Thursday , 2 July 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Middlesbrough FC
1 – 0
Full Time
Derby County FC
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Riverside Stadium 25,839 HT 45' · FT 45'
Finn Azaz 80' 1–0
Y 19' Thomas Barkhuizen
Finn Azaz 81' Y
Y 90' Craig Forsyth

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Riverside Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Gavin Ward
  • Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
  • Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Millwall FC 46 83
4 Southampton FC 46 80
5 Middlesbrough FC 46 80
6 Hull City AFC 46 73
7 Wrexham AFC 46 71
8 Derby County FC 46 69
9 Norwich City FC 46 65
10 Birmingham City FC 46 64
11 Swansea City AFC 46 64
12 Bristol City FC 46 62
13 Sheffield United FC 46 60
14 Preston North End FC 46 60
15 Queens Park Rangers FC 46 58
16 Watford FC 46 57
17 Stoke City FC 46 55
18 Portsmouth FC 46 55
19 Charlton Athletic FC 46 53
20 Blackburn Rovers FC 46 52
21 West Bromwich Albion FC 46 51
22 Oxford United FC 46 47
23 Leicester City FC 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

4
4
4
Middlesbrough FC 12 games · Avg 2.3 goals Derby County FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-01 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2024-08-17 Derby County FC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC 2022-02-12 Middlesbrough FC 4–1 Derby County FC 2021-08-21 Derby County FC 0–0 Middlesbrough FC 2021-02-13 Derby County FC 2–1 Middlesbrough FC

Recent Form

Middlesbrough FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Derby County FC H 1–0 W
25 Feb Stoke City FC A 3–1 W
21 Feb Bristol City FC A 1–2 L
15 Feb Watford FC H 0–1 L
12 Feb Sheffield United FC A 1–3 L
03 Feb Sunderland AFC H 2–3 L
Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Middlesbrough FC A 0–1 L
22 Feb Millwall FC H 0–1 L
14 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–4 L
11 Feb Oxford United FC H 0–0 D
08 Feb Norwich City FC A 1–1 D
01 Feb Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Derby County FC
#5 Position #8
80 Points 69
46 Played 46
22 / 14 / 10 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17
72 Scored 67
47 Conceded 59
+25 GD +8
1.74 PPG 1.50
48% Win % 43%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Middlesbrough FC have kicked off against Derby County FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Lars-Jorgen Salvesen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 19' Derby County FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 24' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 29' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Carrick will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 34' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 39' The energy levels are beginning to show. John Eustace might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 44' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 49' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 54' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 59' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 62' Ryan John Giles is replacing Luke Ayling for the Middlesbrough FC side.
  • 65' Derby County FC ring the changes. Thomas Barkhuizen has done his job and it is now time for Liam Thompson to step up.
  • 70' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 72' Middlesbrough FC make a change. Marcus Forss trudges off to be replaced by Kelechi Iheanacho on 72 minutes.
  • 76' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Jerry Yates is replaced by Lars-Jorgen Salvesen on 76 minute.
  • 80' What a strike from Finn Azaz! The score is 1-0.
  • 81' The referee calls foul for Finn Azaz. He receives a card.
  • 84' Kemar Roofe is replacing Kayden Jackson for the Derby County FC side.
  • 89' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Craig Forsyth. He receives a card.
  • Middlesbrough FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Carrick

Derby County FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach John Eustace

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Tom Lawrence 2
Paddy McNair 1
Matty Crooks 1
Lewis Wing 1
Lee Buchanan 1
Matt Clarke 1
Kayden Jackson 1
Marvin Johnson 1

Head to Head

2025-03-01 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2024-08-17 Derby County FC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC 2022-02-12 Middlesbrough FC 4–1 Derby County FC 2021-08-21 Derby County FC 0–0 Middlesbrough FC 2021-02-13 Derby County FC 2–1 Middlesbrough FC

Middlesbrough FC Form

2025-03-01 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Derby County FC W 2025-02-25 Stoke City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC W 2025-02-21 Bristol City FC 2–1 Middlesbrough FC L 2025-02-15 Middlesbrough FC 0–1 Watford FC L 2025-02-12 Sheffield United FC 3–1 Middlesbrough FC L 2025-02-03 Middlesbrough FC 2–3 Sunderland AFC L

Derby County FC Form

2025-03-01 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2025-02-22 Derby County FC 0–1 Millwall FC L 2025-02-14 Queens Park Rangers FC 4–0 Derby County FC L 2025-02-11 Derby County FC 0–0 Oxford United FC D 2025-02-08 Norwich City FC 1–1 Derby County FC D 2025-02-01 Derby County FC 0–1 Sheffield United FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.59 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC53% Draw26% Derby County FC21%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Derby County FC
47%
Middlesbrough FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC36% Draw48% Derby County FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.4%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 24% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.