Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 16 Feb 2025 · 18:30 UTC Voith-Arena 15,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 29' Jonathan Burkardt
0–2 49' Nelson Weiper

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Voith-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Assistant 1 Frederick Assmuth
  • Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–2 L
08 Feb SC Freiburg A 0–1 L
01 Feb Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
25 Jan FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
18 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–2 L
15 Jan SV Werder Bremen A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
08 Feb FC Augsburg H 0–0 D
31 Jan SV Werder Bremen A 0–1 L
25 Jan VfB Stuttgart H 2–0 W
19 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
14 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–1 L

Season Stats

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1. FSV Mainz 05
#17 Position #10
26 Points 40
34 Played 34
6 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14
41 Scored 44
72 Conceded 53
-31 GD -9
0.76 PPG 1.18
18% Win % 29%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
3% Clean Sheets
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 this season
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 are 17th (26 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0-15
3/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.05 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Heidenheim 184629% Draw30% 1. FSV Mainz 0541%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 or Draw
59%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
71%
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 or 1. FSV Mainz 05
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Heidenheim 184620% Draw49% 1. FSV Mainz 0531%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
10.9%
0 – 0
10.4%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
4.5%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Heidenheim 1846

Handicap 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 16% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 22% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 keeps clean sheet
25%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.