Sunday , 16 August 2026

AFC Ajax vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
AFC Ajax
1 – 2
Full Time
SBV Excelsior
Sat 22 Nov 2025 · 17:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs SBV Excelsior — Eredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Joey Kooij
3 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 12.7 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AZ 2 6
2 FC Groningen 2 6
3 Go Ahead Eagles 2 4
4 Fortuna Sittard 2 4
5 AFC Ajax 2 4
6 PSV 2 4
7 Feyenoord Rotterdam 2 4
8 SC Heerenveen 2 4
9 SBV Excelsior 2 3
10 NEC 2 3
11 Sparta Rotterdam 2 3
12 FC Twente '65 2 3
13 Telstar 1963 2 3
14 FC Utrecht 2 0
15 PEC Zwolle 2 0
16 ADO Den Haag 2 0
17 Willem II Tilburg 2 0
18 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 2 0

Head-to-Head

4
3
1
AFC Ajax 8 games · Avg 5.5 goals SBV Excelsior
Last 5 meetings
2025-11-22 AFC Ajax 1–2 SBV Excelsior 2024-04-24 AFC Ajax 2–2 SBV Excelsior 2023-08-19 SBV Excelsior 2–2 AFC Ajax 2023-01-29 SBV Excelsior 1–4 AFC Ajax 2022-10-16 AFC Ajax 7–1 SBV Excelsior

Recent Form

AFC Ajax
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov SBV Excelsior H 1–2 L
09 Nov FC Utrecht A 1–2 L
05 Nov Galatasaray SK H 0–3 L
01 Nov SC Heerenveen H 1–1 D
26 Oct FC Twente '65 A 3–2 W
22 Oct Chelsea FC A 1–5 L
SBV Excelsior
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov AFC Ajax A 2–1 W
08 Nov Heracles Almelo H 1–2 L
01 Nov Telstar 1963 A 2–2 D
26 Oct Go Ahead Eagles A 0–2 L
19 Oct Fortuna Sittard H 1–0 W
04 Oct SC Heerenveen A 1–2 L

Season Stats

AFC Ajax SBV Excelsior
#5 Position #9
4 Points 3
2 Played 2
1 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 1
4 Scored 5
2 Conceded 2
+2 GD +3
2.00 PPG 1.50
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
50% Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season

AFC Ajax are 5th (4 pts). SBV Excelsior are 9th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SBV Excelsior
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AFC Ajax and SBV Excelsior get this one started.
  • With this win, SBV Excelsior is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

SBV Excelsior Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Dusan Tadic 5
Brian Brobbey 4
Mohammed Kudus 3
Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 3
Donny van de Beek 2
Kasper Dolberg 2
Jorge Sanchez 2
Nikolas Agrafiotis 2

Head to Head

2025-11-22 AFC Ajax 1–2 SBV Excelsior 2024-04-24 AFC Ajax 2–2 SBV Excelsior 2023-08-19 SBV Excelsior 2–2 AFC Ajax 2023-01-29 SBV Excelsior 1–4 AFC Ajax 2022-10-16 AFC Ajax 7–1 SBV Excelsior

AFC Ajax Form

2025-11-22 AFC Ajax 1–2 SBV Excelsior L 2025-11-09 FC Utrecht 2–1 AFC Ajax L 2025-11-05 AFC Ajax 0–3 Galatasaray SK L 2025-11-01 AFC Ajax 1–1 SC Heerenveen D 2025-10-26 FC Twente '65 2–3 AFC Ajax W 2025-10-22 Chelsea FC 5–1 AFC Ajax L

SBV Excelsior Form

2025-11-22 AFC Ajax 1–2 SBV Excelsior W 2025-11-08 SBV Excelsior 1–2 Heracles Almelo L 2025-11-01 Telstar 1963 2–2 SBV Excelsior D 2025-10-26 Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 SBV Excelsior L 2025-10-19 SBV Excelsior 1–0 Fortuna Sittard W 2025-10-04 SC Heerenveen 2–1 SBV Excelsior L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.67 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax or SBV Excelsior 73% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax39% Draw27% SBV Excelsior34%
Actual: SBV Excelsior win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.22
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
66%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
61%
AFC Ajax or SBV Excelsior
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax30% Draw43% SBV Excelsior27%
Actual: SBV Excelsior win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
5.6%
2 – 0
5.5%
0 – 1
5.4%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push SBV Excelsior covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 17% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.