Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
RB Leipzig
1 – 2
Full Time
1. FSV Mainz 05
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 14:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 41,406 HT 45' · FT 45'
Xavi Simons 1' 1–0
1–1 52' Nadiem Amiri
1–2 58' Jonathan Burkardt
Amadou Haidara 52' Y
Y 88' Lennart Maloney

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Rafael Foltyn
  • Assistant 2 Rene Rohde
29 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

8
4
8
RB Leipzig 20 games · Avg 3.3 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-10-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 RB Leipzig 2024-03-30 RB Leipzig 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-11-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 RB Leipzig 2023-04-01 RB Leipzig 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
26 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
23 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–2 D
14 Feb FC Augsburg A 0–0 D
09 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–0 W
01 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D
1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar RB Leipzig A 2–1 W
22 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–0 W
16 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
08 Feb FC Augsburg H 0–0 D
31 Jan SV Werder Bremen A 0–1 L
25 Jan VfB Stuttgart H 2–0 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig 1. FSV Mainz 05
#3 Position #10
65 Points 40
34 Played 34
20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14
66 Scored 44
47 Conceded 53
+19 GD -9
1.91 PPG 1.18
59% Win % 29%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Red Bull Arena!
  • 1' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Xavi Simons makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 6' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nelson Weiper, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 11' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 11.
  • 16' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 21' Both keepers have barely been tested. RB Leipzig and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 26' 1. FSV Mainz 05 come into this ranked 5 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 31' Over 31 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 36' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 41' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 46' The travelling 1. FSV Mainz 05 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 51' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 52' Nadiem Amiri is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
  • 52' Controversy at the stadium! Amadou Haidara argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 57' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Philipp Mwene suffering a number of foals already.
  • 58' Assisted by Nadiem Amiri with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jonathan Burkardt makes no mistake. 1-2!
  • 59' RB Leipzig make a change. Amadou Haidara trudges off to be replaced by Kevin Kampl on 59 minutes.
  • 64' 1. FSV Mainz 05 has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 69' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 69 minutes.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Kosta Nedeljkovic. He replaces Lois Openda on 72 minute.
  • 75' Nelson Weiper gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Jonathan Burkardt and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 77' Yussuf Poulsen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Arthur Vermeeren at the 77 minute mark.
  • 82' It’s high time Bo Henriksen made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 83' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lennart Maloney is hanging Nadiem Amiri on the field on 83 minute.
  • 88' Lennart Maloney has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 88.
  • RB Leipzig will have plenty to reflect on. 1. FSV Mainz 05 were simply the better side today.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Timo Werner 9
Yussuf Poulsen 5
Moussa Niakhate 4
Christopher Nkunku 3
Marcus Ingvartsen 3
Lukas Klostermann 2
Dominik Szoboszlai 2
Marcel Halstenberg 2

Head to Head

2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-10-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 RB Leipzig 2024-03-30 RB Leipzig 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-11-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 RB Leipzig 2023-04-01 RB Leipzig 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

RB Leipzig Form

2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-02-26 RB Leipzig 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-02-23 RB Leipzig 2–2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 D 2025-02-14 FC Augsburg 0–0 RB Leipzig D 2025-02-09 RB Leipzig 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2025-02-01 1. FC Union Berlin 0–0 RB Leipzig D

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-02-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2025-02-16 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-02-08 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 FC Augsburg D 2025-01-31 SV Werder Bremen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-01-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfB Stuttgart W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.53 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig40% Draw28% 1. FSV Mainz 0532%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
68%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
60%
RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig31% Draw46% 1. FSV Mainz 0523%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.