Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 19 Oct 2024 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena 30,100 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' Xavi Simons
0–2 37' Willi Orban

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
  • Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
10 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 13.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct RB Leipzig H 0–2 L
05 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–0 W
28 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–2 L
20 Sep FC Augsburg A 3–2 W
15 Sep SV Werder Bremen H 1–2 L
31 Aug VfB Stuttgart A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–0 W
06 Oct 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–0 W
02 Oct Juventus FC H 2–3 L
28 Sep FC Augsburg H 4–0 W
22 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
19 Sep Club Atlético de Madrid A 1–2 L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 RB Leipzig
#6 Position #9
7 Points 6
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 2
10 Scored 9
6 Conceded 5
+4 GD +4
1.75 PPG 1.50
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! 1. FSV Mainz 05 welcome RB Leipzig for this crunch clash at MEWA Arena.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' Assisted by Amadou Haidara with the perfectly-timed delivery and Xavi Simons makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 25' Armindo Sieb has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 30' It looks surprising RB Leipzig does not make any changes. Kevin Kampl has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 35' RB Leipzig come into this ranked 2 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 37' Goal! Willi Orban scores his 31 goal in 516 matches.
  • 42' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bo Henriksen will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 47' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 10 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 52' It’s high time Marco Rose made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 53' Amadou Haidara has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 53.
  • 56' The whistle greets Amadou Haidara as he departs to be replaced by Kevin Kampl.
  • 59' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Armindo Sieb trudges off to be replaced by Paul Nebel on 59 minutes.
  • 60' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Arthur Vermeeren.
  • 65' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lukas Klostermann suffering a number of foals already.
  • 70' Over 70 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 73' The whistle greets Arthur Vermeeren as he departs to be replaced by Eljif Elmas.
  • 74' Nelson Weiper is replacing Jae-sung Lee for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
  • 79' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 84' Lois Openda makes way for Yussuf Poulsen at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
  • 87' Silvan Widmer has so much to prove this time. He replaces Maxim Leitsch on 87 minute.
  • 89' It’s a booking for RB Leipzig player. Eljif Elmas gets a card.
  • 90' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a card in front of him.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from RB Leipzig to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.28 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0533% Draw28% RB Leipzig39%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
62%
Draw or RB Leipzig
67%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0524% Draw46% RB Leipzig30%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 2
8.5%
0 – 1
8.5%
0 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
7.2%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 20% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
29% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.