Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.
- Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Tokyo Verdy | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Mar | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 4–2 | W |
| 14 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Apr | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Mar | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–3 | L |
Key Stats
79%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/4
46-60
6/3
61-75
8/1
76+
7/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kashiwa Reysol
| Yusuke Segawa | 7 G | 2 A |
| Hinata Yamauchi | 5 G | |
| Yoshio Koizumi | 4 G | 5 A |
| Keita Endo | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tojiro Kubo | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Sagan Tosu FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Katsunori Ueebisu, as he is very good at scoring at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 14' A goal from the Brazil international Marcelo Ryan! He fires home on 14 to make it 0-1!
- 19' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 24' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 28' Diego catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 28.
- 33' The home supporters are growing impatient. Kashiwa Reysol must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 38' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 41' Goal! Takuya Shimamura scores his 4 goal in 380 matches.
- 46' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Katsunori Ueebisu is hanging Shiva Nagasawa on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tae-hyeon Kim.
- 56' Kashiwa Reysol is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 61' Kashiwa Reysol are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 63' Kashiwa Reysol manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kosuke Kinoshita is hanging Tomoya Koyamatsu on the field on 63 minute.
- 67' Keisuke Sakaiya is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marcelo Ryan at the 67 minute mark.
- 69' Takumi Tsuchiya catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 69.
- 73' The Kashiwa Reysol bench stirs into life. Takuya Shimamura is withdrawn and Sachiro Toshima gets his opportunity.
- 75' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Taichi Kikuchi is replaced by Yuki Horigome on 75 minute.
- 76' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yoichi Naganuma on 76 minutes.
- 81' Kosuke Yamazaki is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kashiwa Reysol tonight.
- 83' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Cayman Togashi is replaced by Vinicius Araujo.
- 85' The crowd applauds Takumi Tsuchiya as he leaves the pitch. Ota Yamamoto steps in for Kashiwa Reysol.
- 90' Ayumu Yokoyama has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Kashiwa Reysol Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Matheus Savio ↓ Yuki Muto 73'
- 13
- 4
- 6
- 24
- 14
- 29
- 46
- 3
-
34
Takumi Tsuchiya ↓ Ota Yamamoto 85'
- 33
Bench
- 22
- 50
-
9
Yuki Muto ↑ 73'
-
15
Kosuke Kinoshita ↑ 63'
- 31
-
28
Sachiro Toshima ↑ 73'
-
45
Ota Yamamoto ↑ 85'
Coach
Masami Ihara
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 7
- 28
-
99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ Keisuke Sakaiya 67'
- 88
- 71
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Yuki Horigome 75'
- 2
- 5
- 34
- 20
Bench
-
11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 83'
- 14
-
16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 46'
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↑ 75'
-
13
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 67'
-
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↑ 67'
- 1
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Matheus Savio | 4 |
| Daichi Hayashi | 4 |
| Tomoya Koyamatsu | 3 |
| Fuchi Honda | 2 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 2 |
| Kosuke Kinoshita | 2 |
| Mao Hosoya | 2 |
| Yoichi Naganuma | 2 |
Head to Head
Kashiwa Reysol Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.35
Kashiwa Reysol xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Kashiwa Reysol or Sagan Tosu FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Kashiwa Reysol or Draw
71%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
57%
Kashiwa Reysol or Sagan Tosu FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.7%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Kashiwa Reysol
| Handicap | Kashiwa Reysol covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 21% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.