Sunday , 16 August 2026

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 30 Mar 2024 · 14:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
  • Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–0 D
15 Mar 1. FC Köln A 5–1 W
09 Mar SV Darmstadt 98 H 2–0 W
06 Mar Real Madrid CF A 1–1 D
02 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 A 4–1 W
24 Feb FC Bayern München A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar RB Leipzig A 0–0 D
16 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–0 W
09 Mar FC Bayern München A 1–8 L
02 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–1 D
23 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–2 L
17 Feb FC Augsburg H 1–0 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig 1. FSV Mainz 05
#9 Position #16
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: 1. FSV Mainz 05 gets underway.
  • 5' Dani Olmo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 13 Yellow cards this season.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. RB Leipzig is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. RB Leipzig in their 4-2-2-2 trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 20' That looks like a foul for a card for Anthony Caci.
  • 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 27' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Philipp Mwene gets a card.
  • 32' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 33' Nadiem Amiri has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 33.
  • 38' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 43' RB Leipzig started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 43.
  • 48' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 53' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FSV Mainz 05 that had 436 games and scored 398 goals.
  • 56' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 56 minute. Karim Onisiwo leaves to be changed by Brajan Gruda.
  • 61' RB Leipzig is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 66' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 67' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Castello Lukeba on 67 minutes.
  • 68' The RB Leipzig bench stirs into life. Christoph Baumgartner is withdrawn and Yussuf Poulsen gets his opportunity.
  • 70' The referee calls foul for Leandro Barreiro Martins. He receives a card.
  • 75' 1. FSV Mainz 05 come into this ranked 16 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 79' Poor challenge from Andreas Hanche-Olsen. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 81' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05Edimilson Fernandes on, Andreas Hanche-Olsen off on 81 minutes.
  • 82' The supporters are chanting for Mohamed Simakan. He replaces Benjamin Henrichs on 82 minute.
  • 86' It’s gonna be a card for Xavi Simons.
  • 87' Yussuf Poulsen makes way for Eljif Elmas at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
  • The final score is 0-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.83 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.37 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 87% + RB Leipzig or Draw 82%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig44% Draw39% 1. FSV Mainz 0517%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes20% 0% No80%
Avg goals/match: 1.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 67%
33%
± 1.5 34%
66%
± 2.5 13%
87%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
82%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
56%
RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05
61%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig24% Draw68% 1. FSV Mainz 058%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
23.4%
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
2.6%
1 – 2
1.7%
0 – 2
1.7%
3 – 1
1.2%
2 – 2
0.9%
4 – 0
0.6%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 28% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 11% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
69%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.