Thursday , 2 July 2026

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Home Park 16,978 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Marcus Harness
0–2 26' Harrison Armstrong
Mustapha Bundu 38' 1–2
Nathaniel Phillips og 46' 2–2
2–3 88' Marcus Harness

Overview

Match Preview

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Derby County FCChampionship at Home Park.

Match Details

  • Referee John Busby
  • Assistant 1 Mark Russell
  • Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Derby County FC H 2–3 L
12 Mar Portsmouth FC A 2–1 W
08 Mar Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–3 L
04 Mar Hull City AFC A 0–2 L
01 Mar Manchester City FC A 1–3 L
22 Feb Cardiff City FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC A 3–2 W
11 Mar Coventry City FC H 2–0 W
08 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC H 2–1 W
01 Mar Middlesbrough FC A 0–1 L
22 Feb Millwall FC H 0–1 L
14 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–4 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Plymouth Argyle FC to score. At the same time, Derby County FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' It’s high time John Eustace made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jerry Yates made 57 appearances and scored 68 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 11' GOAL! Marcus Harness scores on 11. Assisted by Nathaniel Phillips
  • 16' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 21' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jordan Houghton, as he is very good at scoring at Home Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 26' GOAL! Harrison Armstrong scores on 26.
  • 31' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 36' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Plymouth Argyle FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 38' GOAL! Mustapha Bundu scores on 38.
  • 43' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 45' It’s gonna be a card for Nathaniel Phillips.
  • 46' GOAL! Nathaniel Phillips scores on 46.
  • 51' It looks surprising Plymouth Argyle FC does not make any changes. Malachi Boateng has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 58' Liam Thompson was booked on 58.
  • 61' The whistle greets Liam Thompson as he departs to be replaced by Kayden Jackson.
  • 63' Another change for Plymouth Argyle FC made on 63 minute. Callum Wright leaves to be changed by Michael Obafemi.
  • 68' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 68 minutes.
  • 72' The Plymouth Argyle FC manager makes a substitution. Bali Mumba departs to be replaced by Joe Edwards.
  • 74' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Kane Wilson is replaced by Sondre Langas on 74 minute.
  • 79' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Plymouth Argyle FC that had 331 games and scored 402 goals.
  • 80' Derby County FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 80.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Plymouth Argyle FC team. Kornel Szucs is replaced by Rami Hajal on 84 minute.
  • 88' What a strike from Marcus Harness! The score is 1-4.
  • Full Time. Derby County FC beats Plymouth Argyle FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.57 Plymouth Argyle FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Plymouth Argyle FC or Derby County FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Plymouth Argyle FC38% Draw27% Derby County FC35%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Plymouth Argyle FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Derby County FC
62%
Plymouth Argyle FC or Derby County FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Plymouth Argyle FC29% Draw44% Derby County FC27%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
6.4%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
5.6%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Plymouth Argyle FC

Handicap Plymouth Argyle FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 18% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
23%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.