Wednesday , 30 September 2026

RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg, DFB-Pokal 2024-25 QUARTER FINALS

DFB-Pokal · 2024-25
Wed 26 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg — DFB-Pokal at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Reichel

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
23 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–2 D
14 Feb FC Augsburg A 0–0 D
09 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–0 W
01 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D
29 Jan SK Sturm Graz A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb RB Leipzig A 0–1 L
22 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 H 1–1 D
15 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 2–1 W
08 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–0 D
02 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–1 D
24 Jan Holstein Kiel H 2–2 D

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
0% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Willi Orban 1 G
Brajan Gruda 1 G
VfL Wolfsburg
Maximilian Arnold 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Red Bull Arena Leipzig as RB Leipzig face off against VfL Wolfsburg in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' VfL Wolfsburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Aster Vranckx is clearly more than just a goal scorer for VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both RB Leipzig and VfL Wolfsburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 25' RB Leipzig are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against VfL Wolfsburg's shape.
  • 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ralph Hasenhuttl will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 35' RB Leipzig are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined VfL Wolfsburg backline.
  • 40' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 45' Xavi Simons has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 50' RB Leipzig have won 727 goals from 515 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 55' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 60' RB Leipzig are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 65' VfL Wolfsburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 67' VfL Wolfsburg player sees a card in front of him.
  • 69' RB Leipzig is taking the lead after the goal scored by Benjamin Sesko on 69.
  • 71' Fresh legs for VfL Wolfsburg! Jonas Wind comes on to replace Andreas Skov Olsen.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Castello Lukeba. He replaces El Chadaille Bitshiabu on 74 minute.
  • 75' Kevin Kampl makes way for Amadou Haidara at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
  • 80' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 81' VfL Wolfsburg make a change. Bence Dardai trudges off to be replaced by Aster Vranckx on 81 minutes.
  • 82' That is a card for RB Leipzig. Castello Lukeba will be fuming at that decision.
  • 86' A moment of madness from Amadou Haidara on 86 minutes earns him a card. RB Leipzig will be frustrated.
  • 88' Kevin Behrens gets the nod from VfL Wolfsburg. He replaces Tiago Tomas and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Mattias Svanberg argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Arthur Vermeeren has done his job and it is now time for Nicolas Seiwald to step up.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. RB Leipzig take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.3 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig43% Draw29% VfL Wolfsburg28%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
72%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
57%
RB Leipzig or VfL Wolfsburg
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig28% Draw50% VfL Wolfsburg22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.