Sunday , 16 August 2026

AFC Ajax vs FC Groningen, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
2 0
Full Time
Tue 2 Dec 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs FC GroningenEredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Bas Nijhuis

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec FC Groningen H 2–0 W
25 Nov Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–2 L
22 Nov SBV Excelsior H 1–2 L
09 Nov FC Utrecht A 1–2 L
05 Nov Galatasaray SK H 0–3 L
01 Nov SC Heerenveen H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec AFC Ajax A 0–2 L
23 Nov PEC Zwolle H 2–2 D
09 Nov NEC A 0–2 L
02 Nov FC Twente '65 H 1–1 D
25 Oct Fortuna Sittard A 2–1 W
19 Oct Sparta Rotterdam H 0–2 L

Season Stats

AFC Ajax FC Groningen
#8 Position #2
3 Points 6
1 Played 2
1 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 0
2 Scored 3
0 Conceded 1
+2 GD +2
3.00 PPG 3.00
100% Win % 100%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
0% Clean Sheets
FC Groningen this season

AFC Ajax are 8th (3 pts). FC Groningen are 2nd (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Groningen
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

FC Groningen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.43 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.55 FC Groningen xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax57% Draw28% FC Groningen15%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes33% 0% No67%
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
85%
Draw or FC Groningen
43%
AFC Ajax or FC Groningen
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax37% Draw53% FC Groningen10%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
18.7%
0 – 0
16%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 1
6.4%
3 – 0
6.4%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.3%
2 – 2
2.2%
0 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push FC Groningen covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 18% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 28% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 10% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
58%
FC Groningen keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.