RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 9 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Frank Willenborg
- Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
- Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Mar | 1. FC Köln | A | 5–1 | W |
| 09 Mar | SV Darmstadt 98 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Mar | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 4–1 | W |
| 24 Feb | FC Bayern München | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | RB Leipzig | A | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Mar | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | FC Bayern München | A | 1–8 | L |
| 02 Mar | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #12 |
| 18 | Points | 10 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 6 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 5 |
| 27 | Scored | 18 |
| 13 | Conceded | 19 |
| +14 | GD | -1 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
56%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
RB Leipzig
| Christopher Nkunku | 5 G | 2 A |
| Romulo Cruz | 5 G | |
| Antonio Nusa | 4 G | 7 A |
| Tidiam Gomis | 3 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G |
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for RB Leipzig to score. At the same time, 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' RB Leipzig currently sit 5 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' Benjamin Henrichs is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FSV Mainz 05 so far.
- 15' Edimilson Fernandes has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 467 appearances.
- 20' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a card for a hard tackle on 20.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 27' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Philipp Mwene on 27 minutes.
- 32' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 33' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Nadiem Amiri gets a card.
- 38' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 43' The 26-year-old Leandro Barreiro Martins has been sensational this season — 4 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 48' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 425 goals from 447 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 53' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Willi Orban suffering a number of foals already.
- 56' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Karim Onisiwo is replaced by Brajan Gruda on 56 minute.
- 61' Brajan Gruda needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 66' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 67' RB Leipzig receives a card for a hard tackle on 67.
- 68' A tactical swap from RB Leipzig — Yussuf Poulsen on, Christoph Baumgartner off on 68 minutes.
- 70' That looks like a foul for a card for Leandro Barreiro Martins.
- 75' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 79' That is a card for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Andreas Hanche-Olsen will be fuming at that decision.
- 81' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Edimilson Fernandes is hanging Andreas Hanche-Olsen on the field on 81 minute.
- 82' Mohamed Simakan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Benjamin Henrichs on 82 minute.
- 86' It’s gonna be a card for Xavi Simons.
- 87' A change in the RB Leipzig ranks — Yussuf Poulsen exits the field as Eljif Elmas enters on 87.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
-
17
Lois Openda ↓ Benjamin Sesko 68'
- 39
- 14
- 1
- 4
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Nicolas Seiwald 82'
- 22
- 7
- 24
- 20
- 23
Bench
- 6
- 21
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 68'
- 16
- 3
-
2
Mohamed Simakan ↑ 82'
-
13
Nicolas Seiwald ↑ 82'
- 5
-
30
Benjamin Sesko ↑ 68'
Coach
Marco Rose
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3
-
17
Ludovic Ajorque ↓ Jae-sung Lee 56'
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Silvan Widmer 56'
- 23
- 2
- 27
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↓ Brajan Gruda 56'
- 8
- 29
- 18
- 25
Bench
- 10
-
20
Edimilson Fernandes ↑ 81'
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 56'
- 14
- 11
- 24
- 1
-
43
Brajan Gruda ↑ 56'
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↑ 56'
Coach
Bo Henriksen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 9 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 5 |
| Moussa Niakhate | 4 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 2 |
| Andre Silva | 2 |
| Lukas Klostermann | 2 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.92
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.09
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
83%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
36%
RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05
81%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–0 not predicted0 – 0Actual
2 – 1
8.2%
3 – 1
7.8%
2 – 0
7.4%
3 – 0
6.9%
1 – 1
6.5%
4 – 1
5.7%
4 – 0
5%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 2
4.6%
5 – 1
3.4%
4 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -2 | 33% | 20% | 48% |
| -1.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| -1 | 52% | 19% | 28% |
| -0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
6%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

