Sunday , 16 August 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Riverside Stadium 25,839 HT 45' · FT 45'
Finn Azaz 80' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Derby County FCChampionship at Riverside Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Gavin Ward
  • Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
  • Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Derby County FC H 1–0 W
25 Feb Stoke City FC A 3–1 W
21 Feb Bristol City FC A 1–2 L
15 Feb Watford FC H 0–1 L
12 Feb Sheffield United FC A 1–3 L
03 Feb Sunderland AFC H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Middlesbrough FC A 0–1 L
22 Feb Millwall FC H 0–1 L
14 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–4 L
11 Feb Oxford United FC H 0–0 D
08 Feb Norwich City FC A 1–1 D
01 Feb Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Derby County FC
#10 Position #23
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Middlesbrough FC are 10th (0 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Riverside Stadium as Middlesbrough FC face off against Derby County FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Jerry Yates, a England forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 19' A meaty challenge results in booking for Thomas Barkhuizen on 19.
  • 24' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 29' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 34' Anfernee Dijksteel is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Middlesbrough FC tonight.
  • 39' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 44' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 44 minutes.
  • 49' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 54' It looks surprising Middlesbrough FC does not make any changes. Kemar Roofe has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 59' Mark Travers has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 62' The crowd applauds Luke Ayling as he leaves the pitch. Ryan John Giles steps in for Middlesbrough FC.
  • 65' Another change for Derby County FC made on 65 minute. Thomas Barkhuizen leaves to be changed by Liam Thompson.
  • 70' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 72' Time for substitution for Middlesbrough FC. Marcus Forss is replaced by Kelechi Iheanacho.
  • 76' Jerry Yates makes way for Lars-Jorgen Salvesen at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • 80' GOAL! Finn Azaz fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 81' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Finn Azaz.
  • 84' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Kemar Roofe comes on to replace Kayden Jackson.
  • 89' Neto Borges has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 316 appearances.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Craig Forsyth gets a card.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.7 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.35 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 90% + Middlesbrough FC or Draw 83%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC43% Draw40% Derby County FC17%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes17% 0% No83%
Avg goals/match: 1.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 62%
38%
± 1.5 29%
71%
± 2.5 10%
90%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Derby County FC
57%
Middlesbrough FC or Derby County FC
60%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC21% Draw71% Derby County FC8%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
37.5%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.4%
1 – 1
9.8%
2 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
1.8%
0 – 2
1.8%
1 – 2
1.6%
3 – 1
0.9%
2 – 2
0.7%
4 – 0
0.3%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 9% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 26% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 12% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
70%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
50%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.