Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sun 28 Apr 2024 · 06:00 UTC Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu FCJ. League at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Apr Sagan Tosu FC H 1–1 D
12 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–0 W
07 Apr Tokyo Verdy A 1–1 D
03 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–1 D
30 Mar Albirex Niigata A 1–1 D
16 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
20 Apr Kashima Antlers H 4–2 W
14 Apr Gamba Osaka A 1–2 L
07 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–3 L
03 Apr Vissel Kobe H 0–0 D
30 Mar FC Machida Zelvia A 1–3 L

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
3/3
46-60
/3
61-75
2/2
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Kashiwa Reysol kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kenta Matsumoto suffering a number of foals already.
  • 14' What a strike from Marcelo Ryan! The score is 0-1.
  • 19' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 24' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 28' Kashiwa Reysol receives a card for a hard tackle on 28.
  • 33' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 38' Kashiwa Reysol started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 38.
  • 41' Goal! Takuya Shimamura scores his 4 goal in 369 matches.
  • 46' The whistle greets Shiva Nagasawa as he departs to be replaced by Katsunori Ueebisu.
  • 51' The referee calls foul for Tae-hyeon Kim. He receives a card.
  • 56' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 61' Tomoya Inukai needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 63' It is a substitution in Kashiwa Reysol team. Tomoya Koyamatsu is replaced by Kosuke Kinoshita on 63 minute.
  • 67' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 67 minute. Marcelo Ryan leaves to be changed by Keisuke Sakaiya.
  • 69' The referee calls foul for Takumi Tsuchiya. He receives a card.
  • 73' The supporters are chanting for Sachiro Toshima. He replaces Takuya Shimamura on 73 minute.
  • 75' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Taichi Kikuchi departs to be replaced by Yuki Horigome.
  • 76' The referee calls foul for Yoichi Naganuma. He receives a card.
  • 81' It looks like no one’s ball. Kashiwa Reysol is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 83' Vinicius Araujo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cayman Togashi on 83 minute.
  • 85' The supporters are chanting for Ota Yamamoto. He replaces Takumi Tsuchiya on 85 minute.
  • 90' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 90 minutes.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.35 Kashiwa Reysol xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Kashiwa Reysol or Sagan Tosu FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kashiwa Reysol43% Draw29% Sagan Tosu FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Kashiwa Reysol or Draw
71%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
57%
Kashiwa Reysol or Sagan Tosu FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kashiwa Reysol29% Draw49% Sagan Tosu FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.7%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Kashiwa Reysol

Handicap Kashiwa Reysol covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
34%
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.