Saturday , 14 November 2026

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
RB Leipzig
1 – 2
Full Time
1. FSV Mainz 05
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 14:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 41,406 HT 45' · FT 45'
Xavi Simons 1' 1–0
1–1 52' Nadiem Amiri
1–2 58' Jonathan Burkardt
Amadou Haidara 52' Y
Y 88' Lennart Maloney

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Rafael Foltyn
  • Assistant 2 Rene Rohde
9 games this season 🟨 5.2/game ⚽ 14.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 9 21
2 Borussia Dortmund 9 21
3 SC Freiburg 9 19
4 RB Leipzig 9 18
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 16
6 SV Werder Bremen 9 15
7 SV 07 Elversberg 9 13
8 VfB Stuttgart 9 12
9 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 9 12
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9 12
11 Hamburger SV 9 12
12 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 10
13 SC Paderborn 07 9 10
14 FC Augsburg 9 9
15 1. FC Köln 9 9
16 1. FC Union Berlin 9 7
17 FC Schalke 04 9 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9 4

Head-to-Head

8
4
8
RB Leipzig 20 games · Avg 3.3 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-10-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 RB Leipzig 2024-03-30 RB Leipzig 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-11-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 RB Leipzig 2023-04-01 RB Leipzig 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
26 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
23 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–2 D
14 Feb FC Augsburg A 0–0 D
09 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–0 W
01 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D
1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar RB Leipzig A 2–1 W
22 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–0 W
16 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
08 Feb FC Augsburg H 0–0 D
31 Jan SV Werder Bremen A 0–1 L
25 Jan VfB Stuttgart H 2–0 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig 1. FSV Mainz 05
#4 Position #12
18 Points 10
9 Played 9
6 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 5
27 Scored 18
13 Conceded 19
+14 GD -1
2.00 PPG 1.11
67% Win % 33%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Christopher Nkunku 5 G 2 A
Romulo Cruz 5 G
Antonio Nusa 4 G 7 A
Tidiam Gomis 3 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. RB Leipzig kicks off things out of here…
  • 1' The Netherlands Xavi Simons breaks the deadlock on 1 minutes. 1-0!
  • 6' Yussuf Poulsen is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FSV Mainz 05 tonight.
  • 11' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bo Henriksen might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 16' Philipp Mwene has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 446 appearances.
  • 21' Benjamin Sesko, a Slovenia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 26' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 31' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 36' The travelling 1. FSV Mainz 05 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 41' It looks surprising RB Leipzig does not make any changes. Nelson Weiper has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 46' RB Leipzig started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 46.
  • 51' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 52' Nadiem Amiri doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 52' It’s gonna be a card for Amadou Haidara.
  • 57' Both keepers have barely been tested. RB Leipzig and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 58' Goal! Jonathan Burkardt scores his 59 goal in 446 matches.
  • 59' A tactical swap from RB Leipzig — Kevin Kampl on, Amadou Haidara off on 59 minutes.
  • 64' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 69' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 72' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Lois Openda is replaced by Kosta Nedeljkovic on 72 minute.
  • 75' Jonathan Burkardt makes way for Nelson Weiper at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Yussuf Poulsen. He replaces Arthur Vermeeren on 77 minute.
  • 82' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 83' The crowd applauds Nadiem Amiri as he leaves the pitch. Lennart Maloney steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 88' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Lennart Maloney.
  • The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Timo Werner 9
Yussuf Poulsen 5
Moussa Niakhate 4
Christopher Nkunku 3
Marcus Ingvartsen 3
Karim Onisiwo 2
Xavi Simons 2
Leandro Barreiro Martins 2

Head to Head

2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-10-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 RB Leipzig 2024-03-30 RB Leipzig 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-11-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 RB Leipzig 2023-04-01 RB Leipzig 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

RB Leipzig Form

2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-02-26 RB Leipzig 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-02-23 RB Leipzig 2–2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 D 2025-02-14 FC Augsburg 0–0 RB Leipzig D 2025-02-09 RB Leipzig 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2025-02-01 1. FC Union Berlin 0–0 RB Leipzig D

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-02-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2025-02-16 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-02-08 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 FC Augsburg D 2025-01-31 SV Werder Bremen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-01-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfB Stuttgart W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.55 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig51% Draw22% 1. FSV Mainz 0527%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 4.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
74%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
49%
RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig45% Draw36% 1. FSV Mainz 0519%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 1
7.5%
3 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.8%
3 – 2
5.2%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
4.8%
4 – 1
4.4%
1 – 0
4.2%
4 – 2
3.3%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 17% 61%
-1.5 39% — 61%
-1 39% 20% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 11% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 6% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.