Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 1 Apr 2023 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz
  • Referee Markus Schuller
  • Referee Max Burda
  • Referee Thomas Gorniak
  • Referee Philipp Huwe
  • Referee Frederick Assmuth
  • Referee Florian Heft
  • Referee Norbert Grudzinski
  • Referee Christian Dingert
  • Referee Guido Kleve
  • Referee Guido Winkmann
19 games this season 🟨 1.2/game 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
18 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 A 0–1 L
14 Mar Manchester City FC A 0–7 L
11 Mar Borussia Monchengladbach H 3–0 W
03 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–2 L
25 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Apr RB Leipzig A 3–0 W
19 Mar SC Freiburg H 1–1 D
11 Mar Hertha BSC A 1–1 D
04 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–0 W
24 Feb Borussia Monchengladbach H 4–0 W
19 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 3–2 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig 1. FSV Mainz 05
#3 Position #10
65 Points 40
34 Played 34
20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14
66 Scored 44
47 Conceded 53
+19 GD -9
1.91 PPG 1.18
59% Win % 29%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. RB Leipzig host 1. FSV Mainz 05 — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 9' What a strike from Marcus Ingvartsen! The score is 0-1.
  • 10' The Denmark Marcus Ingvartsen breaks the deadlock on 10 minutes. 0-2!
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bo Svensson might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Timo Werner, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena Leipzig with 15 goals in the last 9 games.
  • 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
  • 35' Emil Forsberg has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 37' The referee calls foul for Kevin Kampl. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 42' Germany international Stefan Bell has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 46' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Kevin Kampl is replaced by Amadou Haidara on 46 minute.
  • 51' Konrad Laimer is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FSV Mainz 05 so far.
  • 56' Dani Olmo gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Andre Silva and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 57' Ludovic Ajorque adds to his 0 season tally! 1. FSV Mainz 05 lead 0-3 — and this changes everything.
  • 61' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a Yellow card on 61.
  • 64' Marcus Ingvartsen picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 66' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Andreas Hanche-Olsen.
  • 67' Against the run of play, Dominik Kohr has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 71' The crowd applauds Josko Gvardiol as he leaves the pitch. Mohamed Simakan steps in for RB Leipzig.
  • 76' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is showing some good football. However, 1. FSV Mainz 05 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 78' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Aymen Barkok comes on to replace Marcus Ingvartsen.
  • 81' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Konrad Laimer by Lukas Klostermann on 81 minute.
  • 86' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 88' Aaron Martin is ready to make an impact after coming on for Anthony Caci at the 88 minute mark.
  • 90' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Ludovic Ajorque is replaced by Delano Burgzorg.
  • It finishes all square. RB Leipzig and 1. FSV Mainz 05 share the spoils 0-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.7 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig38% Draw26% 1. FSV Mainz 0536%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
64%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
62%
RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig31% Draw43% 1. FSV Mainz 0526%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–3 not predicted
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 0
5.7%
0 – 0
5.6%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 12% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 19% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 17% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
23%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.