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Lille OSC vs AS Saint-Étienne, Ligue 1 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2018-19
Sat 6 Oct 2018 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Lille OSC vs AS Saint-EtienneLigue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Jerome Miguelgorry
  • Referee Nicolas Rainville
  • Referee Lakhdar El Bedoui
  • Referee Eric Danizan
  • Referee Christophe Mouysset

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct AS Saint-Étienne H 3–1 W
30 Sep Olympique de Marseille H 3–0 W
26 Sep FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 0–1 L
22 Sep FC Nantes H 2–1 W
15 Sep Amiens SC A 3–2 W
01 Sep Angers SCO A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct Lille OSC A 1–3 L
28 Sep AS Monaco FC H 2–0 W
25 Sep Toulouse FC A 3–2 W
22 Sep SM Caen H 2–1 W
14 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–4 L
02 Sep Amiens SC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

35% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Lille OSC and AS Saint-Étienne.
  • 5' Romain Hamouma has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' AS Saint-Étienne are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jean-Louis Gasset might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 17' What composure from Jonathan Bamba! The Ivory Coast international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 22' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Xeka.
  • 26' Goal! Remy Cabella scores his 43 goal in 427 matches.
  • 31' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 36' Fresh legs for Lille OSC! Kouadio Yves Dabila comes on to replace Jose Fonte.
  • 41' A quiet spell here at . AS Saint-Étienne seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 46' The deadlock is broken! Jonathan Bamba gets on the scoresheet on 46 minutes.
  • 51' AS Saint-Étienne have won 380 goals from 427 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 56' It’s high time Jean-Louis Gasset made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 61' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 64' A change in the AS Saint-Etienne ranks — Yannis Salibur exits the field as Romain Hamouma enters on 64.
  • 65' Another change for Lille OSC made on 65 minute. Zeki Celik leaves to be changed by Edgar Ie.
  • 70' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 74' The referee calls foul for Ole Kristian Selnaes. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 75' Fode Ballo-Toure has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 75.
  • 76' The whistle greets Thiago Mendes as he departs to be replaced by Thiago Maia.
  • 78' It is a substitution in AS Saint-Etienne team. William Saliba is replaced by Lois Diony on 78 minute.
  • 83' Lille OSC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 83.
  • 84' Nicolas Pepe adds to his 2 season tally! Lille OSC lead 3-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 89' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Lille OSC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 3-1 the final result. AS Saint-Étienne will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.79 Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 AS Saint-Etienne xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC52% Draw25% AS Saint-Etienne23%
Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Lille OSC or Draw
77%
Draw or AS Saint-Etienne
48%
Lille OSC or AS Saint-Etienne
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC38% Draw44% AS Saint-Etienne18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
9.2%
2 – 0
8.8%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
5.1%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Lille OSC

Handicap Lille OSC covers Push AS Saint-Etienne covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
34%
AS Saint-Etienne keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.