Wednesday , 30 September 2026

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 30 Mar 2024 · 14:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
  • Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–0 D
15 Mar 1. FC Köln A 5–1 W
09 Mar SV Darmstadt 98 H 2–0 W
06 Mar Real Madrid CF A 1–1 D
02 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 A 4–1 W
24 Feb FC Bayern München A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar RB Leipzig A 0–0 D
16 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–0 W
09 Mar FC Bayern München A 1–8 L
02 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–1 D
23 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–2 L
17 Feb FC Augsburg H 1–0 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig 1. FSV Mainz 05
#9 Position #6
6 Points 7
4 Played 4
2 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
9 Scored 10
5 Conceded 6
+4 GD +4
1.50 PPG 1.75
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for RB Leipzig to score. At the same time, 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' RB Leipzig are deployed in a 4-2-2-2 today, looking to exploit space against 1. FSV Mainz 05's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Anthony Caci gets a card.
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 27' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Philipp Mwene on 27 minutes.
  • 32' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 412 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 33' Nadiem Amiri catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 33.
  • 38' RB Leipzig are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
  • 43' 1. FSV Mainz 05 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 48' Dani Olmo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 53 goals in his last 191 appearances.
  • 53' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 56' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Brajan Gruda on, Karim Onisiwo off on 56 minutes.
  • 61' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RB Leipzig and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 66' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 67' RB Leipzig player sees a card in front of him.
  • 68' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Christoph Baumgartner has done his job and it is now time for Yussuf Poulsen to step up.
  • 70' Poor challenge from Leandro Barreiro Martins. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 75' Edimilson Fernandes has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 79' Andreas Hanche-Olsen catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 79.
  • 81' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Edimilson Fernandes comes on to replace Andreas Hanche-Olsen.
  • 82' Fresh legs for RB Leipzig! Mohamed Simakan comes on to replace Benjamin Henrichs.
  • 86' That looks like a foul for a card for Xavi Simons.
  • 87' The RB Leipzig manager makes a substitution. Yussuf Poulsen departs to be replaced by Eljif Elmas.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.85 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig50% Draw25% 1. FSV Mainz 0525%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
76%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
50%
RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig38% Draw43% 1. FSV Mainz 0519%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.4%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
32% ✗
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
17% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.