Thursday , 2 July 2026

Fortuna Sittard vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
Sat 6 Dec 2025 · 17:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fortuna Sittard vs AFC AjaxEredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Van der Eijk
4 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec AFC Ajax H 1–3 L
29 Nov Heracles Almelo H 1–1 D
22 Nov Sparta Rotterdam A 1–1 D
08 Nov SC Heerenveen H 2–0 W
31 Oct PSV A 2–5 L
25 Oct FC Groningen H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Fortuna Sittard A 3–1 W
02 Dec FC Groningen H 2–0 W
25 Nov Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–2 L
22 Nov SBV Excelsior H 1–2 L
09 Nov FC Utrecht A 1–2 L
05 Nov Galatasaray SK H 0–3 L

Season Stats

Fortuna Sittard AFC Ajax
#8 Position #2
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Fortuna Sittard are 8th (0 pts). AFC Ajax are 2nd (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Fortuna Sittard Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.53 Fortuna Sittard xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax or Draw 79% + Under 2.5 goals 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortuna Sittard21% Draw34% AFC Ajax45%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes29% 0% No71%
Avg goals/match: 1.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 78%
22%
± 1.5 49%
51%
± 2.5 23%
77%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Fortuna Sittard or Draw
55%
Draw or AFC Ajax
79%
Fortuna Sittard or AFC Ajax
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fortuna Sittard11% Draw59% AFC Ajax30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
22%
0 – 1
20.2%
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 2
11.3%
1 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 1
2.9%
2 – 0
2.5%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
1.8%
0 – 4
1.2%

Asian Handicap — Fortuna Sittard

Handicap Fortuna Sittard covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 12% 84%
-0.5 16% 84%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 27% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 14% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Fortuna Sittard keeps clean sheet
34%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
59%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.