Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Ajax vs FC Groningen, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
2 0
Full Time
Tue 2 Dec 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs FC GroningenEredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Bas Nijhuis

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec FC Groningen H 2–0 W
25 Nov Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–2 L
22 Nov SBV Excelsior H 1–2 L
09 Nov FC Utrecht A 1–2 L
05 Nov Galatasaray SK H 0–3 L
01 Nov SC Heerenveen H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec AFC Ajax A 0–2 L
23 Nov PEC Zwolle H 2–2 D
09 Nov NEC A 0–2 L
02 Nov FC Twente '65 H 1–1 D
25 Oct Fortuna Sittard A 2–1 W
19 Oct Sparta Rotterdam H 0–2 L

Season Stats

AFC Ajax FC Groningen
#2 Position #4
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AFC Ajax are 2nd (0 pts). FC Groningen are 4th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

FC Groningen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.55 FC Groningen xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 78% + Under — clean sheet likely 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax49% Draw32% FC Groningen19%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes29% 0% No71%
Avg goals/match: 1.61
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 78%
22%
± 1.5 48%
52%
± 2.5 22%
78%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
82%
Draw or FC Groningen
51%
AFC Ajax or FC Groningen
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax29% Draw60% FC Groningen11%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
22.4%
1 – 0
19.8%
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 2
3.1%
0 – 2
2.7%
3 – 1
2.3%
2 – 2
1.9%
4 – 0
1%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push FC Groningen covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 27% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 13% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
58%
FC Groningen keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.