Sunday , 16 August 2026

RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg, DFB-Pokal 2024-25 QUARTER FINALS

DFB-Pokal · 2024-25
Wed 26 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs VfL WolfsburgDFB-Pokal at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Reichel

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
23 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–2 D
14 Feb FC Augsburg A 0–0 D
09 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–0 W
01 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D
29 Jan SK Sturm Graz A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb RB Leipzig A 0–1 L
22 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 H 1–1 D
15 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 2–1 W
08 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–0 D
02 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–1 D
24 Jan Holstein Kiel H 2–2 D

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Red Bull Arena Leipzig!
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Konstantinos Koulierakis made 471 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Willi Orban needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
  • 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both RB Leipzig and VfL Wolfsburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kevin Kampl is clearly more than just a goal scorer for RB Leipzig.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. RB Leipzig is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' Poland international Jakub Kaminski has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 40' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Rose might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 45' Patrick Wimmer is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for VfL Wolfsburg tonight.
  • 50' Lois Openda is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for RB Leipzig so far.
  • 55' RB Leipzig is showing some good football. However, RB Leipzig are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 60' The 33-year-old Marius Muller has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 65' Yannick Gerhardt has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 67' The referee shows VfL Wolfsburg player a card on 67.
  • 69' The Slovenia Benjamin Sesko breaks the deadlock on 69 minutes. 1-0!
  • 71' Jonas Wind is replacing Andreas Skov Olsen for the VfL Wolfsburg side.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Castello Lukeba. He replaces El Chadaille Bitshiabu on 74 minute.
  • 75' RB Leipzig manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Amadou Haidara is hanging Kevin Kampl on the field on 75 minute.
  • 80' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 81' Aster Vranckx is replacing Bence Dardai for the VfL Wolfsburg side.
  • 82' It’s a booking for RB Leipzig player. Castello Lukeba gets a card.
  • 86' Poor challenge from Amadou Haidara. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 88' Time for substitution for VfL Wolfsburg. Tiago Tomas is replaced by Kevin Behrens.
  • 90' Mattias Svanberg was booked on 90.
  • 90' A tactical swap from RB LeipzigNicolas Seiwald on, Arthur Vermeeren off on 90 minutes.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for RB Leipzig and VfL Wolfsburg (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.3 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig43% Draw29% VfL Wolfsburg28%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
72%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
57%
RB Leipzig or VfL Wolfsburg
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig28% Draw50% VfL Wolfsburg22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
34%
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.