Saturday , 14 November 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 19 Oct 2024 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena 30,100 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' Xavi Simons
0–2 37' Willi Orban

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
  • Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
16 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 15.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct RB Leipzig H 0–2 L
05 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–0 W
28 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–2 L
20 Sep FC Augsburg A 3–2 W
15 Sep SV Werder Bremen H 1–2 L
31 Aug VfB Stuttgart A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–0 W
06 Oct 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–0 W
02 Oct Juventus FC H 2–3 L
28 Sep FC Augsburg H 4–0 W
22 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
19 Sep Club Atlético de Madrid A 1–2 L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 RB Leipzig
#12 Position #4
10 Points 18
9 Played 9
3 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 0 / 3
18 Scored 27
19 Conceded 13
-1 GD +14
1.11 PPG 2.00
33% Win % 67%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
RB Leipzig
Christopher Nkunku 5 G 2 A
Romulo Cruz 5 G
Antonio Nusa 4 G 7 A
Tidiam Gomis 3 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. 1. FSV Mainz 05 host RB Leipzig — let the battle begin!
  • 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against RB Leipzig's 4-2-2-2 shape.
  • 10' Benjamin Henrichs is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FSV Mainz 05 tonight.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' Xavi Simons doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marco Rose will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 37' Goal! Willi Orban scores his 32 goal in 528 matches.
  • 42' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 47' Anthony Caci, a France , has 29 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 52' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. RB Leipzig seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 53' RB Leipzig receives a card for a hard tackle on 53.
  • 56' RB Leipzig manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kevin Kampl is hanging Amadou Haidara on the field on 56 minute.
  • 59' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Armindo Sieb is withdrawn and Paul Nebel gets his opportunity.
  • 60' Controversy at the stadium! Arthur Vermeeren argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 65' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RB Leipzig backline.
  • 70' It looks surprising RB Leipzig does not make any changes. Nadiem Amiri has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 73' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Arthur Vermeeren is replaced by Eljif Elmas on 73 minute.
  • 74' The crowd applauds Jae-sung Lee as he leaves the pitch. Nelson Weiper steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 79' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 84' The RB Leipzig bench stirs into life. Lois Openda is withdrawn and Yussuf Poulsen gets his opportunity.
  • 87' The crowd applauds Maxim Leitsch as he leaves the pitch. Silvan Widmer steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 89' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Eljif Elmas on 89 minutes.
  • 90' Paul Nebel picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • RB Leipzig celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.37 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0525% Draw23% RB Leipzig52%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.66
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
48%
Draw or RB Leipzig
75%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0517% Draw38% RB Leipzig45%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9%
1 – 1
8.7%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
7.1%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
5.7%
0 – 3
5.6%
2 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.6%
1 – 4
4.2%
0 – 0
3.8%
0 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 5% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 11% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 40% — 60%
+1 40% 21% 39%
+1.5 61% — 39%
+2 61% 18% 21%
+2.5 79% — 21%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
28% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.