RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.
- RB Leipzig 9 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Welz
- Referee Markus Schuller
- Referee Max Burda
- Referee Thomas Gorniak
- Referee Philipp Huwe
- Referee Frederick Assmuth
- Referee Florian Heft
- Referee Norbert Grudzinski
- Referee Christian Dingert
- Referee Guido Kleve
- Referee Guido Winkmann
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Mar | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Mar | Manchester City FC | A | 0–7 | L |
| 11 Mar | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Feb | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr | RB Leipzig | A | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | SC Freiburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Mar | Hertha BSC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Mar | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 4–0 | W |
| 19 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #12 |
| 18 | Points | 10 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 6 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 5 |
| 27 | Scored | 18 |
| 13 | Conceded | 19 |
| +14 | GD | -1 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
56%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
RB Leipzig
| Christopher Nkunku | 5 G | 2 A |
| Romulo Cruz | 5 G | |
| Antonio Nusa | 4 G | 7 A |
| Tidiam Gomis | 3 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G |
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Red Bull Arena Leipzig as RB Leipzig face off against 1. FSV Mainz 05 in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' RB Leipzig seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 9' The Denmark Marcus Ingvartsen breaks the deadlock on 9 minutes. 0-1!
- 10' What a moment for Marcus Ingvartsen! That strike on 10 puts his side firmly in control.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 30' 1. FSV Mainz 05 come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Emil Forsberg suffering a number of foals already.
- 37' Poor challenge from Kevin Kampl. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 42' RB Leipzig started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 42.
- 46' Amadou Haidara is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kevin Kampl at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bo Svensson will be considering his options from the bench.
- 56' Andre Silva makes way for Dani Olmo at the 56 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
- 57' A goal from the France international Ludovic Ajorque! He fires home on 57 to make it 0-3!
- 61' The referee has no hesitation. Anthony Caci is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Yellow card on 61.
- 64' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a Yellow card on 64.
- 66' Andreas Hanche-Olsen catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 66.
- 67' GOAL! Dominik Kohr scores on 67.
- 71' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Josko Gvardiol is replaced by Mohamed Simakan on 71 minute.
- 76' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RB Leipzig side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 78' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 78 minute. Marcus Ingvartsen leaves to be changed by Aymen Barkok.
- 81' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Konrad Laimer is replaced by Lukas Klostermann on 81 minute.
- 86' Stefan Bell has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 88' The crowd applauds Anthony Caci as he leaves the pitch. Aaron Martin steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 90' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 90 minute. Ludovic Ajorque leaves to be changed by Delano Burgzorg.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-3.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 39
- 11
- 10
- 4
-
23
Marcel Halstenberg ↓ David Raum 46'
- 27
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Amadou Haidara 46'
-
19
Andre Silva ↓ Dani Olmo 56'
- 17
- 32
Bench
- 13
- 37
-
16
Lukas Klostermann ↑ 81'
-
22
David Raum ↑ 46'
-
7
Dani Olmo ↑ 56'
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↑ 46'
-
2
Mohamed Simakan ↑ 71'
- 25
Coach
Marco Rose
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Aaron Martin 88'
- 31
- 27
- 16
- 8
- 20
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↓ Danny da Costa 78'
- 11
-
6
Anton Stach ↓ Lee Jaesung 78'
- 25
Bench
-
7
Lee Jaesung ↑ 78'
- 1
- 42
-
3
Aaron Martin ↑ 88'
-
21
Danny da Costa ↑ 78'
- 5
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 78'
-
37
Delano Burgzorg ↑ 90'
- 44
Coach
Bo Svensson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 9 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 5 |
| Moussa Niakhate | 4 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 2 |
| Andre Silva | 2 |
| Lukas Klostermann | 2 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.71
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.5
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
70%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
51%
RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–3 not predicted0 – 3Actual
2 – 1
7.2%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 1
6.1%
3 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
4.8%
4 – 1
4.3%
2 – 0
4.2%
4 – 2
3.8%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 16% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 19% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 12% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
7%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

