Saturday , 14 November 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Riverside Stadium 25,839 HT 45' · FT 45'
Finn Azaz 80' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Riverside Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Gavin Ward
  • Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
  • Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)
6 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Derby County FC H 1–0 W
25 Feb Stoke City FC A 3–1 W
21 Feb Bristol City FC A 1–2 L
15 Feb Watford FC H 0–1 L
12 Feb Sheffield United FC A 1–3 L
03 Feb Sunderland AFC H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Middlesbrough FC A 0–1 L
22 Feb Millwall FC H 0–1 L
14 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–4 L
11 Feb Oxford United FC H 0–0 D
08 Feb Norwich City FC A 1–1 D
01 Feb Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Derby County FC
#2 Position #23
29 Points 10
15 Played 15
8 / 5 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 4 / 9
30 Scored 14
19 Conceded 30
+11 GD -16
1.93 PPG 0.67
53% Win % 13%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (29 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/4
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 13 G
Amario Cozier-Duberry 3 G 4 A
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Middlesbrough FC gets underway.
  • 5' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Finn Azaz has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Middlesbrough FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 19' That looks like a foul for a card for Thomas Barkhuizen.
  • 24' Kenzo Goudmijn is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
  • 29' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 34' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Middlesbrough FC that had 397 games and scored 498 goals.
  • 44' Middlesbrough FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 49' Middlesbrough FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 54' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 59' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 62' A change in the Middlesbrough FC ranks — Luke Ayling exits the field as Ryan John Giles enters on 62.
  • 65' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Liam Thompson on, Thomas Barkhuizen off on 65 minutes.
  • 70' A quiet spell here at Riverside Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 72' The whistle greets Marcus Forss as he departs to be replaced by Kelechi Iheanacho.
  • 76' The whistle greets Jerry Yates as he departs to be replaced by Lars-Jorgen Salvesen.
  • 80' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Finn Azaz makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 81' Finn Azaz picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Kayden Jackson is replaced by Kemar Roofe on 84 minute.
  • 89' Middlesbrough FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
  • 90' Craig Forsyth was booked on 90.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Middlesbrough FC and Derby County FC (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.26 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Middlesbrough FC to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC66% Draw20% Derby County FC14%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Derby County FC
34%
Middlesbrough FC or Derby County FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC51% Draw40% Derby County FC9%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 1
9%
3 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
6.5%
4 – 0
5.2%
4 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 1
3%
1 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 26% — 74%
-2 26% 21% 52%
-1.5 48% — 52%
-1 48% 23% 29%
-0.5 71% — 29%
+0.5 90% — 10%
+1 90% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
48% ✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.