Sunday , 16 August 2026

Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sun 28 Apr 2024 · 06:00 UTC Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu FCJ. League at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Apr Sagan Tosu FC H 1–1 D
12 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–0 W
07 Apr Tokyo Verdy A 1–1 D
03 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–1 D
30 Mar Albirex Niigata A 1–1 D
16 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
20 Apr Kashima Antlers H 4–2 W
14 Apr Gamba Osaka A 1–2 L
07 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–3 L
03 Apr Vissel Kobe H 0–0 D
30 Mar FC Machida Zelvia A 1–3 L

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
1/1
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.35 Kashiwa Reysol xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Kashiwa Reysol or Sagan Tosu FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kashiwa Reysol43% Draw29% Sagan Tosu FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Kashiwa Reysol or Draw
71%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
57%
Kashiwa Reysol or Sagan Tosu FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kashiwa Reysol29% Draw49% Sagan Tosu FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.7%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Kashiwa Reysol

Handicap Kashiwa Reysol covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
34%
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.