Monday , 17 August 2026

Qarabag Agdam FK vs AFC Ajax, Europe 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2024-25
Thu 24 Oct 2024 · 16:45 UTC Tofiq Bakhramov Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Qarabag Agdam FK vs AFC AjaxEurope at Tofiq Bakhramov Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Nick Walsh
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Oct AFC Ajax H 0–3 L
03 Oct Malmo FF H 1–2 L
26 Sep Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–3 L
28 Aug GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 0–2 L
20 Aug GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 0–3 L
13 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad A 7–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Oct Qarabag Agdam FK A 3–0 W
20 Oct Heracles Almelo A 4–3 W
06 Oct FC Groningen H 3–1 W
03 Oct SK Slavia Praha A 1–1 D
29 Sep RKC Waalwijk A 2–0 W
26 Sep Beşiktaş JK H 4–0 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. AFC Ajax get us underway at Tofiq Bakhramov Stadium.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Qarabağ Ağdam FK and AFC Ajax are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' Julio Romao was booked on 15.
  • 16' It’s a booking for Qarabag Agdam FK player. Elvin Cəfərquliyev gets a card.
  • 20' Poor challenge from Kenneth Taylor. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 22' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Abbas Huseynov.
  • 27' The home supporters are growing impatient. Qarabağ Ağdam FK must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 32' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Qarabağ Ağdam FK that had 252 games and scored 141 goals.
  • 36' What a strike from Kenneth Taylor! The score is 0-1.
  • 41' A quiet spell here at Tofiq Bakhramov Stadium. Qarabağ Ağdam FK seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 45' The referee has no hesitation. Kian Fitz-Jim is booked for AFC Ajax — card on 45.
  • 50' Devyne Rensch has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 55' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 59' The supporters are chanting for Branco van den Boomen. He replaces Kian Fitz-Jim on 59 minute.
  • 64' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 69' Qarabağ Ağdam FK seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 73' Qarabag Agdam FK receives a card for a hard tackle on 73.
  • 74' Wout Weghorst is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the forward.
  • 75' Another substitution for Qarabag Agdam FK to replace Leandro Andrade by Toral Bayramov on 75 minute.
  • 77' Chuba Akpom makes no mistake. The score reads 0-3 and AFC Ajax are in front.
  • 78' Anton Gaaei is ready to make an impact after coming on for Christian Rasmussen at the 78 minute mark.
  • 79' That is a card for Qarabag Agdam FK. Elvin Cəfərquliyev will be fuming at that decision.
  • 81' It’s gonna be a card for Marko Jankovic.
  • 81' Qarabag Agdam FK ring the changes. Yassine Benzia has done his job and it is now time for Emmanuel Addai to step up.
  • 82' Patrick Andrade has so much to prove this time. He replaces Juninho on 82 minute.
  • 84' Aleksey Isaev is replacing Marko Jankovic for the Qarabag Agdam FK side.
  • 86' A change in the AFC Ajax ranks — Wout Weghorst exits the field as Jorthy Mokio enters on 86.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Qarabağ Ağdam FK.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.14 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Qarabag Agdam FK24% Draw26% AFC Ajax50%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Qarabag Agdam FK or Draw
50%
Draw or AFC Ajax
76%
Qarabag Agdam FK or AFC Ajax
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Qarabag Agdam FK19% Draw44% AFC Ajax37%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
8.7%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 0
7%
2 – 1
5.9%
1 – 3
5.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 0
5.1%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Qarabag Agdam FK

Handicap Qarabag Agdam FK covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 22% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
17%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.