Sunday , 16 August 2026

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
RB Leipzig
1 – 2
Full Time
1. FSV Mainz 05
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 14:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 41,406 HT 45' · FT 45'
Xavi Simons 1' 1–0
1–1 52' Nadiem Amiri
1–2 58' Jonathan Burkardt
Amadou Haidara 52' Y
Y 88' Lennart Maloney

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Rafael Foltyn
  • Assistant 2 Rene Rohde
12 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 5.3 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
3 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26
4 FC Schalke 04 0 0
5 SC Paderborn 07 0 0
6 SV 07 Elversberg 0 0
7 FC Bayern München 0 0
8 Borussia Dortmund 0 0
9 RB Leipzig 0 0
10 VfB Stuttgart 0 0
11 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
12 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 0
13 SC Freiburg 0 0
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 0 0
15 FC Augsburg 0 0
16 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 0
17 1. FC Union Berlin 0 0
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 0
19 Hamburger SV 0 0
20 1. FC Köln 0 0
21 SV Werder Bremen 0 0

Head-to-Head

8
4
8
RB Leipzig 20 games · Avg 3.3 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-10-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 RB Leipzig 2024-03-30 RB Leipzig 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-11-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 RB Leipzig 2023-04-01 RB Leipzig 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
26 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
23 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–2 D
14 Feb FC Augsburg A 0–0 D
09 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–0 W
01 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D
1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar RB Leipzig A 2–1 W
22 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–0 W
16 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
08 Feb FC Augsburg H 0–0 D
31 Jan SV Werder Bremen A 0–1 L
25 Jan VfB Stuttgart H 2–0 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig 1. FSV Mainz 05
#9 Position #16
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
– PPG –
– Win % –

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Red Bull Arena. RB Leipzig are looking to make home advantage count against 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 1' Xavi Simons makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and RB Leipzig are in front.
  • 6' RB Leipzig currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 11' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 16' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 21' named a 4-2-2-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 26' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RB Leipzig needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 36' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 36 minutes.
  • 41' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 46' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Rose might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 52' What an equalizer from Nadiem Amiri!
  • 52' It’s a booking for RB Leipzig player. Amadou Haidara gets a card.
  • 57' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 398 goals from 436 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 58' Jonathan Burkardt does the damage! The net is bulging and 1. FSV Mainz 05 surge ahead!
  • 59' RB Leipzig make a change. Amadou Haidara trudges off to be replaced by Kevin Kampl on 59 minutes.
  • 64' It is a cagey affair so far. RB Leipzig in their 4-2-2-2 trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact 3-4-1-2.
  • 69' Lois Openda is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FSV Mainz 05 so far.
  • 72' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Lois Openda is replaced by Kosta Nedeljkovic.
  • 75' The crowd applauds Jonathan Burkardt as he leaves the pitch. Nelson Weiper steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 77' The whistle greets Arthur Vermeeren as he departs to be replaced by Yussuf Poulsen.
  • 82' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 83' Lennart Maloney has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nadiem Amiri on 83 minute.
  • 88' Lennart Maloney was booked on 88.
  • Full Time. 1. FSV Mainz 05 beats RB Leipzig

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Timo Werner 9
Yussuf Poulsen 5
Moussa Niakhate 4
Christopher Nkunku 3
Marcus Ingvartsen 3
Jean-Philippe Mateta 2
Andre Silva 2
Lukas Klostermann 2

Head to Head

2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-10-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 RB Leipzig 2024-03-30 RB Leipzig 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-11-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 RB Leipzig 2023-04-01 RB Leipzig 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

RB Leipzig Form

2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-02-26 RB Leipzig 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-02-23 RB Leipzig 2–2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 D 2025-02-14 FC Augsburg 0–0 RB Leipzig D 2025-02-09 RB Leipzig 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2025-02-01 1. FC Union Berlin 0–0 RB Leipzig D

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-02-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2025-02-16 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-02-08 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 FC Augsburg D 2025-01-31 SV Werder Bremen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-01-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfB Stuttgart W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.45 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 88% + Under — clean sheet likely 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig23% Draw41% 1. FSV Mainz 0536%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes21% 0% No79%
Avg goals/match: 1.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 66%
34%
± 1.5 33%
67%
± 2.5 12%
88%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
64%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
77%
RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05
59%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig11% Draw69% 1. FSV Mainz 0520%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
34.3%
0 – 1
20.3%
1 – 0
12.5%
1 – 1
11.2%
0 – 2
7%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
2.8%
2 – 1
2.4%
0 – 3
1.6%
2 – 2
1%
1 – 3
0.9%
3 – 0
0.4%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% — 96%
-1 4% 15% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 24% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 8% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
50% ✗
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
64% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.