Plymouth Argyle FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Plymouth Argyle FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Home Park.
- Plymouth Argyle FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee John Busby
- Assistant 1 Mark Russell
- Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg
4 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 8.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Derby County FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Mar | Portsmouth FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Mar | Hull City AFC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | Manchester City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Cardiff City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Mar | Coventry City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | Middlesbrough FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Feb | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Feb | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 0–4 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Home Park!
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. John Eustace might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' Plymouth Argyle FC currently sit 24 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 11' The deadlock is broken! Marcus Harness gets on the scoresheet on 11 minutes.
- 16' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 21' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 26' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Harrison Armstrong makes it 0-2.
- 31' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 36' Jerry Yates has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 38' The deadlock is broken! Mustapha Bundu gets on the scoresheet on 38 minutes.
- 43' Derby County FC have won 459 goals from 393 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 45' Poor challenge from Nathaniel Phillips. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 46' What a moment for Nathaniel Phillips! That strike on 46 puts his side firmly in control.
- 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 56' It’s high time John Eustace made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 58' Poor challenge from Liam Thompson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 61' Kayden Jackson is replacing Liam Thompson for the Derby County FC side.
- 63' Michael Obafemi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Callum Wright at the 63 minute mark.
- 68' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Plymouth Argyle FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 72' The Plymouth Argyle FC bench stirs into life. Bali Mumba is withdrawn and Joe Edwards gets his opportunity.
- 74' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Kane Wilson is withdrawn and Sondre Langas gets his opportunity.
- 79' Liam Thompson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 80' Ebou Adams has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 80.
- 84' Rami Hajal is replacing Kornel Szucs for the Plymouth Argyle FC side.
- 88' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Marcus Harness makes no mistake. 1-4!
- Plymouth Argyle FC will have plenty to reflect on. Derby County FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Plymouth Argyle FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4
-
2
Bali Mumba ↓ Joe Edwards 72'
- 21
- 9
- 25
- 17
- 15
-
11
Callum Wright ↓ Michael Obafemi 63'
- 40
-
18
Darko Gyabi ↓ Malachi Boateng 72'
-
6
Kornel Szucs ↓ Rami Hajal 84'
Bench
-
8
Joe Edwards ↑ 72'
- 44
-
14
Michael Obafemi ↑ 63'
- 31
-
28
Rami Hajal ↑ 84'
-
3
Nathanael Ogbeta ↑ 72'
- 34
- 35
-
19
Malachi Boateng ↑ 72'
Derby County FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 25
- 3
- 18
-
2
Kane Wilson ↓ Sondre Langas 74'
- 10
- 32
- 20
- 12
-
16
Liam Thompson ↓ Kayden Jackson 61'
- 1
- 28
Bench
- 17
- 29
-
19
Kayden Jackson ↑ 61'
- 24
- 31
- 21
- 7
-
6
Sondre Langas ↑ 74'
- 38
Coach
John Eustace
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marcus Harness | 2 |
| Nathaniel Mendez-Laing | 2 |
| Sam Cosgrove | 2 |
| Harrison Armstrong | 1 |
| Mustapha Bundu | 1 |
| James Collins | 1 |
| Morgan Whittaker | 1 |
| Ryan Hardie | 1 |
Head to Head
Plymouth Argyle FC Form
2025-03-15
Plymouth Argyle FC
2–3
Derby County FC
L
2025-03-12
Portsmouth FC
1–2
Plymouth Argyle FC
W
2025-03-08
Plymouth Argyle FC
0–3
Sheffield Wednesday FC
L
2025-03-04
Hull City AFC
2–0
Plymouth Argyle FC
L
2025-03-01
Manchester City FC
3–1
Plymouth Argyle FC
L
2025-02-22
Plymouth Argyle FC
1–1
Cardiff City FC
D
Derby County FC Form
2025-03-15
Plymouth Argyle FC
2–3
Derby County FC
W
2025-03-11
Derby County FC
2–0
Coventry City FC
W
2025-03-08
Derby County FC
2–1
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
2025-03-01
Middlesbrough FC
1–0
Derby County FC
L
2025-02-22
Derby County FC
0–1
Millwall FC
L
2025-02-14
Queens Park Rangers FC
4–0
Derby County FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.57
Plymouth Argyle FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Plymouth Argyle FC or Derby County FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Plymouth Argyle FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Derby County FC
62%
Plymouth Argyle FC or Derby County FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
6.4%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
5.6%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Plymouth Argyle FC
| Handicap | Plymouth Argyle FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 19% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.