Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.
- Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Tokyo Verdy | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Mar | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 4–2 | W |
| 14 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Apr | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Mar | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–3 | L |
Key Stats
79%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Kashiwa Reysol kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kenta Matsumoto suffering a number of foals already.
- 14' What a strike from Marcelo Ryan! The score is 0-1.
- 19' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 24' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 28' Kashiwa Reysol receives a card for a hard tackle on 28.
- 33' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 38' Kashiwa Reysol started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 38.
- 41' Goal! Takuya Shimamura scores his 4 goal in 369 matches.
- 46' The whistle greets Shiva Nagasawa as he departs to be replaced by Katsunori Ueebisu.
- 51' The referee calls foul for Tae-hyeon Kim. He receives a card.
- 56' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 61' Tomoya Inukai needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 63' It is a substitution in Kashiwa Reysol team. Tomoya Koyamatsu is replaced by Kosuke Kinoshita on 63 minute.
- 67' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 67 minute. Marcelo Ryan leaves to be changed by Keisuke Sakaiya.
- 69' The referee calls foul for Takumi Tsuchiya. He receives a card.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Sachiro Toshima. He replaces Takuya Shimamura on 73 minute.
- 75' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Taichi Kikuchi departs to be replaced by Yuki Horigome.
- 76' The referee calls foul for Yoichi Naganuma. He receives a card.
- 81' It looks like no one’s ball. Kashiwa Reysol is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 83' Vinicius Araujo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cayman Togashi on 83 minute.
- 85' The supporters are chanting for Ota Yamamoto. He replaces Takumi Tsuchiya on 85 minute.
- 90' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 90 minutes.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.
Lineups
Kashiwa Reysol Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Matheus Savio ↓ Yuki Muto 73'
- 13
- 4
- 6
- 24
- 14
- 29
- 46
- 3
-
34
Takumi Tsuchiya ↓ Ota Yamamoto 85'
- 33
Bench
- 22
- 50
-
9
Yuki Muto ↑ 73'
-
15
Kosuke Kinoshita ↑ 63'
- 31
-
28
Sachiro Toshima ↑ 73'
-
45
Ota Yamamoto ↑ 85'
Coach
Masami Ihara
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 7
- 28
-
99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ Keisuke Sakaiya 67'
- 88
- 71
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Yuki Horigome 75'
- 2
- 5
- 34
- 20
Bench
-
11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 83'
- 14
-
16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 46'
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↑ 75'
-
13
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 67'
-
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↑ 67'
- 1
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Daichi Hayashi | 4 |
| Matheus Savio | 4 |
| Tomoya Koyamatsu | 3 |
| Mao Hosoya | 2 |
| Yoichi Naganuma | 2 |
| Michael Olunga | 2 |
| Fuchi Honda | 2 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 2 |
Head to Head
Kashiwa Reysol Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.35
Kashiwa Reysol xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Kashiwa Reysol or Sagan Tosu FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Kashiwa Reysol or Draw
71%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
57%
Kashiwa Reysol or Sagan Tosu FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.7%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Kashiwa Reysol
| Handicap | Kashiwa Reysol covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 21% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

