Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Plymouth Argyle FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 3 Sep 2022 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
2
Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 3.8 goals Plymouth Argyle FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–3 L
27 Aug Peterborough United FC H 2–1 W
20 Aug Fleetwood Town FC A 0–0 D
16 Aug Shrewsbury Town FC A 0–0 D
13 Aug Barnsley FC H 2–1 W
06 Aug Charlton Athletic FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.71 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78 Plymouth Argyle FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Plymouth Argyle FC 74% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC36% Draw26% Plymouth Argyle FC38%
Actual: Plymouth Argyle FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Plymouth Argyle FC
64%
Derby County FC or Plymouth Argyle FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC29% Draw41% Plymouth Argyle FC30%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
4.9%
0 – 1
4.8%
1 – 3
4.7%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Plymouth Argyle FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 17% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 18% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
18%
Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.