1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- RB Leipzig 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
- Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
16 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 10.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 3 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | SV 07 Elversberg | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Bayern München | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | 1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | SV Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | RB Leipzig | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | FC Augsburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Sep | SV Werder Bremen | H | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | VfB Stuttgart | A | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Oct | Juventus FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | FC Augsburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | Club Atlético de Madrid | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #9 |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0 | Played | 0 |
| 0 / 0 / 0 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| 0 | Scored | 0 |
| 0 | Conceded | 0 |
| +0 | GD | +0 |
| – | PPG | – |
| – | Win % | – |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — 1. FSV Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig get this one started.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FSV Mainz 05 in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past RB Leipzig's compact 4-2-2-2.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against RB Leipzig's 4-2-2-2 shape.
- 20' What a strike from Xavi Simons! The score is 0-1.
- 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering RB Leipzig that had 513 games and scored 719 goals.
- 30' The 21-year-old Antonio Nusa has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Amadou Haidara suffering a number of foals already.
- 37' Willi Orban has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 37 minutes.
- 42' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marco Rose will be considering his options from the bench.
- 47' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 52' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 53' It’s a booking for RB Leipzig player. Amadou Haidara gets a card.
- 56' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 56 minute. Amadou Haidara leaves to be changed by Kevin Kampl.
- 59' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Paul Nebel is hanging Armindo Sieb on the field on 59 minute.
- 60' RB Leipzig receives a card for a hard tackle on 60.
- 65' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 70' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His 1. FSV Mainz 05 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 73' A tactical swap from RB Leipzig — Eljif Elmas on, Arthur Vermeeren off on 73 minutes.
- 74' The supporters are chanting for Nelson Weiper. He replaces Jae-sung Lee on 74 minute.
- 79' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 84' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 84 minute. Lois Openda leaves to be changed by Yussuf Poulsen.
- 87' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Maxim Leitsch by Silvan Widmer on 87 minute.
- 89' RB Leipzig receives a card for a hard tackle on 89.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Paul Nebel on 90.
- It finishes all square. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig share the spoils 0-2.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Gabriel Vidovic 87'
- 2
- 27
- 29
- 18
- 21
-
5
Maxim Leitsch ↓ Silvan Widmer 87'
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↓ Paul Nebel 59'
- 3
- 6
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Nelson Weiper 74'
Bench
- 16
- 4
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 87'
-
8
Paul Nebel ↑ 59'
- 1
-
17
Gabriel Vidovic ↑ 87'
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 74'
- 14
- 42
Coach
Bo Henriksen
RB Leipzig Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
-
11
Lois Openda ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 84'
- 3
- 1
- 16
- 4
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↓ Kevin Kampl 56'
- 10
- 23
- 30
- 7
-
18
Arthur Vermeeren ↓ Eljif Elmas 73'
Bench
-
6
Eljif Elmas ↑ 73'
-
39
Benjamin Henrichs ↑ 73'
-
14
Christoph Baumgartner ↑ 73'
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 84'
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↑ 56'
- 19
- 25
- 26
- 5
Coach
Marco Rose
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 9 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 5 |
| Moussa Niakhate | 4 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Karim Onisiwo | 2 |
| Xavi Simons | 2 |
| Leandro Barreiro Martins | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.33
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63
RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 92% + Under — clean sheet likely 84%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 0.96
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 1.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 2.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
| ± 3.5 | 2% |
|
98% |
| ± 4.5 | 1% |
|
99% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
66%
Draw or RB Leipzig
79%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
56%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
41.3%
0 – 1
22.2%
1 – 0
10.7%
1 – 1
9.3%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
2.9%
2 – 0
1.7%
2 – 1
1.4%
0 – 3
1.4%
1 – 3
0.7%
2 – 2
0.6%
0 – 4
0.2%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | RB Leipzig covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 0% | — | 100% |
| -2 | 0% | 2% | 98% |
| -1.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -1 | 2% | 12% | 86% |
| -0.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 25% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
54%
✗
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
72%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

