1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- RB Leipzig 9 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
- Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
16 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 15.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | RB Leipzig | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | FC Augsburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Sep | SV Werder Bremen | H | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | VfB Stuttgart | A | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Oct | Juventus FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | FC Augsburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | Club Atlético de Madrid | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #4 |
| 10 | Points | 18 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 3 / 1 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 0 / 3 |
| 18 | Scored | 27 |
| 19 | Conceded | 13 |
| -1 | GD | +14 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 33% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
56%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
RB Leipzig
| Christopher Nkunku | 5 G | 2 A |
| Romulo Cruz | 5 G | |
| Antonio Nusa | 4 G | 7 A |
| Tidiam Gomis | 3 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. 1. FSV Mainz 05 host RB Leipzig — let the battle begin!
- 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against RB Leipzig's 4-2-2-2 shape.
- 10' Benjamin Henrichs is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FSV Mainz 05 tonight.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' Xavi Simons doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marco Rose will be considering his options from the bench.
- 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 37' Goal! Willi Orban scores his 32 goal in 528 matches.
- 42' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 47' Anthony Caci, a France , has 29 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 52' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. RB Leipzig seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 53' RB Leipzig receives a card for a hard tackle on 53.
- 56' RB Leipzig manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kevin Kampl is hanging Amadou Haidara on the field on 56 minute.
- 59' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Armindo Sieb is withdrawn and Paul Nebel gets his opportunity.
- 60' Controversy at the stadium! Arthur Vermeeren argues furiously but the card stands.
- 65' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RB Leipzig backline.
- 70' It looks surprising RB Leipzig does not make any changes. Nadiem Amiri has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 73' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Arthur Vermeeren is replaced by Eljif Elmas on 73 minute.
- 74' The crowd applauds Jae-sung Lee as he leaves the pitch. Nelson Weiper steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 79' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 84' The RB Leipzig bench stirs into life. Lois Openda is withdrawn and Yussuf Poulsen gets his opportunity.
- 87' The crowd applauds Maxim Leitsch as he leaves the pitch. Silvan Widmer steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 89' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Eljif Elmas on 89 minutes.
- 90' Paul Nebel picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- RB Leipzig celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Gabriel Vidovic 87'
- 2
- 27
- 29
- 18
- 21
-
5
Maxim Leitsch ↓ Silvan Widmer 87'
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↓ Paul Nebel 59'
- 3
- 6
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Nelson Weiper 74'
Bench
- 16
- 4
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 87'
-
8
Paul Nebel ↑ 59'
- 1
-
17
Gabriel Vidovic ↑ 87'
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 74'
- 14
- 42
Coach
Bo Henriksen
RB Leipzig Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
-
11
Lois Openda ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 84'
- 3
- 1
- 16
- 4
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↓ Kevin Kampl 56'
- 10
- 23
- 30
- 7
-
18
Arthur Vermeeren ↓ Eljif Elmas 73'
Bench
-
6
Eljif Elmas ↑ 73'
-
39
Benjamin Henrichs ↑ 73'
-
14
Christoph Baumgartner ↑ 73'
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 84'
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↑ 56'
- 19
- 25
- 26
- 5
Coach
Marco Rose
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 9 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 5 |
| Moussa Niakhate | 4 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Marcel Halstenberg | 2 |
| Marcel Sabitzer | 2 |
| Karim Onisiwo | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.37
RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.66
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
48%
Draw or RB Leipzig
75%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9%
1 – 1
8.7%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
7.1%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
5.7%
0 – 3
5.6%
2 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.6%
1 – 4
4.2%
0 – 0
3.8%
0 – 4
3.3%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | RB Leipzig covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 5% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 11% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +1 | 40% | 21% | 39% |
| +1.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +2 | 61% | 18% | 21% |
| +2.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

