Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 1 Feb 2025 · 17:30 UTC An der Alten Forsterei 22,012 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs RB LeipzigBundesliga at An der Alten Forsterei.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Schlager
  • Assistant 1 Sven Waschitzki
  • Assistant 2 Arno Blos

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb RB Leipzig H 0–0 D
26 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–3 L
19 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–1 W
15 Jan FC Augsburg H 0–2 L
11 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–2 L
21 Dec SV Werder Bremen A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D
29 Jan SK Sturm Graz A 0–1 L
25 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
22 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal H 2–1 W
18 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 A 3–3 D
15 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L

Season Stats

1. FC Union Berlin RB Leipzig
#17 Position #9
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FC Union Berlin are 17th (0 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! 1. FC Union Berlin welcome RB Leipzig for this crunch clash at An der Alten Forsterei.
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ridle Baku is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FC Union Berlin.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' 1. FC Union Berlin are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' RB Leipzig fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 25' 1. FC Union Berlin are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 30' RB Leipzig come into this ranked 5 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 32' Josip Juranovic picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 37' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 42' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Josip Juranovic suffering a number of foals already.
  • 46' The RB Leipzig manager makes a substitution. El Chadaille Bitshiabu departs to be replaced by Amadou Haidara.
  • 49' The referee shows 1. FC Union Berlin player a card on 49.
  • 54' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FC Union Berlin and RB Leipzig are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 59' Christoph Baumgartner has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 64' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Christoph Baumgartner on 64 minutes.
  • 69' RB Leipzig seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 71' The whistle greets Ivan Prtajin as he departs to be replaced by Jordan Siebatcheu.
  • 72' The RB Leipzig manager makes a substitution. Ridle Baku departs to be replaced by Kevin Kampl.
  • 77' Lucas Tousart has so much to prove this time. He replaces Janik Haberer on 77 minute.
  • 78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Yussuf Poulsen.
  • 78' The RB Leipzig manager makes a substitution. Christoph Baumgartner departs to be replaced by Yussuf Poulsen.
  • 83' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 84' Another substitution for 1. FC Union Berlin to replace Robert Skov by Jerome Roussillon on 84 minute.
  • 89' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Laszlo Benes is booked for 1. FC Union Berlin — card on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.37 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.49 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 93% + Under — clean sheet likely 85%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Union Berlin25% Draw47% RB Leipzig28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes15% 0% No85%
Avg goals/match: 0.86
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 55%
45%
± 1.5 23%
77%
± 2.5 7%
93%
± 3.5 2%
98%
± 4.5 0%
100%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
72%
Draw or RB Leipzig
75%
1. FC Union Berlin or RB Leipzig
53%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Union Berlin9% Draw77% RB Leipzig14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
18.7%
1 – 0
13.5%
1 – 1
9.3%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
2.4%
1 – 2
2.3%
2 – 1
1.7%
0 – 3
0.7%
2 – 2
0.6%
1 – 3
0.4%
3 – 0
0.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 3% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 15% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 21% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
61%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
69%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.