Saturday , 14 November 2026

RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg, DFB-Pokal 2024-25 QUARTER FINALS

DFB-Pokal · 2024-25
Wed 26 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg — DFB-Pokal at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Reichel
5 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 10.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
23 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–2 D
14 Feb FC Augsburg A 0–0 D
09 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–0 W
01 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D
29 Jan SK Sturm Graz A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb RB Leipzig A 0–1 L
22 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 H 1–1 D
15 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 2–1 W
08 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–0 D
02 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–1 D
24 Jan Holstein Kiel H 2–2 D

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
0% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
5/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

VfL Wolfsburg
Maximilian Arnold 2 G
Kento Shiogai 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Red Bull Arena Leipzig as RB Leipzig face off against VfL Wolfsburg in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marius Muller, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena Leipzig with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 20' VfL Wolfsburg have won 509 goals from 484 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 35' RB Leipzig are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfL Wolfsburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 45' Kevin Behrens, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 50' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfL Wolfsburg that had 484 games and scored 509 goals.
  • 55' The 26-year-old Lutsharel Geertruida has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 60' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 65' VfL Wolfsburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 67' The referee shows VfL Wolfsburg player a card on 67.
  • 69' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Benjamin Sesko makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 71' Jonas Wind is replacing Andreas Skov Olsen for the VfL Wolfsburg side.
  • 74' The RB Leipzig manager makes a substitution. El Chadaille Bitshiabu departs to be replaced by Castello Lukeba.
  • 75' Amadou Haidara gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Kevin Kampl and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marco Rose will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 81' A change in the VfL Wolfsburg ranks — Bence Dardai exits the field as Aster Vranckx enters on 81.
  • 82' Poor challenge from Castello Lukeba. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 86' Amadou Haidara has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 86.
  • 88' VfL Wolfsburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kevin Behrens is hanging Tiago Tomas on the field on 88 minute.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Mattias Svanberg on 90 minutes earns him a card. VfL Wolfsburg will be frustrated.
  • 90' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Arthur Vermeeren by Nicolas Seiwald on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.3 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig43% Draw29% VfL Wolfsburg28%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
72%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
57%
RB Leipzig or VfL Wolfsburg
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig28% Draw50% VfL Wolfsburg22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.