RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Frank Willenborg
- Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
- Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
14 games this season
🟨 1.1/game
⚽ 7.6 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Mar | 1. FC Koln | A | 5–1 | W |
| 09 Mar | SV Darmstadt 98 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Mar | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 4–1 | W |
| 24 Feb | FC Bayern München | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | RB Leipzig | A | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Mar | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | FC Bayern München | A | 1–8 | L |
| 02 Mar | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #10 |
| 65 | Points | 40 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 20 / 5 / 9 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 14 |
| 66 | Scored | 44 |
| 47 | Conceded | 53 |
| +19 | GD | -9 |
| 1.91 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 59% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Red Bull Arena that hosts another battle between RB Leipzig and 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 10' named a 4-2-2-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 15' Dani Olmo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
- 20' That looks like a foul for a card for Anthony Caci.
- 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 27' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a card for a hard tackle on 27.
- 32' Silvan Widmer has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 172 appearances.
- 33' That looks like a foul for a card for Nadiem Amiri.
- 38' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 43' RB Leipzig have won 719 goals from 513 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 48' Both keepers have barely been tested. RB Leipzig and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 53' The 23-year-old Xavi Simons has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 3 assists is a remarkable return.
- 56' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Karim Onisiwo by Brajan Gruda on 56 minute.
- 61' It looks surprising RB Leipzig does not make any changes. Leandro Barreiro Martins has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 66' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 67' Castello Lukeba has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 67.
- 68' Yussuf Poulsen is replacing Christoph Baumgartner for the RB Leipzig side.
- 70' The referee calls foul for Leandro Barreiro Martins. He receives a card.
- 75' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RB Leipzig side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 79' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a card on 79.
- 81' Edimilson Fernandes is ready to make an impact after coming on for Andreas Hanche-Olsen at the 81 minute mark.
- 82' A change in the RB Leipzig ranks — Benjamin Henrichs exits the field as Mohamed Simakan enters on 82.
- 86' That is a card for RB Leipzig. Xavi Simons will be fuming at that decision.
- 87' Eljif Elmas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yussuf Poulsen on 87 minute.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
-
17
Lois Openda ↓ Benjamin Sesko 68'
- 39
- 14
- 1
- 4
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Nicolas Seiwald 82'
- 22
- 7
- 24
- 20
- 23
Bench
- 6
- 21
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 68'
- 16
- 3
-
2
Mohamed Simakan ↑ 82'
-
13
Nicolas Seiwald ↑ 82'
- 5
-
30
Benjamin Sesko ↑ 68'
Coach
Marco Rose
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3
-
17
Ludovic Ajorque ↓ Jae-sung Lee 56'
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Silvan Widmer 56'
- 23
- 2
- 27
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↓ Brajan Gruda 56'
- 8
- 29
- 18
- 25
Bench
- 10
-
20
Edimilson Fernandes ↑ 81'
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 56'
- 14
- 11
- 24
- 1
-
43
Brajan Gruda ↑ 56'
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↑ 56'
Coach
Bo Henriksen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 9 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 5 |
| Moussa Niakhate | 4 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Andre Silva | 2 |
| Lukas Klostermann | 2 |
| Dominik Szoboszlai | 2 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.9
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
RB Leipzig to win 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
80%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
44%
RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.1%
0 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
3.2%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 18% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 24% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
16%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

