Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 30 Mar 2024 · 14:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
  • Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
14 games this season 🟨 1.1/game 7.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–0 D
15 Mar 1. FC Koln A 5–1 W
09 Mar SV Darmstadt 98 H 2–0 W
06 Mar Real Madrid CF A 1–1 D
02 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 A 4–1 W
24 Feb FC Bayern München A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar RB Leipzig A 0–0 D
16 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–0 W
09 Mar FC Bayern München A 1–8 L
02 Mar Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–1 D
23 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–2 L
17 Feb FC Augsburg H 1–0 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig 1. FSV Mainz 05
#3 Position #10
65 Points 40
34 Played 34
20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14
66 Scored 44
47 Conceded 53
+19 GD -9
1.91 PPG 1.18
59% Win % 29%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Red Bull Arena that hosts another battle between RB Leipzig and 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 10' named a 4-2-2-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' Dani Olmo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
  • 20' That looks like a foul for a card for Anthony Caci.
  • 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 27' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a card for a hard tackle on 27.
  • 32' Silvan Widmer has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 172 appearances.
  • 33' That looks like a foul for a card for Nadiem Amiri.
  • 38' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 43' RB Leipzig have won 719 goals from 513 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 48' Both keepers have barely been tested. RB Leipzig and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 53' The 23-year-old Xavi Simons has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 3 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 56' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Karim Onisiwo by Brajan Gruda on 56 minute.
  • 61' It looks surprising RB Leipzig does not make any changes. Leandro Barreiro Martins has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 66' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 67' Castello Lukeba has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 67.
  • 68' Yussuf Poulsen is replacing Christoph Baumgartner for the RB Leipzig side.
  • 70' The referee calls foul for Leandro Barreiro Martins. He receives a card.
  • 75' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RB Leipzig side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 79' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a card on 79.
  • 81' Edimilson Fernandes is ready to make an impact after coming on for Andreas Hanche-Olsen at the 81 minute mark.
  • 82' A change in the RB Leipzig ranks — Benjamin Henrichs exits the field as Mohamed Simakan enters on 82.
  • 86' That is a card for RB Leipzig. Xavi Simons will be fuming at that decision.
  • 87' Eljif Elmas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yussuf Poulsen on 87 minute.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.9 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig to win 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig56% Draw25% 1. FSV Mainz 0519%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
80%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
44%
RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig42% Draw44% 1. FSV Mainz 0514%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.1%
0 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
3.2%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 18% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 24% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
41%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.