AFC Ajax vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs SBV Excelsior — Eredivisie .
- AFC Ajax 7 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
- SBV Excelsior 7 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Joey Kooij
5 games this season
🟨 4.2/game
⚽ 18.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | AFC Ajax | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar 1963 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov | SBV Excelsior | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Nov | FC Utrecht | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Nov | Galatasaray SK | H | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Nov | SC Heerenveen | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Oct | FC Twente '65 | A | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Oct | Chelsea FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov | AFC Ajax | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Nov | Heracles Almelo | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Nov | Telstar 1963 | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Oct | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | Fortuna Sittard | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | SC Heerenveen | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| AFC Ajax | SBV Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #7 |
| 14 | Points | 11 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 4 / 2 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 2 |
| 21 | Scored | 15 |
| 9 | Conceded | 9 |
| +12 | GD | +6 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 1.57 |
| 57% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
29%
Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season
SBV Excelsior this season
AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts). SBV Excelsior are 7th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SBV Excelsior
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Julian Brandt | 4 G | |
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 3 G | 1 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 G |
SBV Excelsior
| Aymen Sliti | 3 G | 1 A |
| David Garden | 3 G | |
| Irakli Yegoian | 2 G | 5 A |
| Noah Naujoks | 2 G | |
| Casper Widell | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AFC Ajax and SBV Excelsior get this one started.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
SBV Excelsior Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 5 |
| Brian Brobbey | 4 |
| Mohammed Kudus | 3 |
| Klaas-Jan Huntelaar | 3 |
| Donny van de Beek | 2 |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 |
| Jorge Sanchez | 2 |
| Nikolas Agrafiotis | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.18
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56
SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: SBV Excelsior win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.74
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
71%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
53%
AFC Ajax or SBV Excelsior
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SBV Excelsior win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8.5%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
5.7%
3 – 2
4.8%
1 – 0
4.7%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.4%
4 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | SBV Excelsior covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 15% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 20% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 14% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

