AFC Ajax vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs SBV Excelsior — Eredivisie .
- AFC Ajax 12 games · 25 pts (2026/27)
- SBV Excelsior 12 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Joey Kooij
8 games this season
🟨 4.1/game
⚽ 16.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov | SBV Excelsior | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Nov | FC Utrecht | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Nov | Galatasaray SK | H | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Nov | SC Heerenveen | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Oct | FC Twente '65 | A | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Oct | Chelsea FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov | AFC Ajax | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Nov | Heracles Almelo | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Nov | Telstar 1963 | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Oct | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | Fortuna Sittard | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | SC Heerenveen | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| AFC Ajax | SBV Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #15 |
| 25 | Points | 11 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 7 / 4 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 7 |
| 32 | Scored | 16 |
| 15 | Conceded | 29 |
| +17 | GD | -13 |
| 2.08 | PPG | 0.92 |
| 58% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
17%
Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season
SBV Excelsior this season
AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts). SBV Excelsior are 15th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SBV Excelsior
0-15
1/5
16-30
2/–
31-45
6/6
46-60
1/4
61-75
3/6
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 7 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
SBV Excelsior
| Irakli Yegoian | 3 G | 5 A |
| Aymen Sliti | 3 G | 1 A |
| David Garden | 3 G | |
| Noah Naujoks | 2 G | |
| Casper Widell | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! AFC Ajax vs SBV Excelsior — let the football do the talking.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SBV Excelsior players.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
SBV Excelsior Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 5 |
| Brian Brobbey | 4 |
| Mohammed Kudus | 3 |
| Klaas-Jan Huntelaar | 3 |
| Donny van de Beek | 2 |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 |
| Jorge Sanchez | 2 |
| Nikolas Agrafiotis | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.92
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28
SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: SBV Excelsior win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.2
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
80%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
40%
AFC Ajax or SBV Excelsior
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SBV Excelsior win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.1%
3 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
6.6%
1 – 1
6.4%
3 – 0
6.2%
4 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 2
4.9%
4 – 0
4.5%
1 – 0
4.3%
4 – 2
3.6%
1 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | SBV Excelsior covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -2 | 31% | 19% | 50% |
| -1.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| -1 | 50% | 19% | 31% |
| -0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 8% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.