Middlesbrough FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Riverside Stadium.
- Middlesbrough FC 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Gavin Ward
- Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
- Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)
5 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 6.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | Derby County FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | Stoke City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Feb | Bristol City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Feb | Watford FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Feb | Sheffield United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 03 Feb | Sunderland AFC | H | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | Middlesbrough FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Feb | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Feb | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 11 Feb | Oxford United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | Sheffield United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Middlesbrough FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #22 |
| 15 | Points | 5 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 5 |
| 16 | Scored | 7 |
| 12 | Conceded | 14 |
| +4 | GD | -7 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 0.63 |
| 50% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 6 G |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Middlesbrough FC host Derby County FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' A quiet spell here at Riverside Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 15' Middlesbrough FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
- 19' Derby County FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 24' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 29' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 34' Middlesbrough FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 39' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 44' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 49' The energy levels are beginning to show. Michael Carrick might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 54' Middlesbrough FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 59' It looks like no one’s ball. Middlesbrough FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 62' Ryan John Giles is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luke Ayling at the 62 minute mark.
- 65' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Thomas Barkhuizen is replaced by Liam Thompson.
- 70' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 72' Another substitution for Middlesbrough FC to replace Marcus Forss by Kelechi Iheanacho on 72 minute.
- 76' The crowd applauds Jerry Yates as he leaves the pitch. Lars-Jorgen Salvesen steps in for Derby County FC.
- 80' Finn Azaz makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Middlesbrough FC are in front.
- 81' Poor challenge from Finn Azaz. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 84' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Kemar Roofe comes on to replace Kayden Jackson.
- 89' Lars-Jorgen Salvesen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Craig Forsyth on 90.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Middlesbrough FC players.
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 32
- 21
- 6
-
12
Luke Ayling ↓ Ryan John Giles 62'
- 15
- 30
- 11
- 7
- 18
-
20
Finn Azaz ↓ Delano Burgzorg 84'
- 22
Bench
-
9
Kelechi Iheanacho ↑ 72'
-
28
Ryan John Giles ↑ 62'
- 4
-
10
Delano Burgzorg ↑ 84'
- 23
-
29
Samuel Iling-Junior ↑ 84'
- 16
- 49
- 47
- 46
Coach
Michael Carrick
Derby County FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3
-
18
Marcus Harness ↓ Kenzo Goudmijn 76'
-
19
Kayden Jackson ↓ Kemar Roofe 84'
- 24
- 10
- 32
- 20
- 1
- 7
- 6
-
28
Harrison Armstrong ↓ Ben Osborn 76'
Bench
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↑ 76'
-
8
Ben Osborn ↑ 76'
-
9
Kemar Roofe ↑ 84'
- 31
-
15
Lars-Jorgen Salvesen ↑ 76'
- 12
-
16
Liam Thompson ↑ 65'
- 21
- 38
Coach
John Eustace
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Lawrence | 2 |
| Matt Clarke | 1 |
| Kayden Jackson | 1 |
| Marvin Johnson | 1 |
| Finn Azaz | 1 |
| Jayden Bogle | 1 |
| Britt Assombalonga | 1 |
| George Friend | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
Derby County FC Form
2025-03-01
Middlesbrough FC
1–0
Derby County FC
L
2025-02-22
Derby County FC
0–1
Millwall FC
L
2025-02-14
Queens Park Rangers FC
4–0
Derby County FC
L
2025-02-11
Derby County FC
0–0
Oxford United FC
D
2025-02-08
Norwich City FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2025-02-01
Derby County FC
0–1
Sheffield United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.09
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Middlesbrough FC to win 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Derby County FC
37%
Middlesbrough FC or Derby County FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.1%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
6.5%
4 – 0
4.3%
0 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.7%
1 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 20% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 24% | 34% |
| -0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

