Middlesbrough FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at Riverside Stadium.
- Middlesbrough FC 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tony Harrington
- Assistant 1 Matt Wilkes (England)
- Assistant 2 Nicholas Hopton
6 games this season
🟨 3.2/game
⚽ 9.8 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Luton Town FC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 05 Nov | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | Coventry City FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Oct | Norwich City FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 23 Oct | Sheffield United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Bristol City FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 06 Nov | Cardiff City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Oct | Coventry City FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Oct | Sunderland AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | Watford FC | H | 3–0 | W |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 6 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Middlesbrough FC host Luton Town FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' Shandon Baptiste has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' The travelling Luton Town FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' Poor challenge from Shandon Baptiste. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 20' Middlesbrough FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Luton Town FC's 3-4-1-2 shape.
- 25' Middlesbrough FC currently sit 8 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 30' What composure from Delano Burgzorg! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 31' The referee has no hesitation. Delano Burgzorg is booked for Middlesbrough FC — card on 31.
- 36' USA international Aidan Morris has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 41' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 42' Emmanuel Latte Lath is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 46' The whistle greets Amari'i Bell as he departs to be replaced by Victor Moses.
- 50' The referee shows Luton Town FC player a card on 50.
- 51' Against the run of play, Finn Azaz has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 54' What a moment for Delano Burgzorg! That strike on 54 puts his side firmly in control.
- 55' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 55 minute. Cauley Woodrow leaves to be changed by Carlton Morris.
- 56' A tactical swap from Luton Town FC — Tom Krauss on, Shandon Baptiste off on 56 minutes.
- 59' The crowd applauds Liam Walsh as he leaves the pitch. Marvelous Nakamba steps in for Luton Town FC.
- 62' The referee shows Luton Town FC player a card on 62.
- 66' Carlton Morris is having his name booked by the referee on 66.
- 70' Daniel Barlaser gets the nod from Middlesbrough FC. He replaces Aidan Morris and will look to change the dynamic.
- 71' Tommy Conway is ready to make an impact after coming on for Emmanuel Latte Lath at the 71 minute mark.
- 75' Dael Fry has so much to prove this time. He replaces George Edmundson on 75 minute.
- 77' GOAL! Jordan Clark scores on 77. Assisted by Tom Krauss
- 81' The Middlesbrough FC manager makes a substitution. Ben Doak departs to be replaced by Isaiah Jones.
- 86' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 87' Finn Azaz doubles the advantage! 5-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Middlesbrough FC take all three points.
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 12
- 15
-
25
George Edmundson ↓ Dael Fry 75'
- 1
- 9
- 10
- 7
-
18
Aidan Morris ↓ Daniel Barlaser 70'
- 20
-
50
Ben Doak ↓ Isaiah Jones 81'
Bench
-
6
Dael Fry ↑ 75'
-
4
Daniel Barlaser ↑ 70'
- 8
-
11
Isaiah Jones ↑ 81'
- 31
-
22
Tommy Conway ↑ 71'
- 16
-
17
Micah Hamilton ↑ 70'
- 37
Coach
Michael Carrick
Luton Town FC Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
20
Liam Walsh ↓ Marvelous Nakamba 59'
- 29
-
10
Cauley Woodrow ↓ Carlton Morris 55'
-
3
Amari'i Bell ↓ Victor Moses 46'
-
26
Shandon Baptiste ↓ Tom Krauss 56'
-
11
Elijah Adebayo ↓ Jordan Clark 59'
- 27
- 24
- 14
- 15
- 6
Bench
-
13
Marvelous Nakamba ↑ 59'
-
7
Victor Moses ↑ 46'
- 19
- 23
-
9
Carlton Morris ↑ 55'
-
18
Jordan Clark ↑ 59'
-
8
Tom Krauss ↑ 56'
- 5
- 17
Coach
Rob Edwards
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jordan Clark | 3 |
| Delano Burgzorg | 2 |
| Finn Azaz | 2 |
| Harry Cornick | 2 |
| Sonny Bradley | 2 |
| Tom Lockyer | 2 |
| Chuba Akpom | 2 |
| Carlton Morris | 2 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
2024-11-09
Middlesbrough FC
5–1
Luton Town FC
W
2024-11-05
Queens Park Rangers FC
1–4
Middlesbrough FC
W
2024-11-02
Middlesbrough FC
0–3
Coventry City FC
L
2024-10-27
Norwich City FC
3–3
Middlesbrough FC
D
2024-10-23
Middlesbrough FC
1–0
Sheffield United FC
W
2024-10-19
Middlesbrough FC
0–2
Bristol City FC
L
Luton Town FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.08
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31
Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Luton Town FC
45%
Middlesbrough FC or Luton Town FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
6.4%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Luton Town FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 16% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 21% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 13% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

