Sunday , 16 August 2026

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 1 Apr 2023 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz
  • Referee Markus Schuller
  • Referee Max Burda
  • Referee Thomas Gorniak
  • Referee Philipp Huwe
  • Referee Frederick Assmuth
  • Referee Florian Heft
  • Referee Norbert Grudzinski
  • Referee Christian Dingert
  • Referee Guido Kleve
  • Referee Guido Winkmann

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
18 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 A 0–1 L
14 Mar Manchester City FC A 0–7 L
11 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach H 3–0 W
03 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–2 L
25 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Apr RB Leipzig A 3–0 W
19 Mar SC Freiburg H 1–1 D
11 Mar Hertha BSC A 1–1 D
04 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–0 W
24 Feb Borussia Mönchengladbach H 4–0 W
19 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 3–2 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig 1. FSV Mainz 05
#9 Position #16
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 9' What a strike from Marcus Ingvartsen! The score is 0-1.
  • 10' Magnificent from Marcus Ingvartsen! That is 43 goals in 316 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' Korea, South international Lee Jaesung has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 35' RB Leipzig seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 37' RB Leipzig receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 37.
  • 42' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 46' The RB Leipzig bench stirs into life. Kevin Kampl is withdrawn and Amadou Haidara gets his opportunity.
  • 51' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 398 goals from 436 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 56' Fresh legs for RB Leipzig! Dani Olmo comes on to replace Andre Silva.
  • 57' GOAL! Ludovic Ajorque fires home to make it 0-3!
  • 61' The referee has no hesitation. Anthony Caci is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Yellow card on 61.
  • 64' Controversy at the stadium! Marcus Ingvartsen argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 66' Andreas Hanche-Olsen is having his name booked by the referee on 66.
  • 67' What a strike from Dominik Kohr! The score is 0-4.
  • 71' The crowd applauds Josko Gvardiol as he leaves the pitch. Mohamed Simakan steps in for RB Leipzig.
  • 76' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Rose might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 78' Aymen Barkok is replacing Marcus Ingvartsen for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
  • 81' RB Leipzig make a change. Konrad Laimer trudges off to be replaced by Lukas Klostermann on 81 minutes.
  • 86' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 88' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Anthony Caci exits the field as Aaron Martin enters on 88.
  • 90' Ludovic Ajorque makes way for Delano Burgzorg at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.62 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 78% + 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig23% Draw35% 1. FSV Mainz 0542%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes31% 0% No69%
Avg goals/match: 1.62
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 78%
22%
± 1.5 48%
52%
± 2.5 22%
78%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
58%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
77%
RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05
65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig14% Draw60% 1. FSV Mainz 0526%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
22.5%
0 – 1
18.4%
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 2
9.3%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 1
3.7%
2 – 0
3.5%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
2.1%
2 – 2
2%
3 – 1
0.8%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 15% 80%
-0.5 20% 80%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 25% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 12% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
38%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
54%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.