Sunday , 15 November 2026

Qarabag Agdam FK vs AFC Ajax, Europe 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2024-25
Thu 24 Oct 2024 · 16:45 UTC Tofiq Bakhramov Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Qarabag Agdam FK vs AFC Ajax — Europe at Tofiq Bakhramov Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Nick Walsh
6 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 15.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Oct AFC Ajax H 0–3 L
03 Oct Malmo FF H 1–2 L
26 Sep Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–3 L
28 Aug GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 0–2 L
20 Aug GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 0–3 L
13 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad A 7–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Oct Qarabag Agdam FK A 3–0 W
20 Oct Heracles Almelo A 4–3 W
06 Oct FC Groningen H 3–1 W
03 Oct SK Slavia Praha A 1–1 D
29 Sep RKC Waalwijk A 2–0 W
26 Sep Beşiktaş JK H 4–0 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.14 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Qarabag Agdam FK24% Draw26% AFC Ajax50%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Qarabag Agdam FK or Draw
50%
Draw or AFC Ajax
76%
Qarabag Agdam FK or AFC Ajax
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Qarabag Agdam FK19% Draw44% AFC Ajax37%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
8.7%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 0
7%
2 – 1
5.9%
1 – 3
5.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 0
5.1%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Qarabag Agdam FK

Handicap Qarabag Agdam FK covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 22% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.