Thursday , 2 July 2026

Oxford United FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 23 Nov 2024 · 15:00 UTC Kassam Stadium 11,442 HT 45' · FT 45'
Greg Leigh 24' 1–0
1–1 37' Emmanuel Latte Lath pen
1–2 42' Finn Azaz
Dane Scarlett 72' 2–4
2–5 80' Tommy Conway
2–6 83' Finn Azaz

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Middlesbrough FCChampionship at Kassam Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Joshua Smith
  • Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
  • Assistant 2 Hugh Gilroy (England)

Head-to-Head

2
2
Oxford United FC 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals Middlesbrough FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov Middlesbrough FC H 2–6 L
08 Nov Watford FC A 0–1 L
05 Nov Hull City AFC H 1–0 W
02 Nov Swansea City AFC H 1–2 L
26 Oct Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L
22 Oct Derby County FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov Oxford United FC A 6–2 W
09 Nov Luton Town FC H 5–1 W
05 Nov Queens Park Rangers FC A 4–1 W
02 Nov Coventry City FC H 0–3 L
27 Oct Norwich City FC A 3–3 D
23 Oct Sheffield United FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Oxford United FC Middlesbrough FC
#22 Position #5
47 Points 80
46 Played 46
11 / 14 / 21 W / D / L 22 / 14 / 10
45 Scored 72
59 Conceded 47
-14 GD +25
1.02 PPG 1.74
24% Win % 48%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Oxford United FC are 22nd (47 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.36 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.12 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC19% Draw19% Middlesbrough FC62%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 4.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 64%
36%
± 4.5 45%
55%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
38%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
81%
Oxford United FC or Middlesbrough FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC14% Draw32% Middlesbrough FC54%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–6 not predicted
2 – 6
Actual
1 – 3
7.6%
1 – 2
7.5%
1 – 4
5.9%
0 – 2
5.8%
0 – 3
5.8%
1 – 1
5.6%
2 – 3
5.1%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 4
4.4%
2 – 4
4%
1 – 5
3.7%
0 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 8% 86%
-0.5 14% 86%
+0.5 29% 71%
+1 29% 18% 52%
+1.5 48% 52%
+2 48% 19% 33%
+2.5 67% 33%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
5%
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.