Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
1. FSV Mainz 05
0 – 2
Full Time
RB Leipzig
Sat 19 Oct 2024 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena 30,100 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' Xavi Simons
0–2 37' Willi Orban
Y 53' Amadou Haidara
Y 60' Arthur Vermeeren
Y 89' Eljif Elmas
Paul Nebel 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
  • Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
35 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 7.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

8
4
8
1. FSV Mainz 05 20 games · Avg 3.3 goals RB Leipzig
Last 5 meetings
2024-10-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 RB Leipzig 2024-03-30 RB Leipzig 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-11-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 RB Leipzig 2023-04-01 RB Leipzig 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-10-08 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct RB Leipzig H 0–2 L
05 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–0 W
28 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–2 L
20 Sep FC Augsburg A 3–2 W
15 Sep SV Werder Bremen H 1–2 L
31 Aug VfB Stuttgart A 3–3 D
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–0 W
06 Oct 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–0 W
02 Oct Juventus FC H 2–3 L
28 Sep FC Augsburg H 4–0 W
22 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
19 Sep Club Atletico de Madrid A 1–2 L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 RB Leipzig
#10 Position #3
40 Points 65
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 20 / 5 / 9
44 Scored 66
53 Conceded 47
-9 GD +19
1.18 PPG 1.91
29% Win % 59%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at MEWA Arena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RB Leipzig needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RB Leipzig backline.
  • 15' RB Leipzig come into this ranked 2 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' Xavi Simons does the damage! The net is bulging and RB Leipzig surge ahead!
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lukas Klostermann suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FSV Mainz 05 that had 436 games and scored 398 goals.
  • 35' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 10 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 37' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Willi Orban makes it 0-2.
  • 42' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 47' RB Leipzig are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 52' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 53' RB Leipzig player sees a card in front of him.
  • 56' RB Leipzig manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kevin Kampl is hanging Amadou Haidara on the field on 56 minute.
  • 59' Paul Nebel has so much to prove this time. He replaces Armindo Sieb on 59 minute.
  • 60' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Arthur Vermeeren.
  • 65' It’s high time Bo Henriksen made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 70' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 73' Eljif Elmas is ready to make an impact after coming on for Arthur Vermeeren at the 73 minute mark.
  • 74' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Jae-sung Lee trudges off to be replaced by Nelson Weiper on 74 minutes.
  • 79' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 84' Yussuf Poulsen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lois Openda at the 84 minute mark.
  • 87' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Silvan Widmer on, Maxim Leitsch off on 87 minutes.
  • 89' Eljif Elmas catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 89.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Paul Nebel on 90 minutes.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for 1. FSV Mainz 05.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Timo Werner 9
Yussuf Poulsen 5
Moussa Niakhate 4
Marcus Ingvartsen 3
Christopher Nkunku 3
Marcel Halstenberg 2
Marcel Sabitzer 2
Karim Onisiwo 2

Head to Head

2024-10-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 RB Leipzig 2024-03-30 RB Leipzig 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-11-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 RB Leipzig 2023-04-01 RB Leipzig 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-10-08 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 RB Leipzig

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2024-10-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 RB Leipzig L 2024-10-05 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-09-28 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 L 2024-09-20 FC Augsburg 2–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-09-15 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–2 SV Werder Bremen L 2024-08-31 VfB Stuttgart 3–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 D

RB Leipzig Form

2024-10-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 RB Leipzig W 2024-10-06 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–1 RB Leipzig W 2024-10-02 RB Leipzig 2–3 Juventus FC L 2024-09-28 RB Leipzig 4–0 FC Augsburg W 2024-09-22 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–0 RB Leipzig D 2024-09-19 Club Atletico de Madrid 2–1 RB Leipzig L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.97 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0527% Draw29% RB Leipzig44%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
56%
Draw or RB Leipzig
73%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0518% Draw48% RB Leipzig34%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
11.6%
0 – 0
10.4%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
9%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 3
4.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 23% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.