 12% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.