Sunday , 16 August 2026

Oxford United FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 22 Oct 2024 · 18:45 UTC Kassam Stadium 11,423 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Derby County FCChampionship at Kassam Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Gavin Ward
  • Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
  • Assistant 2 Hugh Gilroy (England)
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct Derby County FC H 1–1 D
19 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
05 Oct Portsmouth FC A 1–1 D
01 Oct Luton Town FC A 2–2 D
28 Sep Burnley FC H 0–0 D
21 Sep Bristol City FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct Oxford United FC A 1–1 D
19 Oct Millwall FC A 1–1 D
05 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–0 W
01 Oct Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L
28 Sep Norwich City FC H 2–3 L
21 Sep Sheffield United FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Oxford United FC Derby County FC
#4 Position #23
47 Points 0
46 Played 0
11 / 14 / 21 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
45 Scored 0
59 Conceded 0
-14 GD +0
1.02 PPG
24% Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Oxford United FC are 4th (47 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.6 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.58 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 88% + Under — clean sheet likely 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC31% Draw41% Derby County FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes22% 0% No78%
Avg goals/match: 1.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 67%
33%
± 1.5 34%
66%
± 2.5 12%
88%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Derby County FC
69%
Oxford United FC or Derby County FC
59%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Oxford United FC16% Draw69% Derby County FC15%
Actual: Oxford United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
33.5%
1 – 0
16.5%
0 – 1
16.1%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
4.9%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 1
3.4%
1 – 2
3.3%
2 – 2
1.2%
3 – 0
1%
0 – 3
0.9%
3 – 1
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 6% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 20% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 20% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
56%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
55%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.