Wednesday , 30 September 2026

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
RB Leipzig
1 – 2
Full Time
1. FSV Mainz 05
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 14:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 41,406 HT 45' · FT 45'
Xavi Simons 1' 1–0
1–1 52' Nadiem Amiri
1–2 58' Jonathan Burkardt
Amadou Haidara 52' Y
Y 88' Lennart Maloney

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Rafael Foltyn
  • Assistant 2 Rene Rohde
5 games this season 🟨 5.4/game ⚽ 12.2 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

8
4
8
RB Leipzig 20 games · Avg 3.3 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-10-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 RB Leipzig 2024-03-30 RB Leipzig 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-11-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 RB Leipzig 2023-04-01 RB Leipzig 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
26 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
23 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–2 D
14 Feb FC Augsburg A 0–0 D
09 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–0 W
01 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D
1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar RB Leipzig A 2–1 W
22 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–0 W
16 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
08 Feb FC Augsburg H 0–0 D
31 Jan SV Werder Bremen A 0–1 L
25 Jan VfB Stuttgart H 2–0 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig 1. FSV Mainz 05
#9 Position #6
6 Points 7
4 Played 4
2 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
9 Scored 10
5 Conceded 6
+4 GD +4
1.50 PPG 1.75
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Red Bull Arena that hosts another battle between RB Leipzig and 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 1' What a strike from Xavi Simons! The score is 1-0.
  • 6' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RB Leipzig side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 11' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 16' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 21' David Raum has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 29 cards already picked up this season.
  • 26' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 31' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 36' It’s high time Bo Henriksen made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 41' It looks like no one’s ball. RB Leipzig is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 46' The 26-year-old Lois Openda has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 51' Amadou Haidara is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FSV Mainz 05 so far.
  • 52' Nadiem Amiri has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 52 minutes.
  • 52' RB Leipzig player sees a card in front of him.
  • 57' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 58' What a moment for Jonathan Burkardt! That strike on 58 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 59' Kevin Kampl is ready to make an impact after coming on for Amadou Haidara at the 59 minute mark.
  • 64' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 64.
  • 69' RB Leipzig are deployed in a 4-2-2-2 today, looking to exploit space against 1. FSV Mainz 05's 3-4-1-2 shape.
  • 72' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Lois Openda by Kosta Nedeljkovic on 72 minute.
  • 75' Nelson Weiper has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jonathan Burkardt on 75 minute.
  • 77' Fresh legs for RB Leipzig! Yussuf Poulsen comes on to replace Arthur Vermeeren.
  • 82' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 83' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Nadiem Amiri is withdrawn and Lennart Maloney gets his opportunity.
  • 88' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a card for a hard tackle on 88.
  • The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Timo Werner 9
Yussuf Poulsen 5
Moussa Niakhate 4
Christopher Nkunku 3
Marcus Ingvartsen 3
Andre Silva 2
Lukas Klostermann 2
Dominik Szoboszlai 2

Head to Head

2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-10-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 RB Leipzig 2024-03-30 RB Leipzig 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-11-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 RB Leipzig 2023-04-01 RB Leipzig 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

RB Leipzig Form

2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-02-26 RB Leipzig 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-02-23 RB Leipzig 2–2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 D 2025-02-14 FC Augsburg 0–0 RB Leipzig D 2025-02-09 RB Leipzig 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2025-02-01 1. FC Union Berlin 0–0 RB Leipzig D

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-02-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2025-02-16 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-02-08 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 FC Augsburg D 2025-01-31 SV Werder Bremen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-01-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfB Stuttgart W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05 72% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig35% Draw28% 1. FSV Mainz 0537%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
63%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
65%
RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig27% Draw45% 1. FSV Mainz 0528%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
8%
0 – 0
6.9%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 18% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 19% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.