1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- RB Leipzig 4 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
- Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
10 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 13.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | RB Leipzig | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | FC Augsburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Sep | SV Werder Bremen | H | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | VfB Stuttgart | A | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Oct | Juventus FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | FC Augsburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | Club Atlético de Madrid | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #9 |
| 7 | Points | 6 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 2 / 1 / 1 | W / D / L | 2 / 0 / 2 |
| 10 | Scored | 9 |
| 6 | Conceded | 5 |
| +4 | GD | +4 |
| 1.75 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 50% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
50%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 4 G | |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 3 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
RB Leipzig
| Antonio Nusa | 2 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G | |
| Rocco Reitz | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! 1. FSV Mainz 05 welcome RB Leipzig for this crunch clash at MEWA Arena.
- 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 10' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' Assisted by Amadou Haidara with the perfectly-timed delivery and Xavi Simons makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 25' Armindo Sieb has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 30' It looks surprising RB Leipzig does not make any changes. Kevin Kampl has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 35' RB Leipzig come into this ranked 2 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 37' Goal! Willi Orban scores his 31 goal in 516 matches.
- 42' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bo Henriksen will be considering his options from the bench.
- 47' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 10 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 52' It’s high time Marco Rose made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 53' Amadou Haidara has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 53.
- 56' The whistle greets Amadou Haidara as he departs to be replaced by Kevin Kampl.
- 59' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Armindo Sieb trudges off to be replaced by Paul Nebel on 59 minutes.
- 60' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Arthur Vermeeren.
- 65' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lukas Klostermann suffering a number of foals already.
- 70' Over 70 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 73' The whistle greets Arthur Vermeeren as he departs to be replaced by Eljif Elmas.
- 74' Nelson Weiper is replacing Jae-sung Lee for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
- 79' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 84' Lois Openda makes way for Yussuf Poulsen at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
- 87' Silvan Widmer has so much to prove this time. He replaces Maxim Leitsch on 87 minute.
- 89' It’s a booking for RB Leipzig player. Eljif Elmas gets a card.
- 90' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a card in front of him.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from RB Leipzig to claim maximum points.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Gabriel Vidovic 87'
- 2
- 27
- 29
- 18
- 21
-
5
Maxim Leitsch ↓ Silvan Widmer 87'
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↓ Paul Nebel 59'
- 3
- 6
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Nelson Weiper 74'
Bench
- 16
- 4
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 87'
-
8
Paul Nebel ↑ 59'
- 1
-
17
Gabriel Vidovic ↑ 87'
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 74'
- 14
- 42
Coach
Bo Henriksen
RB Leipzig Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
-
11
Lois Openda ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 84'
- 3
- 1
- 16
- 4
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↓ Kevin Kampl 56'
- 10
- 23
- 30
- 7
-
18
Arthur Vermeeren ↓ Eljif Elmas 73'
Bench
-
6
Eljif Elmas ↑ 73'
-
39
Benjamin Henrichs ↑ 73'
-
14
Christoph Baumgartner ↑ 73'
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 84'
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↑ 56'
- 19
- 25
- 26
- 5
Coach
Marco Rose
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 9 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 5 |
| Moussa Niakhate | 4 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Marcel Halstenberg | 2 |
| Marcel Sabitzer | 2 |
| Karim Onisiwo | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.28
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig 72% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
62%
Draw or RB Leipzig
67%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 2
8.5%
0 – 1
8.5%
0 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
7.2%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | RB Leipzig covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 17% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 20% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

