Saturday , 14 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Coventry City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 11 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC Pride Park Stadium 28,879 HT 45' · FT 45'
Matt Clarke 23' 1–0
Marcus Harness 48' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Coventry City FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Samuel Allison
  • Assistant 1 George Byrne
  • Assistant 2 Ian Cooper
5 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 13.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Coventry City FC H 2–0 W
08 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC H 2–1 W
01 Mar Middlesbrough FC A 0–1 L
22 Feb Millwall FC H 0–1 L
14 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–4 L
11 Feb Oxford United FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Derby County FC A 0–2 L
08 Mar Stoke City FC H 3–2 W
01 Mar Oxford United FC A 3–2 W
22 Feb Preston North End FC H 2–1 W
15 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–1 W
11 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Pride Park Stadium!
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Josh Eccles is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Coventry City FC.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Coventry City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 23' Derby County FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Matt Clarke on 23.
  • 28' A meaty challenge results in booking for Harrison Armstrong on 28.
  • 33' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Coventry City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 38' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 43' Derby County FC currently sit 22 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 46' Coventry City FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 48' What composure from Marcus Harness! The Ireland international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 53' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 54' The referee calls foul for Marcus Harness. He receives a card.
  • 59' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. John Eustace will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 64' Ephron Mason-Clark is replacing Ellis Simms for the Coventry City FC side.
  • 69' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 71' The Coventry City FC manager makes a substitution. Josh Eccles departs to be replaced by Norman Bassette.
  • 76' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Coventry City FC backline.
  • 81' Coventry City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 86' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 88' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Jerry Yates is withdrawn and Kayden Jackson gets his opportunity.
  • 90' Another change for Derby County FC made on 90 minute. Liam Thompson leaves to be changed by Kenzo Goudmijn.
  • Coventry City FC will have plenty to reflect on. Derby County FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Coventry City FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC45% Draw29% Coventry City FC26%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Coventry City FC
55%
Derby County FC or Coventry City FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC31% Draw50% Coventry City FC19%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
11.7%
0 – 0
11.5%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Coventry City FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 23% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
Coventry City FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.