Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AFC Ajax vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
1 – 2
Full Time
Sat 22 Nov 2025 · 17:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs SBV Excelsior — Eredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Joey Kooij
5 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 18.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov SBV Excelsior H 1–2 L
09 Nov FC Utrecht A 1–2 L
05 Nov Galatasaray SK H 0–3 L
01 Nov SC Heerenveen H 1–1 D
26 Oct FC Twente '65 A 3–2 W
22 Oct Chelsea FC A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov AFC Ajax A 2–1 W
08 Nov Heracles Almelo H 1–2 L
01 Nov Telstar 1963 A 2–2 D
26 Oct Go Ahead Eagles A 0–2 L
19 Oct Fortuna Sittard H 1–0 W
04 Oct SC Heerenveen A 1–2 L

Season Stats

AFC Ajax SBV Excelsior
#5 Position #7
14 Points 11
7 Played 7
4 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 2
21 Scored 15
9 Conceded 9
+12 GD +6
2.00 PPG 1.57
57% Win % 43%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
29% Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season

AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts). SBV Excelsior are 7th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SBV Excelsior
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SBV Excelsior
Aymen Sliti 3 G 1 A
David Garden 3 G
Irakli Yegoian 2 G 5 A
Noah Naujoks 2 G
Casper Widell 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AFC Ajax and SBV Excelsior get this one started.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

SBV Excelsior Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.18 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax47% Draw24% SBV Excelsior29%
Actual: SBV Excelsior win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
71%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
53%
AFC Ajax or SBV Excelsior
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax38% Draw39% SBV Excelsior23%
Actual: SBV Excelsior win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8.5%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
5.7%
3 – 2
4.8%
1 – 0
4.7%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.4%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push SBV Excelsior covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 15% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 20% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 14% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.