Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Ajax vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Champions League 2025-26 LEAGUE STAGE

Tue 25 Nov 2025 · 17:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–2 L
22 Nov SBV Excelsior H 1–2 L
09 Nov FC Utrecht A 1–2 L
05 Nov Galatasaray SK H 0–3 L
01 Nov SC Heerenveen H 1–1 D
26 Oct FC Twente '65 A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov AFC Ajax A 2–0 W
09 Nov Casa Pia AC H 2–2 D
05 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
01 Nov Vitória SC A 3–0 W
25 Oct FC Arouca H 5–0 W
21 Oct Newcastle United FC A 0–3 L

Season Stats

AFC Ajax Sport Lisboa e Benfica
#32 Position #24
6 Points 9
8 Played 8
2 / 0 / 6 W / D / L 3 / 0 / 5
8 Scored 10
21 Conceded 12
-13 GD -2
0.75 PPG 1.13
25% Win % 38%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
20% Clean Sheets
Sport Lisboa e Benfica this season

AFC Ajax are 32nd (6 pts). Sport Lisboa e Benfica are 24th (9 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

Sport Lisboa e Benfica Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.85 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79 Sport Lisboa e Benfica xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax21% Draw26% Sport Lisboa e Benfica53%
Actual: Sport Lisboa e Benfica win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
47%
Draw or Sport Lisboa e Benfica
79%
AFC Ajax or Sport Lisboa e Benfica
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax14% Draw45% Sport Lisboa e Benfica41%
Actual: Sport Lisboa e Benfica win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
11.9%
1 – 1
11.7%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
9%
0 – 3
6.5%
1 – 3
5.7%
1 – 0
5.1%
2 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 4
2.9%
1 – 4
2.6%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push Sport Lisboa e Benfica covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 11% 84%
-0.5 16% 84%
+0.5 42% 58%
+1 42% 24% 34%
+1.5 66% 34%
+2 66% 18% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
18%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica keeps clean sheet
43%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.