Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Ajax vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
1 2
Full Time
Sat 22 Nov 2025 · 17:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs SBV ExcelsiorEredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Joey Kooij

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov SBV Excelsior H 1–2 L
09 Nov FC Utrecht A 1–2 L
05 Nov Galatasaray SK H 0–3 L
01 Nov SC Heerenveen H 1–1 D
26 Oct FC Twente '65 A 3–2 W
22 Oct Chelsea FC A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov AFC Ajax A 2–1 W
08 Nov Heracles Almelo H 1–2 L
01 Nov Telstar 1963 A 2–2 D
26 Oct Go Ahead Eagles A 0–2 L
19 Oct Fortuna Sittard H 1–0 W
04 Oct SC Heerenveen A 1–2 L

Season Stats

AFC Ajax SBV Excelsior
#2 Position #13
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AFC Ajax are 2nd (0 pts). SBV Excelsior are 13th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

SBV Excelsior Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.01 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + AFC Ajax or Draw 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax37% Draw34% SBV Excelsior29%
Actual: SBV Excelsior win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 1.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
70%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
63%
AFC Ajax or SBV Excelsior
66%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax24% Draw56% SBV Excelsior20%
Actual: SBV Excelsior win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.7%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
14%
0 – 1
11.8%
2 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
3.1%
3 – 0
2.5%
3 – 1
2.3%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push SBV Excelsior covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 22% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 19% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
42%
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.