Middlesbrough FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Riverside Stadium.
- Middlesbrough FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Gavin Ward
- Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
- Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)
6 games this season
🟨 3.8/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | Derby County FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | Stoke City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Feb | Bristol City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Feb | Watford FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Feb | Sheffield United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 03 Feb | Sunderland AFC | H | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | Middlesbrough FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Feb | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Feb | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 11 Feb | Oxford United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | Sheffield United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Middlesbrough FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #23 |
| 29 | Points | 10 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 8 / 5 / 2 | W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 9 |
| 30 | Scored | 14 |
| 19 | Conceded | 30 |
| +11 | GD | -16 |
| 1.93 | PPG | 0.67 |
| 53% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (29 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/4
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 13 G | |
| Amario Cozier-Duberry | 3 G | 4 A |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Middlesbrough FC gets underway.
- 5' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Finn Azaz has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' Middlesbrough FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 19' That looks like a foul for a card for Thomas Barkhuizen.
- 24' Kenzo Goudmijn is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
- 29' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 34' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Middlesbrough FC that had 397 games and scored 498 goals.
- 44' Middlesbrough FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 49' Middlesbrough FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 54' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 59' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 62' A change in the Middlesbrough FC ranks — Luke Ayling exits the field as Ryan John Giles enters on 62.
- 65' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Liam Thompson on, Thomas Barkhuizen off on 65 minutes.
- 70' A quiet spell here at Riverside Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 72' The whistle greets Marcus Forss as he departs to be replaced by Kelechi Iheanacho.
- 76' The whistle greets Jerry Yates as he departs to be replaced by Lars-Jorgen Salvesen.
- 80' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Finn Azaz makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 81' Finn Azaz picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 84' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Kayden Jackson is replaced by Kemar Roofe on 84 minute.
- 89' Middlesbrough FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
- 90' Craig Forsyth was booked on 90.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for Middlesbrough FC and Derby County FC (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 32
- 21
- 6
-
12
Luke Ayling ↓ Ryan John Giles 62'
- 15
- 30
- 11
- 7
- 18
-
20
Finn Azaz ↓ Delano Burgzorg 84'
- 22
Bench
-
9
Kelechi Iheanacho ↑ 72'
-
28
Ryan John Giles ↑ 62'
- 4
-
10
Delano Burgzorg ↑ 84'
- 23
-
29
Samuel Iling-Junior ↑ 84'
- 16
- 49
- 47
- 46
Coach
Michael Carrick
Derby County FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3
-
18
Marcus Harness ↓ Kenzo Goudmijn 76'
-
19
Kayden Jackson ↓ Kemar Roofe 84'
- 24
- 10
- 32
- 20
- 1
- 7
- 6
-
28
Harrison Armstrong ↓ Ben Osborn 76'
Bench
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↑ 76'
-
8
Ben Osborn ↑ 76'
-
9
Kemar Roofe ↑ 84'
- 31
-
15
Lars-Jorgen Salvesen ↑ 76'
- 12
-
16
Liam Thompson ↑ 65'
- 21
- 38
Coach
John Eustace
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Lawrence | 2 |
| Colin Kazim-Richards | 1 |
| Jordan Hugill | 1 |
| Neeskens Kebano | 1 |
| Max Bird | 1 |
| Duane Holmes | 1 |
| Aaron Connolly | 1 |
| Jason Knight | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
Derby County FC Form
2025-03-01
Middlesbrough FC
1–0
Derby County FC
L
2025-02-22
Derby County FC
0–1
Millwall FC
L
2025-02-14
Queens Park Rangers FC
4–0
Derby County FC
L
2025-02-11
Derby County FC
0–0
Oxford United FC
D
2025-02-08
Norwich City FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2025-02-01
Derby County FC
0–1
Sheffield United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.26
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Middlesbrough FC to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Derby County FC
34%
Middlesbrough FC or Derby County FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 1
9%
3 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
6.5%
4 – 0
5.2%
4 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 1
3%
1 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -2 | 26% | 21% | 52% |
| -1.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| -1 | 48% | 23% | 29% |
| -0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

