Tuesday , 6 October 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Júbilo Iwata, J. League 2019 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2019
Sun 17 Mar 2019 · 04:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Júbilo Iwata — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Yusuke Araki
  • Referee Mitsuharu Taketa
  • Referee Tetsuro Yoshida
  • Referee Ryosuke Murai
4 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 7.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Mar Júbilo Iwata H 1–0 W
10 Mar FC Tokyo A 0–2 L
02 Mar Vissel Kobe A 0–1 L
23 Feb Nagoya Grampus H 0–4 L
01 Dec Kashima Antlers A 0–0 D
24 Nov Yokohama F.Marinos H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Mar Sagan Tosu FC A 0–1 L
09 Mar Ōita FC Trinita H 1–2 L
01 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–0 D
23 Feb Matsumoto Yamaga FC H 1–1 D
08 Dec Tōkyō Verdy H 2–0 W
01 Dec Kawasaki Frontale A 1–2 L

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at . Ninety minutes of football awaits between Sagan Tosu FC and Júbilo Iwata.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Júbilo Iwata is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 23' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Yuji Takahashi.
  • 28' The 36-year-old Ryo Shinzato has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 33' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Masato Fujita suffering a number of foals already.
  • 38' Yoshiki Takahashi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 279 appearances.
  • 40' The referee calls foul for Yoshito Okubo. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 45' A quiet spell here at . Júbilo Iwata seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 50' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 51' Yohei Toyoda is ready to make an impact after coming on for Fernando Torres at the 51 minute mark.
  • 56' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Júbilo Iwata are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 61' That looks like a foul for a Red card for Yuji Takahashi.
  • 64' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Daiki Matsuoka is withdrawn and Karlo Brucic gets his opportunity.
  • 66' Another substitution for Jubilo Iwata to replace Adailton by Daigo Araki on 66 minute.
  • 71' Riki Harakawa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 72' Eren Albayrak is ready to make an impact after coming on for Taishi Taguchi at the 72 minute mark.
  • 77' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 79' Jubilo Iwata make a change. Yoshito Okubo trudges off to be replaced by Shunsuke Nakamura on 79 minutes.
  • 81' Isaac Cuenca gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Mu Kanazaki and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Lluis Carreras Ferrer will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 90' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Isaac Cuenca makes it 1-0.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Sagan Tosu FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.98 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 Júbilo Iwata xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC37% Draw32% Júbilo Iwata31%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.97
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Júbilo Iwata
63%
Sagan Tosu FC or Júbilo Iwata
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC22% Draw55% Júbilo Iwata23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.4%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
3.3%
1 – 3
2.2%
3 – 1
2.1%
0 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Júbilo Iwata covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 20% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 20% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
Júbilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
38% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.