Plymouth Argyle FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2024-25

Plymouth Argyle FC

2 – 3

Full Time

Derby County FC

Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Home Park 16,978 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 11' Marcus Harness

0–2 26' Harrison Armstrong

Mustapha Bundu 38' 1–2

Nathaniel Phillips og 46' 2–2

2–3 88' Marcus Harness

Y 45' Nathaniel Phillips

Y 58' Liam Thompson

Y 80' Ebou Adams

Overview

Match Preview

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Home Park.

Plymouth Argyle FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 6 games · 4 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee John Busby
Assistant 1 Mark Russell
Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	West Bromwich Albion FC	6	13
2	West Ham United FC	6	11
3	Swansea City AFC	6	11
4	Queens Park Rangers FC	6	11
5	Charlton Athletic FC	6	11
6	Middlesbrough FC	5	10
7	Bristol City FC	5	10
8	Millwall FC	5	9
9	Norwich City FC	6	9
10	Sheffield United FC	6	9
11	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	5	8
12	Watford FC	6	8
13	Southampton FC	6	7
14	Wrexham AFC	6	7
15	Birmingham City FC	6	7
16	Stoke City FC	6	7
17	Portsmouth FC	5	6
18	Blackburn Rovers FC	6	5
19	Lincoln City FC	5	5
20	Cardiff City FC	6	4
21	Bolton Wanderers FC	6	4
22	Derby County FC	6	4
23	Burnley FC	6	3
24	Preston North End FC	6	3

Head-to-Head

Plymouth Argyle FC 4 games · Avg 3.8 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-15 Plymouth Argyle FC 2–3 Derby County FC 2024-11-09 Derby County FC 1–1 Plymouth Argyle FC 2023-03-07 Plymouth Argyle FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2022-09-03 Derby County FC 2–3 Plymouth Argyle FC

Recent Form

Plymouth Argyle FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Mar	Derby County FC	H	2–3	L
12 Mar	Portsmouth FC	A	2–1	W
08 Mar	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	0–3	L
04 Mar	Hull City AFC	A	0–2	L
01 Mar	Manchester City FC	A	1–3	L
22 Feb	Cardiff City FC	H	1–1	D

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Mar	Plymouth Argyle FC	A	3–2	W
11 Mar	Coventry City FC	H	2–0	W
08 Mar	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	2–1	W
01 Mar	Middlesbrough FC	A	0–1	L
22 Feb	Millwall FC	H	0–1	L
14 Feb	Queens Park Rangers FC	A	0–4	L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

17% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC

0-15

–/2

16-30

3/2

31-45

–/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/1

76+

–/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC

Samuel Szmodics	2 G
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A
Bobby Clark	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Home Park as Plymouth Argyle FC face off against Derby County FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' Ebou Adams has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 12 appearances.
10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
11' Marcus Harness puts Derby County FC on the lead.
16' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Plymouth Argyle FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
21' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
26' Against the run of play, Harrison Armstrong has scored! This game has turned on its head.
31' It is a cagey affair so far. Plymouth Argyle FC in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact 3-5-2.
36' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
38' GOAL! Mustapha Bundu scores on 38.
43' The home supporters are growing impatient. Plymouth Argyle FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
45' That is a card for Derby County FC. Nathaniel Phillips will be fuming at that decision.
46' Nathaniel Phillips adds to his 0 season tally! Derby County FC lead 1-3 — and this changes everything.
51' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
56' Sondre Langas is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
58' The referee shows Derby County FC player a card on 58.
61' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Liam Thompson is replaced by Kayden Jackson.
63' A tactical swap from Plymouth Argyle FC — Michael Obafemi on, Callum Wright off on 63 minutes.
68' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
72' Joe Edwards has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bali Mumba on 72 minute.
74' The whistle greets Kane Wilson as he departs to be replaced by Sondre Langas.
79' With 0 assists to his name this season, Matt Clarke is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Plymouth Argyle FC.
80' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Ebou Adams gets a card.
84' Rami Hajal gets the nod from Plymouth Argyle FC. He replaces Kornel Szucs and will look to change the dynamic.
88' Marcus Harness with the second goal in the match!
Full Time. Derby County FC beats Plymouth Argyle FC

Lineups

Plymouth Argyle FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

4
Jordan Houghton
2
Bali Mumba ↓ Joe Edwards 72'
21
Conor Hazard
9
Ryan Hardie
25
Nikola Katic
17
Tymoteusz Puchacz ↓ Nathanael Ogbeta 72'
15
Mustapha Bundu
11
Callum Wright ↓ Michael Obafemi 63'
40
Maksym Taloverov
18
Darko Gyabi ↓ Malachi Boateng 72'
6
Kornel Szucs ↓ Rami Hajal 84'

Bench

Derby County FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach John Eustace

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing	2
Sam Cosgrove	2
Marcus Harness	2
Harrison Armstrong	1
Mustapha Bundu	1
James Collins	1
Morgan Whittaker	1
Ryan Hardie	1

Head to Head

Plymouth Argyle FC Form

2025-03-15 Plymouth Argyle FC 2–3 Derby County FC L 2025-03-12 Portsmouth FC 1–2 Plymouth Argyle FC W 2025-03-08 Plymouth Argyle FC 0–3 Sheffield Wednesday FC L 2025-03-04 Hull City AFC 2–0 Plymouth Argyle FC L 2025-03-01 Manchester City FC 3–1 Plymouth Argyle FC L 2025-02-22 Plymouth Argyle FC 1–1 Cardiff City FC D

Derby County FC Form

2025-03-15 Plymouth Argyle FC 2–3 Derby County FC W 2025-03-11 Derby County FC 2–0 Coventry City FC W 2025-03-08 Derby County FC 2–1 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2025-03-01 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2025-02-22 Derby County FC 0–1 Millwall FC L 2025-02-14 Queens Park Rangers FC 4–0 Derby County FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.57 Plymouth Argyle FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.52 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Plymouth Argyle FC or Derby County FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Plymouth Argyle FC38% Draw27% Derby County FC35%

Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.09

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

Plymouth Argyle FC or Draw

65%

Draw or Derby County FC

62%

Plymouth Argyle FC or Derby County FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Plymouth Argyle FC29% Draw44% Derby County FC27%

Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

11.8%

2 – 1

8.2%

1 – 2

7.9%

1 – 0

6.4%

0 – 0

6.3%

2 – 2

6.2%

0 – 1

6.1%

2 – 0

5.6%

0 – 2

5.2%

3 – 1

4.3%

1 – 3

3 – 2

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Plymouth Argyle FC

Handicap	Plymouth Argyle FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	19%	62%
-0.5	38%	—	62%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	18%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	11%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.