Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Kashiwa Reysol

1 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sun 28 Apr 2024 · 06:00 UTC Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Diego 28' Y

Y 51' Tae-hyeon Kim

Takumi Tsuchiya 69' Y

Y 76' Yoichi Naganuma

Overview

Match Preview

Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.

Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Kashiwa Reysol 14 games · Avg 3.0 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-04-28 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-11-25 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-04-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol 2022-07-10 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol 2022-04-29 Kashiwa Reysol 1–4 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Kashiwa Reysol

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Apr	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
12 Apr	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–0	W
07 Apr	Tokyo Verdy	A	1–1	D
03 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	1–1	D
30 Mar	Albirex Niigata	A	1–1	D
16 Mar	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–2	L

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–1	D
20 Apr	Kashima Antlers	H	4–2	W
14 Apr	Gamba Osaka	A	1–2	L
07 Apr	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	0–3	L
03 Apr	Vissel Kobe	H	0–0	D
30 Mar	FC Machida Zelvia	A	1–3	L

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Kashiwa Reysol have kicked off against Sagan Tosu FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Kawai might look to freshen things up shortly.
14' Assisted by So Kawahara with the perfectly-timed delivery and Marcelo Ryan makes no mistake. 0-1!
19' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
24' Sagan Tosu FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
28' The referee shows Kashiwa Reysol player a card on 28.
33' Yoichi Naganuma has been relatively quiet despite scoring 16 goals in his last 335 appearances.
38' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
41' Takuya Shimamura makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Kashiwa Reysol are in front.
46' Katsunori Ueebisu is replacing Shiva Nagasawa for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
51' That looks like a foul for a card for Tae-hyeon Kim.
56' Kashiwa Reysol seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
61' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
63' A change in the Kashiwa Reysol ranks — Tomoya Koyamatsu exits the field as Kosuke Kinoshita enters on 63.
67' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 67 minute. Marcelo Ryan leaves to be changed by Keisuke Sakaiya.
69' A meaty challenge results in booking for Takumi Tsuchiya on 69.
73' Kashiwa Reysol ring the changes. Takuya Shimamura has done his job and it is now time for Sachiro Toshima to step up.
75' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 75 minute. Taichi Kikuchi leaves to be changed by Yuki Horigome.
76' Sagan Tosu FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 76.
81' With 0 assists to his name this season, Taichi Kikuchi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Kashiwa Reysol.
83' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Cayman Togashi is withdrawn and Vinicius Araujo gets his opportunity.
85' The Kashiwa Reysol bench stirs into life. Takumi Tsuchiya is withdrawn and Ota Yamamoto gets his opportunity.
90' It is a cagey affair so far. Kashiwa Reysol in their trying to find a way past Sagan Tosu FC's compact .
will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Kashiwa Reysol Lineups

Starting XI

10
Matheus Savio ↓ Yuki Muto 73'
13
Tomoya Inukai
4
Taiyo Koga
6
Yuto Yamada
24
Naoki Kawaguchi
14
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Kosuke Kinoshita 63'
29
Takuya Shimamura ↓ Sachiro Toshima 73'
46
Kenta Matsumoto
3
Diego
34
Takumi Tsuchiya ↓ Ota Yamamoto 85'
33
Eiji Shirai

Bench

22
Hiroki Noda
50
Yugo Tatsuta
9
Yuki Muto ↑ 73'
15
Kosuke Kinoshita ↑ 63'
31
Tatsuya Morita
28
Sachiro Toshima ↑ 73'
45
Ota Yamamoto ↑ 85'

Coach Masami Ihara

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Vinicius Araujo 83'
7
Kohei Tezuka
28
Yusuke Maruhashi ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 67'
99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ Keisuke Sakaiya 67'
88
Yoichi Naganuma
71
Il-kyu Park
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Yuki Horigome 75'
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara
34
Shiva Nagasawa ↓ Katsunori Ueebisu 46'
20
Tae-hyeon Kim

Bench

11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 83'
14
Naoyuki Fujita
16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 46'
21
Yuki Horigome ↑ 75'
13
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 67'
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↑ 67'
1
Arnau Riera

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Daichi Hayashi	4
Matheus Savio	4
Tomoya Koyamatsu	3
Kosuke Kinoshita	2
Mao Hosoya	2
Yoichi Naganuma	2
Michael Olunga	2
Fuchi Honda	2

Head to Head

Kashiwa Reysol Form

2024-04-28 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2024-04-12 Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2024-04-07 Tokyo Verdy 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2024-04-03 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2024-03-30 Albirex Niigata 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2024-03-16 Kashiwa Reysol 0–2 Nagoya Grampus L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-04-28 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2024-04-20 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Kashima Antlers W 2024-04-14 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-04-07 Urawa Red Diamonds 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-04-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Vissel Kobe D 2024-03-30 FC Machida Zelvia 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.35 Kashiwa Reysol xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.11 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Kashiwa Reysol or Sagan Tosu FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Kashiwa Reysol43% Draw29% Sagan Tosu FC28%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.46

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	44%	56%
± 3.5	24%	76%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

Kashiwa Reysol or Draw

71%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

57%

Kashiwa Reysol or Sagan Tosu FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Kashiwa Reysol29% Draw49% Sagan Tosu FC22%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

10.7%

1 – 0

10.4%

0 – 1

8.4%

2 – 1

8.3%

2 – 0

7.5%

1 – 2

6.8%

0 – 2

5.1%

2 – 2

4.7%

3 – 1

3.8%

3 – 0

3.3%

1 – 3

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Kashiwa Reysol

Handicap	Kashiwa Reysol covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	21%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	17%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.