Thursday , 2 July 2026

Qarabag Agdam FK vs AFC Ajax, Europe 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2024-25
Thu 24 Oct 2024 · 16:45 UTC Tofiq Bakhramov Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Qarabag Agdam FK vs AFC AjaxEurope at Tofiq Bakhramov Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Nick Walsh
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Oct AFC Ajax H 0–3 L
03 Oct Malmo FF H 1–2 L
26 Sep Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–3 L
28 Aug GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 0–2 L
20 Aug GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 0–3 L
13 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad A 7–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Oct Qarabag Agdam FK A 3–0 W
20 Oct Heracles Almelo A 4–3 W
06 Oct FC Groningen H 3–1 W
03 Oct SK Slavia Praha A 1–1 D
29 Sep RKC Waalwijk A 2–0 W
26 Sep Besiktas JK H 4–0 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Qarabag Agdam FK to score. At the same time, AFC Ajax does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Qarabag Agdam FK currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Qarabag Agdam FK and AFC Ajax are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 15' The referee calls foul for Julio Romao. He receives a card.
  • 16' Qarabag Agdam FK player sees a card in front of him.
  • 20' AFC Ajax receives a card for a hard tackle on 20.
  • 22' The referee shows Qarabag Agdam FK player a card on 22.
  • 27' Both keepers have barely been tested. Qarabag Agdam FK and AFC Ajax are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 32' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 36' Magnificent from Kenneth Taylor! That is 33 goals in 480 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 41' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kevin Medina is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AFC Ajax.
  • 45' AFC Ajax player sees a card in front of him.
  • 50' AFC Ajax are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 55' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with AFC Ajax winning 100% of all matches.
  • 59' Time for substitution for AFC Ajax. Kian Fitz-Jim is replaced by Branco van den Boomen.
  • 64' AFC Ajax is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 69' Qarabag Agdam FK are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 73' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kevin Medina on 73 minutes.
  • 74' Against the run of play, Wout Weghorst has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 75' It is a substitution in Qarabag Agdam FK team. Leandro Andrade is replaced by Toral Bayramov on 75 minute.
  • 77' Chuba Akpom does the damage! The net is bulging and AFC Ajax surge ahead!
  • 78' The whistle greets Christian Rasmussen as he departs to be replaced by Anton Gaaei.
  • 79' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Elvin Cəfərquliyev on 79 minutes.
  • 81' Marko Jankovic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 81.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Emmanuel Addai. He replaces Yassine Benzia on 81 minute.
  • 82' Qarabag Agdam FK ring the changes. Juninho has done his job and it is now time for Patrick Andrade to step up.
  • 84' A tactical swap from Qarabag Agdam FKAleksey Isaev on, Marko Jankovic off on 84 minutes.
  • 86' The crowd applauds Wout Weghorst as he leaves the pitch. Jorthy Mokio steps in for AFC Ajax.
  • AFC Ajax celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.14 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Qarabag Agdam FK24% Draw26% AFC Ajax50%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Qarabag Agdam FK or Draw
50%
Draw or AFC Ajax
76%
Qarabag Agdam FK or AFC Ajax
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Qarabag Agdam FK19% Draw44% AFC Ajax37%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
8.7%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 0
7%
2 – 1
5.9%
1 – 3
5.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 0
5.1%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Qarabag Agdam FK

Handicap Qarabag Agdam FK covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 22% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
17%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.