Thursday , 1 October 2026

Oxford United FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 22 Oct 2024 · 18:45 UTC Kassam Stadium 11,423 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Kassam Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Gavin Ward
  • Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
  • Assistant 2 Hugh Gilroy (England)
5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 6.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct Derby County FC H 1–1 D
19 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
05 Oct Portsmouth FC A 1–1 D
01 Oct Luton Town FC A 2–2 D
28 Sep Burnley FC H 0–0 D
21 Sep Bristol City FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct Oxford United FC A 1–1 D
19 Oct Millwall FC A 1–1 D
05 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–0 W
01 Oct Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L
28 Sep Norwich City FC H 2–3 L
21 Sep Sheffield United FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Oxford United FC get us underway at Kassam Stadium.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ruben Rodrigues made 6 appearances and scored 16 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Derby County FC have won 457 goals from 390 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 12' Dane Scarlett doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 17' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jamie Cumming suffering a number of foals already.
  • 19' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tyler Goodrham.
  • 24' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 29' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 34' A quiet spell here at Kassam Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 39' Ben Osborn is having his name booked by the referee on 39.
  • 44' Oxford United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 44.
  • 45' Callum Elder is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Oxford United FC! Owen Dale comes on to replace Siriki Dembele.
  • 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Oxford United FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 55' Against the run of play, Nathaniel Mendez-Laing has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 56' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Kenzo Goudmijn by Marcus Harness on 56 minute.
  • 57' Derby County FC make a change. Corey Blackett-Taylor trudges off to be replaced by Kayden Jackson on 57 minutes.
  • 62' Mark Harris gets the nod from Oxford United FC. He replaces Dane Scarlett and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 67' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Oxford United FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 68' Josh McEachran is ready to make an impact after coming on for Will Vaulks at the 68 minute mark.
  • 73' The energy levels are beginning to show. Paul Warne might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 76' Derby County FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 76.
  • 81' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tyler Goodrham, as he is very good at scoring at Kassam Stadium with 11 goals in the last 9 games.
  • 85' Fresh legs for Oxford United FC! Greg Leigh comes on to replace Ruben Rodrigues.
  • 89' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nathaniel Phillips is hanging Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on the field on 89 minute.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.25 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Oxford United FC or Derby County FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Oxford United FC39% Draw30% Derby County FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Derby County FC
61%
Oxford United FC or Derby County FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Oxford United FC27% Draw50% Derby County FC23%
Actual: Oxford United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.7%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.3%
3 – 0
2.9%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.