Plymouth Argyle FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Plymouth Argyle FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Home Park.
- Plymouth Argyle FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee John Busby
- Assistant 1 Mark Russell
- Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Derby County FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Mar | Portsmouth FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Mar | Hull City AFC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | Manchester City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Cardiff City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Mar | Coventry City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | Middlesbrough FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Feb | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Feb | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 0–4 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Plymouth Argyle FC to score. At the same time, Derby County FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' It’s high time John Eustace made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jerry Yates made 57 appearances and scored 68 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 11' GOAL! Marcus Harness scores on 11. Assisted by Nathaniel Phillips
- 16' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 21' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jordan Houghton, as he is very good at scoring at Home Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 26' GOAL! Harrison Armstrong scores on 26.
- 31' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 36' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Plymouth Argyle FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 38' GOAL! Mustapha Bundu scores on 38.
- 43' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 45' It’s gonna be a card for Nathaniel Phillips.
- 46' GOAL! Nathaniel Phillips scores on 46.
- 51' It looks surprising Plymouth Argyle FC does not make any changes. Malachi Boateng has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 58' Liam Thompson was booked on 58.
- 61' The whistle greets Liam Thompson as he departs to be replaced by Kayden Jackson.
- 63' Another change for Plymouth Argyle FC made on 63 minute. Callum Wright leaves to be changed by Michael Obafemi.
- 68' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 68 minutes.
- 72' The Plymouth Argyle FC manager makes a substitution. Bali Mumba departs to be replaced by Joe Edwards.
- 74' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Kane Wilson is replaced by Sondre Langas on 74 minute.
- 79' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Plymouth Argyle FC that had 331 games and scored 402 goals.
- 80' Derby County FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 80.
- 84' It is a substitution in Plymouth Argyle FC team. Kornel Szucs is replaced by Rami Hajal on 84 minute.
- 88' What a strike from Marcus Harness! The score is 1-4.
- Full Time. Derby County FC beats Plymouth Argyle FC
Lineups
Plymouth Argyle FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4
-
2
Bali Mumba ↓ Joe Edwards 72'
- 21
- 9
- 25
- 17
- 15
-
11
Callum Wright ↓ Michael Obafemi 63'
- 40
-
18
Darko Gyabi ↓ Malachi Boateng 72'
-
6
Kornel Szucs ↓ Rami Hajal 84'
Bench
-
8
Joe Edwards ↑ 72'
- 44
-
14
Michael Obafemi ↑ 63'
- 31
-
28
Rami Hajal ↑ 84'
-
3
Nathanael Ogbeta ↑ 72'
- 34
- 35
-
19
Malachi Boateng ↑ 72'
Derby County FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 25
- 3
- 18
-
2
Kane Wilson ↓ Sondre Langas 74'
- 10
- 32
- 20
- 12
-
16
Liam Thompson ↓ Kayden Jackson 61'
- 1
- 28
Bench
- 17
- 29
-
19
Kayden Jackson ↑ 61'
- 24
- 31
- 21
- 7
-
6
Sondre Langas ↑ 74'
- 38
Coach
John Eustace
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marcus Harness | 2 |
| Nathaniel Mendez-Laing | 2 |
| Sam Cosgrove | 2 |
| Callum Wright | 1 |
| Jerry Yates | 1 |
| Adam Randell | 1 |
| Harrison Armstrong | 1 |
| Mustapha Bundu | 1 |
Head to Head
Plymouth Argyle FC Form
2025-03-15
Plymouth Argyle FC
2–3
Derby County FC
L
2025-03-12
Portsmouth FC
1–2
Plymouth Argyle FC
W
2025-03-08
Plymouth Argyle FC
0–3
Sheffield Wednesday FC
L
2025-03-04
Hull City AFC
2–0
Plymouth Argyle FC
L
2025-03-01
Manchester City FC
3–1
Plymouth Argyle FC
L
2025-02-22
Plymouth Argyle FC
1–1
Cardiff City FC
D
Derby County FC Form
2025-03-15
Plymouth Argyle FC
2–3
Derby County FC
W
2025-03-11
Derby County FC
2–0
Coventry City FC
W
2025-03-08
Derby County FC
2–1
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
2025-03-01
Middlesbrough FC
1–0
Derby County FC
L
2025-02-22
Derby County FC
0–1
Millwall FC
L
2025-02-14
Queens Park Rangers FC
4–0
Derby County FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.57
Plymouth Argyle FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Plymouth Argyle FC or Derby County FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Plymouth Argyle FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Derby County FC
62%
Plymouth Argyle FC or Derby County FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
6.4%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
5.6%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Plymouth Argyle FC
| Handicap | Plymouth Argyle FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 19% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

