RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.
- RB Leipzig 4 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Welz
- Referee Markus Schuller
- Referee Max Burda
- Referee Thomas Gorniak
- Referee Philipp Huwe
- Referee Frederick Assmuth
- Referee Florian Heft
- Referee Norbert Grudzinski
- Referee Christian Dingert
- Referee Guido Kleve
- Referee Guido Winkmann
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Mar | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Mar | Manchester City FC | A | 0–7 | L |
| 11 Mar | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Feb | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr | RB Leipzig | A | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | SC Freiburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Mar | Hertha BSC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Mar | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 4–0 | W |
| 19 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #6 |
| 6 | Points | 7 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 2 / 0 / 2 | W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 1 |
| 9 | Scored | 10 |
| 5 | Conceded | 6 |
| +4 | GD | +4 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 50% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
RB Leipzig
| Antonio Nusa | 2 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G | |
| Rocco Reitz | 1 G |
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 4 G | |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 3 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — RB Leipzig and 1. FSV Mainz 05 get this one started.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 9' What composure from Marcus Ingvartsen! The Denmark international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 10' What a moment for Marcus Ingvartsen! That strike on 10 puts his side firmly in control.
- 15' Aymen Barkok has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' It looks like no one’s ball. RB Leipzig is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. RB Leipzig and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RB Leipzig and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 37' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Kevin Kampl.
- 42' Andreas Hanche-Olsen is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FSV Mainz 05 tonight.
- 46' The crowd applauds Kevin Kampl as he leaves the pitch. Amadou Haidara steps in for RB Leipzig.
- 51' RB Leipzig are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against 1. FSV Mainz 05's shape.
- 56' Andre Silva makes way for Dani Olmo at the 56 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
- 57' Ludovic Ajorque has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 57 minutes.
- 61' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Anthony Caci on 61 minutes.
- 64' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Marcus Ingvartsen gets a Yellow card.
- 66' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 67' GOAL! Dominik Kohr scores on 67.
- 71' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Josko Gvardiol is replaced by Mohamed Simakan on 71 minute.
- 76' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 78' Marcus Ingvartsen makes way for Aymen Barkok at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 81' A tactical swap from RB Leipzig — Lukas Klostermann on, Konrad Laimer off on 81 minutes.
- 86' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is showing some good football. However, 1. FSV Mainz 05 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 88' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Aaron Martin comes on to replace Anthony Caci.
- 90' The whistle greets Ludovic Ajorque as he departs to be replaced by Delano Burgzorg.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for 1. FSV Mainz 05 players.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 39
- 11
- 10
- 4
-
23
Marcel Halstenberg ↓ David Raum 46'
- 27
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Amadou Haidara 46'
-
19
Andre Silva ↓ Dani Olmo 56'
- 17
- 32
Bench
- 13
- 37
-
16
Lukas Klostermann ↑ 81'
-
22
David Raum ↑ 46'
-
7
Dani Olmo ↑ 56'
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↑ 46'
-
2
Mohamed Simakan ↑ 71'
- 25
Coach
Marco Rose
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Aaron Martin 88'
- 31
- 27
- 16
- 8
- 20
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↓ Danny da Costa 78'
- 11
-
6
Anton Stach ↓ Lee Jaesung 78'
- 25
Bench
-
7
Lee Jaesung ↑ 78'
- 1
- 42
-
3
Aaron Martin ↑ 88'
-
21
Danny da Costa ↑ 78'
- 5
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 78'
-
37
Delano Burgzorg ↑ 90'
- 44
Coach
Bo Svensson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 9 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 5 |
| Moussa Niakhate | 4 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Karim Onisiwo | 2 |
| Xavi Simons | 2 |
| Leandro Barreiro Martins | 2 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.64
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05 75% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.42
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
59%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
66%
RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–3 not predicted0 – 3Actual
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 3
4.9%
0 – 0
4.7%
1 – 0
4.7%
2 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
4%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 17% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 19% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 12% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
20%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.