Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Riverside Stadium 25,839 HT 45' · FT 45'
Finn Azaz 80' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Riverside Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Gavin Ward
  • Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
  • Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)
5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 6.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Derby County FC H 1–0 W
25 Feb Stoke City FC A 3–1 W
21 Feb Bristol City FC A 1–2 L
15 Feb Watford FC H 0–1 L
12 Feb Sheffield United FC A 1–3 L
03 Feb Sunderland AFC H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Middlesbrough FC A 0–1 L
22 Feb Millwall FC H 0–1 L
14 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–4 L
11 Feb Oxford United FC H 0–0 D
08 Feb Norwich City FC A 1–1 D
01 Feb Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Derby County FC
#3 Position #22
15 Points 5
8 Played 8
4 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 5
16 Scored 7
12 Conceded 14
+4 GD -7
1.88 PPG 0.63
50% Win % 13%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 6 G
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Middlesbrough FC host Derby County FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Riverside Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' Middlesbrough FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
  • 19' Derby County FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 24' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 29' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 34' Middlesbrough FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 39' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 44' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 49' The energy levels are beginning to show. Michael Carrick might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 54' Middlesbrough FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 59' It looks like no one’s ball. Middlesbrough FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 62' Ryan John Giles is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luke Ayling at the 62 minute mark.
  • 65' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Thomas Barkhuizen is replaced by Liam Thompson.
  • 70' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 72' Another substitution for Middlesbrough FC to replace Marcus Forss by Kelechi Iheanacho on 72 minute.
  • 76' The crowd applauds Jerry Yates as he leaves the pitch. Lars-Jorgen Salvesen steps in for Derby County FC.
  • 80' Finn Azaz makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Middlesbrough FC are in front.
  • 81' Poor challenge from Finn Azaz. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 84' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Kemar Roofe comes on to replace Kayden Jackson.
  • 89' Lars-Jorgen Salvesen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Craig Forsyth on 90.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Middlesbrough FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.09 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Middlesbrough FC to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC63% Draw22% Derby County FC15%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Derby County FC
37%
Middlesbrough FC or Derby County FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC47% Draw42% Derby County FC11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.1%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
6.5%
4 – 0
4.3%
0 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.7%
1 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 20% 58%
-1.5 42% — 58%
-1 42% 24% 34%
-0.5 66% — 34%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.