Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Fortuna Sittard vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
Sat 6 Dec 2025 · 17:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fortuna Sittard vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Van der Eijk
5 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 11.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec AFC Ajax H 1–3 L
29 Nov Heracles Almelo H 1–1 D
22 Nov Sparta Rotterdam A 1–1 D
08 Nov SC Heerenveen H 2–0 W
31 Oct PSV A 2–5 L
25 Oct FC Groningen H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Fortuna Sittard A 3–1 W
02 Dec FC Groningen H 2–0 W
25 Nov Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–2 L
22 Nov SBV Excelsior H 1–2 L
09 Nov FC Utrecht A 1–2 L
05 Nov Galatasaray SK H 0–3 L

Season Stats

Fortuna Sittard AFC Ajax
#6 Position #5
13 Points 14
7 Played 7
4 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 1
13 Scored 21
14 Conceded 9
-1 GD +12
1.86 PPG 2.00
57% Win % 57%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
81% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Fortuna Sittard this season
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Fortuna Sittard are 6th (13 pts). AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fortuna Sittard
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/3
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Fortuna Sittard Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 Fortuna Sittard xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.62 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortuna Sittard21% Draw22% AFC Ajax57%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

Fortuna Sittard or Draw
43%
Draw or AFC Ajax
79%
Fortuna Sittard or AFC Ajax
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortuna Sittard15% Draw36% AFC Ajax49%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 1
7.6%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 2
7.3%
0 – 3
6.1%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 4
4.9%
2 – 3
4.7%
2 – 1
4.2%
0 – 4
4%
0 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Fortuna Sittard

Handicap Fortuna Sittard covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 4% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 9% 84%
-0.5 16% — 84%
+0.5 35% — 65%
+1 35% 20% 45%
+1.5 55% — 45%
+2 55% 19% 26%
+2.5 74% — 26%

Clean Sheet

Fortuna Sittard keeps clean sheet
8% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.