Sunday , 16 August 2026

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Plymouth Argyle FC
2 – 3
Full Time
Derby County FC
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Home Park 16,978 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Marcus Harness
0–2 26' Harrison Armstrong
Mustapha Bundu 38' 1–2
Nathaniel Phillips og 46' 2–2
2–3 88' Marcus Harness
Y 45' Nathaniel Phillips
Y 58' Liam Thompson
Y 80' Ebou Adams

Overview

Match Preview

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Home Park.

Match Details

  • Referee John Busby
  • Assistant 1 Mark Russell
  • Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Hull City AFC 46 73
4 Oxford United FC 46 47
5 Leicester City FC 46 46
6 Blackburn Rovers FC 1 1
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1 1
8 Queens Park Rangers FC 0 0
9 Millwall FC 0 0
10 Middlesbrough FC 0 0
11 Swansea City AFC 0 0
12 Charlton Athletic FC 0 0
13 West Bromwich Albion FC 0 0
14 Bolton Wanderers FC 0 0
15 Birmingham City FC 0 0
16 Sheffield United FC 0 0
17 Southampton FC 0 0
18 Wrexham AFC 0 0
19 Watford FC 0 0
20 Burnley FC 0 0
21 Cardiff City FC 0 0
22 West Ham United FC 0 0
23 Derby County FC 0 0
24 Norwich City FC 0 0
25 Preston North End FC 0 0
26 Stoke City FC 0 0
27 Lincoln City FC 0 0
28 Portsmouth FC 0 0
29 Bristol City FC 0 0
30 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

2
1
1
Plymouth Argyle FC 4 games · Avg 3.8 goals Derby County FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-15 Plymouth Argyle FC 2–3 Derby County FC 2024-11-09 Derby County FC 1–1 Plymouth Argyle FC 2023-03-07 Plymouth Argyle FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2022-09-03 Derby County FC 2–3 Plymouth Argyle FC

Recent Form

Plymouth Argyle FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Derby County FC H 2–3 L
12 Mar Portsmouth FC A 2–1 W
08 Mar Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–3 L
04 Mar Hull City AFC A 0–2 L
01 Mar Manchester City FC A 1–3 L
22 Feb Cardiff City FC H 1–1 D
Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC A 3–2 W
11 Mar Coventry City FC H 2–0 W
08 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC H 2–1 W
01 Mar Middlesbrough FC A 0–1 L
22 Feb Millwall FC H 0–1 L
14 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–4 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Home Park will turn into a battlefield for Plymouth Argyle FC and Derby County FC.
  • 5' Hungary international Kornel Szucs has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
  • 11' Marcus Harness has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 11 minutes.
  • 16' It’s high time John Eustace made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 21' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 26' Harrison Armstrong does the damage! The net is bulging and Derby County FC surge ahead!
  • 31' Plymouth Argyle FC are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's 3-5-2 shape.
  • 36' Ryan Hardie is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Plymouth Argyle FC so far.
  • 38' Mustapha Bundu doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 43' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nathaniel Phillips suffering a number of foals already.
  • 45' The referee has no hesitation. Nathaniel Phillips is booked for Derby County FC — card on 45.
  • 46' Magnificent from Nathaniel Phillips! That is 5 goals in 438 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 56' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 58' Controversy at the stadium! Liam Thompson argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 61' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Kayden Jackson comes on to replace Liam Thompson.
  • 63' Michael Obafemi gets the nod from Plymouth Argyle FC. He replaces Callum Wright and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 68' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Conor Hazard made 410 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 72' Time for substitution for Plymouth Argyle FC. Bali Mumba is replaced by Joe Edwards.
  • 74' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Sondre Langas on, Kane Wilson off on 74 minutes.
  • 79' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 79.
  • 80' That is a card for Derby County FC. Ebou Adams will be fuming at that decision.
  • 84' Rami Hajal has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kornel Szucs on 84 minute.
  • 88' What a moment for Marcus Harness! That strike on 88 puts his side firmly in control.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Derby County FC players.

Lineups

Plymouth Argyle FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Derby County FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach John Eustace

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Marcus Harness 2
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 2
Sam Cosgrove 2
Adam Randell 1
Harrison Armstrong 1
Mustapha Bundu 1
James Collins 1
Morgan Whittaker 1

Head to Head

2025-03-15 Plymouth Argyle FC 2–3 Derby County FC 2024-11-09 Derby County FC 1–1 Plymouth Argyle FC 2023-03-07 Plymouth Argyle FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2022-09-03 Derby County FC 2–3 Plymouth Argyle FC

Plymouth Argyle FC Form

2025-03-15 Plymouth Argyle FC 2–3 Derby County FC L 2025-03-12 Portsmouth FC 1–2 Plymouth Argyle FC W 2025-03-08 Plymouth Argyle FC 0–3 Sheffield Wednesday FC L 2025-03-04 Hull City AFC 2–0 Plymouth Argyle FC L 2025-03-01 Manchester City FC 3–1 Plymouth Argyle FC L 2025-02-22 Plymouth Argyle FC 1–1 Cardiff City FC D

Derby County FC Form

2025-03-15 Plymouth Argyle FC 2–3 Derby County FC W 2025-03-11 Derby County FC 2–0 Coventry City FC W 2025-03-08 Derby County FC 2–1 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2025-03-01 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2025-02-22 Derby County FC 0–1 Millwall FC L 2025-02-14 Queens Park Rangers FC 4–0 Derby County FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.57 Plymouth Argyle FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Plymouth Argyle FC or Derby County FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Plymouth Argyle FC38% Draw27% Derby County FC35%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Plymouth Argyle FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Derby County FC
62%
Plymouth Argyle FC or Derby County FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Plymouth Argyle FC29% Draw44% Derby County FC27%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
6.4%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
5.6%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Plymouth Argyle FC

Handicap Plymouth Argyle FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 18% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.