Middlesbrough FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at Riverside Stadium.
- Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
- Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tony Harrington
- Assistant 1 Matt Wilkes (England)
- Assistant 2 Nicholas Hopton
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Luton Town FC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 05 Nov | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | Coventry City FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Oct | Norwich City FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 23 Oct | Sheffield United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Bristol City FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 06 Nov | Cardiff City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Oct | Coventry City FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Oct | Sunderland AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | Watford FC | H | 3–0 | W |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Middlesbrough FC to score. At the same time, Luton Town FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 15' Luton Town FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 15.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Thomas Kaminski suffering a number of foals already.
- 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 30' What a strike from Delano Burgzorg! The score is 1-0.
- 31' It’s gonna be a card for Delano Burgzorg.
- 36' It looks surprising Luton Town FC does not make any changes. Aidan Morris has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 41' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 42' GOAL! Emmanuel Latte Lath scores on 42. Assisted by Finn Azaz
- 46' Victor Moses has so much to prove this time. He replaces Amari'i Bell on 46 minute.
- 50' Daiki Hashioka is having his name booked by the referee on 50.
- 51' Goal! Finn Azaz scores his 34 goal in 145 matches.
- 54' GOAL! Delano Burgzorg scores on 54. Assisted by Emmanuel Latte Lath
- 55' It is a substitution in Luton Town FC team. Cauley Woodrow is replaced by Carlton Morris on 55 minute.
- 56' It is a substitution in Luton Town FC team. Shandon Baptiste is replaced by Tom Krauss on 56 minute.
- 59' The supporters are chanting for Marvelous Nakamba. He replaces Liam Walsh on 59 minute.
- 62' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jordan Clark on 62.
- 66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Carlton Morris on 66.
- 70' It is a substitution in Middlesbrough FC team. Aidan Morris is replaced by Daniel Barlaser on 70 minute.
- 71' It is a substitution in Middlesbrough FC team. Emmanuel Latte Lath is replaced by Tommy Conway on 71 minute.
- 75' The whistle greets George Edmundson as he departs to be replaced by Dael Fry.
- 77' What a strike from Jordan Clark! The score is 4-1.
- 81' Another change for Middlesbrough FC made on 81 minute. Ben Doak leaves to be changed by Isaiah Jones.
- 86' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marvelous Nakamba made 351 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 87' What a strike from Finn Azaz! The score is 5-1.
- Full Time. Middlesbrough FC beats Luton Town FC
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 12
- 15
-
25
George Edmundson ↓ Dael Fry 75'
- 1
- 9
- 10
- 7
-
18
Aidan Morris ↓ Daniel Barlaser 70'
- 20
-
50
Ben Doak ↓ Isaiah Jones 81'
Bench
-
6
Dael Fry ↑ 75'
-
4
Daniel Barlaser ↑ 70'
- 8
-
11
Isaiah Jones ↑ 81'
- 31
-
22
Tommy Conway ↑ 71'
- 16
-
17
Micah Hamilton ↑ 70'
- 37
Coach
Michael Carrick
Luton Town FC Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
20
Liam Walsh ↓ Marvelous Nakamba 59'
- 29
-
10
Cauley Woodrow ↓ Carlton Morris 55'
-
3
Amari'i Bell ↓ Victor Moses 46'
-
26
Shandon Baptiste ↓ Tom Krauss 56'
-
11
Elijah Adebayo ↓ Jordan Clark 59'
- 27
- 24
- 14
- 15
- 6
Bench
-
13
Marvelous Nakamba ↑ 59'
-
7
Victor Moses ↑ 46'
- 19
- 23
-
9
Carlton Morris ↑ 55'
-
18
Jordan Clark ↑ 59'
-
8
Tom Krauss ↑ 56'
- 5
- 17
Coach
Rob Edwards
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jordan Clark | 3 |
| Tom Lockyer | 2 |
| Chuba Akpom | 2 |
| Carlton Morris | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Delano Burgzorg | 2 |
| Finn Azaz | 2 |
| Harry Cornick | 2 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
2024-11-09
Middlesbrough FC
5–1
Luton Town FC
W
2024-11-05
Queens Park Rangers FC
1–4
Middlesbrough FC
W
2024-11-02
Middlesbrough FC
0–3
Coventry City FC
L
2024-10-27
Norwich City FC
3–3
Middlesbrough FC
D
2024-10-23
Middlesbrough FC
1–0
Sheffield United FC
W
2024-10-19
Middlesbrough FC
0–2
Bristol City FC
L
Luton Town FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.08
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31
Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Luton Town FC
45%
Middlesbrough FC or Luton Town FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
6.4%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Luton Town FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 16% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 21% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 13% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.