Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg, DFB-Pokal 2024-25 QUARTER FINALS

DFB-Pokal · 2024-25
Wed 26 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs VfL WolfsburgDFB-Pokal at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Reichel
13 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
23 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–2 D
14 Feb FC Augsburg A 0–0 D
09 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–0 W
01 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D
29 Jan SK Sturm Graz A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb RB Leipzig A 0–1 L
22 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 H 1–1 D
15 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 2–1 W
08 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–0 D
02 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–1 D
24 Jan Holstein Kiel H 2–2 D

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' It looks surprising RB Leipzig does not make any changes. Lutsharel Geertruida has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' VfL Wolfsburg come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' RB Leipzig are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against VfL Wolfsburg's shape.
  • 25' VfL Wolfsburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 30' Andreas Skov Olsen is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for VfL Wolfsburg tonight.
  • 35' It is a cagey affair so far. RB Leipzig in their trying to find a way past VfL Wolfsburg's compact .
  • 40' Benjamin Sesko needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 45' Yannick Gerhardt has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 50' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 55' VfL Wolfsburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 60' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 65' RB Leipzig is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 67' The referee shows VfL Wolfsburg player a card on 67.
  • 69' GOAL! Benjamin Sesko fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 71' The VfL Wolfsburg bench stirs into life. Andreas Skov Olsen is withdrawn and Jonas Wind gets his opportunity.
  • 74' The RB Leipzig manager makes a substitution. El Chadaille Bitshiabu departs to be replaced by Castello Lukeba.
  • 75' A tactical swap from RB LeipzigAmadou Haidara on, Kevin Kampl off on 75 minutes.
  • 80' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 81' Aster Vranckx has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bence Dardai on 81 minute.
  • 82' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Castello Lukeba.
  • 86' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Amadou Haidara.
  • 88' A tactical swap from VfL WolfsburgKevin Behrens on, Tiago Tomas off on 88 minutes.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Mattias Svanberg.
  • 90' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Arthur Vermeeren has done his job and it is now time for Nicolas Seiwald to step up.
  • 1-0 the final result. VfL Wolfsburg will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.3 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig43% Draw29% VfL Wolfsburg28%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
72%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
57%
RB Leipzig or VfL Wolfsburg
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig28% Draw50% VfL Wolfsburg22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
34%
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.